French-provided VAB troop carriers just spotted in Ukraine
In mid-June, French Minister of the Armed Forces Sébastien Lecornu said that France will send “significant quantities” of armored personnel carriers to Ukraine.
Posted on 08/02/2022 6:35:41 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
Phoenix Ghost or just a Ghost?
“Video of a loitering munition strike by Ukraine’s 28th Mechanized Brigade on a Russian 82mm mortar position. The graphic on the video suggests this was by a US-made Phoenix Ghost loitering munition.”
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1554192348556451840
““There’s a level of consultation between intelligence officials of both countries prior to launching missiles that would allow Washington to stop attacks if they were unhappy with the intended target.””
https://twitter.com/jeromestarkey/status/1554352834895921153
How many HIMARs has RuZZia destroyed now? 100? 200?
“Russian propaganda shows destroyed Ukrainian ambulance HMMWV M1152 as destroyed HIMARS”
https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/we7yot/russian_propaganda_shows_destroyed_ukrainian/
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, July 31- August 1, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••denotes transcribed dialogue.
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
Russia Is Building ‘Ghost Bridges’ With Radar Reflectors In Ukraine
After two strategic bridges in occupied Kherson were crated by Ukraine, Russia deployed radar reflectors as a crude and puzzling countermeasure.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/russia-building-ghost-bridges-with-radar-reflectors-in-ukraine
Both Bridges Image:
https://www.thedrive.com/uploads/2022/08/02/Screen-Shot-2022-08-01-at-5.19.17-PM.png?auto=webp&optimize=high&quality=70&width=3840
Rail Bridge Image:
https://www.thedrive.com/uploads/2022/08/02/Rail-Bridge-HIMARS-Strike-Ukraine.jpg?auto=webp&optimize=high&quality=70&width=3840
Ghost Bridge, aka Radar Reflectors Image:
https://www.thedrive.com/uploads/2022/08/01/Screen-Shot-2022-08-01-at-2.59.03-PM.png?auto=webp&optimize=high&quality=70&width=3840
—
Drone Strike On Black Sea Fleet Headquarters Likely A Sign Of What’s To Come
Despite Ukrainian denials from some quarters, officials in Moscow say that the drone strike was launched from within Russia-held territory.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/drone-strike-on-black-sea-fleet-headquarters-likely-a-sign-of-whats-to-come
Excerpt:
While unconfirmed by other sources, a Russian politician, Olga Kovitidi, claimed that the drone was launched “from the territory of Sevastopol.” Kovitidi, a member of Russia’s upper house of parliament, told Russia’s RIA news agency yesterday that “Urgent search operations are being conducted in the city to track down the organizers of this terrorist act. They will be found by the evening.”
———————————————————————————————————————
••Site Update:
WiU will be traveling until the 4th - updates will be sporadic if at all. No episode tomorrow. Any videos posted will be short and only deal with the frontline.
WiU Commenter:
The road over the Nova Kakhovka dam was hit tonight along with bridges and pontoons and the ferry. Kherson bridge railway bridge, pontoon and ferry was hit, and Nova Kakhovka dam was hit along with Darivka bridge and pontoon ... wait for updated Maxar satellite footage. all we know is reported explosions at bridge locations in Kherson, Darivka and Nova Kakhovka ... HIMARS earlier took out some radars and SAMs toward the railroad attack. I wonder if shooting at the railroad was just probing to see what air defenses will shoot at the missiles, and see where they are ... Ukraine military gets real time American satellite intel updated every 15 minutes.
••Military Situation of the Bridges:
The Russian command built the ferry next to the Antonisky bridge. They’re using a ferry (Edit: its actually more like a motorized barge than a ferry boat.) ; that’s obviously a opportunity a way to address the problem. It’s still not so not solving the problem. The throughput of the ferry is much much much lower than the bridge, but and again it’s also vulnerable to attack.
Also there was attack on on railroad line that we reported about five days ago from Crimea to to Kherson at the station called Brelivkam. It wasn’t clear where the hit was, it turns out it was just a railroad station itself; so it’s damaged significantly, but this railroad damage can be relatively quickly repaired and does not create lasting strategic problem for Russia.
This might be useful as a tactical tool when once you launch offensive where every one day means a lot like 24 hours. it’s the situation is like every hour time time is precious right in that case you can do that and you can use it and there is strategic effect from from those hits but just generally as a preparation general preparation there is definitely no la no long lasting first of all and there is no strategic effect because of that so this is just a quick update on what’s going on with all of this bridges.
They are in some state of disrepair and Russian troops are trying to find solutions. One is pontoon bridge then then the ferry is another one. We skeptical about their ability of the Russian command to continue providing necessary supplies.
(Edit: Maxar Satellite images show there is no pontoon bridge, just radar reflectors that appear to radar like a pontoon bridge. So there is only the barge ferry - a very slow, awkward, and cumbersome method of transportation.)
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary:
No changes Russian command is using pontoon bridges and ferries to address problem of destroyed bridges.
Russian troops established ferry next to Antonivsky bridge.
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead: no changes
- North Donbass area: no changes
- Donetsk West: no changes
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
1. Kharkiv: No changes.
2. Izyum bridgehead. No changes.
••Small probing Orc attack.
••UA 79th brigade whereabouts of most of them unknown - they have suffered heavy casualties in theist battles. UA 25th likely pulled to North Donbas front.
3. North Donbass: No changes.
••Russian command abandoned attack on north front line. Now concentration on taking Bakhmut, 5km from the front. If they succeed, then the northern area will be outflanked and the UA troops will be forced to retreat to the top of the next chain of hills.
••In the south, Orc attacks focused on one area. So far no success.
4. West of Donetsk: No changes.
••Russian troops concentrated and focused on very narrow section around Donetsk airport. Does not look like Orcs have enough troops and have fewer troops then UA. Donbas, the land of coal mines, good defensive positions.
••Orc troops, in past 5 days, managed to destroy one UA position along the heavily fortified line, gaining about 1km in that area only and, southward, took another 300 meters or so.
••Orc troops thrown back into battle without a meaningful refreshment.
5. Vugledar: No changes.
6. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. No changes.
7. Kherson bridgehead: No
••UA 36 NB has been rebuilt. Probably back at the front with 35th on Kherson bridgehead.
The Russian have destroyed so many HIMARS that Lockheed is in a panic to replace the entire US inventory of the system. Oh noos!!
The date on your link is still wrong.
Phoenix Ghost or just a Ghost?
—
A Something struck the ground and exploded just before a MLRS attack on some position somewhere. Damage is not shown as footage is taken by a poorly operated low-res commercial UAV.
That date thing on the Onyx site has still got your head spinning?
Thought you Orc FSB free lancers had at least an average IQ, but apparently dating escapes you. Maybe that’s the problem, not just numerical dating escapes you, but the other kind as well.
We’ve moved on to Nancy and Taiwan.
$550 Million in Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine Aug. 1, 2022
1. 75,000 rounds of 155mm artillery ammunition;
2. Additional ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS).
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3112377/550-million-in-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/
US is keeping HIMARS ammo numbers secret.
I wish we had a larger inventory there. That is a weakness.
French-provided VAB troop carriers just spotted in Ukraine
In mid-June, French Minister of the Armed Forces Sébastien Lecornu said that France will send “significant quantities” of armored personnel carriers to Ukraine.
“75,000 rounds of 155mm artillery ammunition”
Getting hit with another 75,000 Artillery rounds has become routine for Russian forces. Trainloads of more dead.
This is the 17th package that Biden has released to the Ukraine. Not all included Artillery shells, but it now the norm. The USA alone seems to be providing enough to fire a sustained rate of a few thousand rounds per day.
I saw a report that Russia has burned through about $200 Billion of its foreign reserves since this invasion started.
Out of the ~$600 billion before the war, another ~$300 billion is frozen in the West, leaving about $100 billion to go.
At this burn rate, they are on the verge of some hard financial breaks - crisis - in about a couple of more months.
Unlike the first few months of the war, total oil and gas revenues seem to have now passed peak, and are declining. It looks like oil prices are no longer rising, shipments are down marginally, and gas volumes are dropping to just a small fraction of their pre-war levels. Even though European gas prices will likely spike a bit more, these dramatically lower volumes mean total revenues are likely to continue to drop further.
Even when oil and gas revenues were rising on the initial price surge, Russia was having to burn through foreign reserves. They should be cutting off expenditures now (like Europe is conserving gas), so that they will be able to extend paying for the absolutely essential minimums for a bit longer. Desperate times. They are already well down the road of a ruble printing spree, to cover domestic expenses.
The Russian Government’s debts are now in default, and they are substantially cut off from credit. When the foreign reserves run out, they will increasingly have to just do without. Some of their oil exports might be bartered, rather than produce foreign currency revenue, but the total pie will still be shrinking.
Imports have already dropped over 50%, and the lack of a lot of those items (like semiconductor chips) will have secondary and tertiary effects throughout their economy. Hard times are on the way to Nova North Korea (previously known as Russia). Real hard times.
The Ukrainian economy is heading into crisis this Fall as well, but the West is likely to pass the hat, and also extend credit (already underway).
Get the popcorn ready, and send more Artillery!
You're a deluded idiot with Russian blood lust.
Here, let someone smarter and more informed than you provide you with some education on what's really going on. Former CIA analyst, Larry Johnson
https://sonar21.com/while-establishment-media-pushes-delusional-narrative-on-ukraine-us-military-brass-now-recognizes-the-war-is-lost/
WHILE ESTABLISHMENT MEDIA PUSHES DELUSIONAL NARRATIVE ON UKRAINE, US MILITARY BRASS NOW RECOGNIZES THE WAR IS LOST
You got to give the New York Times and the Washington Post reporters credit for one thing–they are tenacious in the art of self-delusion. They report the news without understanding the implications and contradictions in their reporting.
First up, the clueless the New York Times:
Russians, Risking Isolation in the South, Build Up for Ukrainian Attack—
The Ukrainians have been setting the stage for a broad counteroffensive in the southern Kherson region for weeks, and recent long-range rocket strikes have left thousands of Russian soldiers stationed west of the Dnipro River, in and around the port city of Kherson, in a precarious position, largely cut off from Russian strongholds to the east.
But Russia is now moving “the maximum number” of forces to the southern front in the Kherson region, the head of Ukraine’s National Security Council told Ukrainian television late Wednesday. The official, Oleksiy Danilov, described “a very powerful movement of their troops” to the front in Kherson.
While Western weapons have poured into the country, Ukraine said more arms were still needed and ammunition remained limited. Some Ukrainian officials have grown increasingly frustrated with what they believe is the slow pace of weapons deliveries from Western allies. Donor nations are training Ukrainian soldiers to use the new equipment, but that, too, remains a work in progress.
“Just give them weapons and let them work,” said Natalya Gumenyuk, the spokeswoman for Ukraine’s southern military command, which is responsible for the Kherson offensive.
Note the source for the “news” that Russian soldiers are stranded and in a “precarious” position–it is all from official Ukrainian spokes-models. If the Ukrainian military really had the Russian army on the ropes, why is Ukraine pleading for more arms and ammunition? Seriously, the United States has supplied Ukraine with more weapons in the last four months then it provided to the once invincible Afghan army and Ukraine has exhausted those supplies?
The Ukrainian military no longer has a fixed-wing jet fighter/bomber capability. Ukraine does not have an intact tank regiment. What is it going to do? An old school, over the top a la World War I mass charge by Ukrainian troops? Launching HIMARS at one bridge is not a game changer.
The real interesting tidbit in the NY Times report is the claim, again sourced to Ukrainian officials, that Russia is moving the maximum number of troops to Kherson. How can Russia do that if it is struggling to attract new recruits to fill its devastated ranks? And where are those troops coming from? Not the Donbas.
According to the Washington Post, President Zelensky wants all civilians still living in the part of the Donetsk Republic still controlled by Ukraine to get the hell out:
Zelensky issued a mandatory evacuation order for civilians still living in the war-torn eastern region of Donetsk, saying many were refusing to leave. “There are hundreds of thousands of people, tens of thousands of children … many people refuse to leave … but it really needs to be done,” he said in his nightly address. Russian forces have seized large areas of Donetsk but observers say its offensive has slowed.
If Ukraine was prevailing and pushing the Russians back, why must the inhabitants of Donetsk flee to the western part of Ukraine? In fact, according to the Post reporters, Russia has “seized large areas of Donetsk”. What Zelensky knows is that the folks who still live in the Donbas are Russian speakers and welcome the Russian troops as liberators. If you feared the Russians and were living in Donetsk and the Russians were approaching your town, would Zelensky have to order you to get out? No. It is ridiculous.
One more indicator of desperation on the part of Zelensky. Why ask people who allegedly support you to abandon territory if you, i.e. Zelensky, have a legitimate chance of reversing the Russian offensive? You don’t. You call on them to take up arms and fight the Russians. That is not happening.
Meanwhile, back in the United States, US military analysts are briefing the chain of command that Ukraine is coming apart at the seams. The boys and girls at the Defense Intelligence Agency can no longer hide the fact that Ukraine is not winning and has no path forward to victory. This growing acknowledgement of Ukraine’s dire situation is likely to generate push back from Austin and Milley to stop recklessly pouring more US weapons and equipment into the rapidly growing black hole that is Ukraine.
RuZZia will be spending from their wealth fund to cover budget deficit.
“Siluanov added that about 3-4 trillion rubles ($51.59-68.79 bln) from the National Wealth Fund of Russia will be allocated to finance the budget deficit.”
https://tass.com/economy/1466353
“Trainloads of more dead.”
How many KIA would you estimate from 75,000 more artillery shells?
Keep in mind that we are talking about the accurate Western guns, not the old Soviet stuff.
Certainly, it will be much more than truckloads.
After the trains unload, send them back for more, because that Artillery is just going to keep coming.
I’m estimating that 75,000 is about two weeks worth, from the USA alone. Everybody in NATO has 155mm stockpiles, and manufacturing capacity is fairly widespread.
Putin chose this. We have to fight back.
He just bit off more than Russia can chew, and now it is going to choke on it.
Get your troops out of the neighbor’s territory, or you are just sending them to an early death. The Artillery supply is effectively endless there.
Russia (”officially”) says that its Federal Government budget deficit is now 2% of GDP.
But its whole total budget before the invasion was only about 1.4% of GDP (about $250 billion, out of $1.8 trillion.
Other estimates are that their current budget deficit might be running at a current burn rate of 4 or 5% of GDP.
They have deferred accounting for some expenses until the last day of the year, but they are spending that money now. Other levels of Government are running deficits, as is business broadly (Private Sector). They are gobbling through their savings at a sickening rate.
“Siluanov added that about 3-4 trillion rubles ($51.59-68.79 bln) from the National Wealth Fund of Russia will be allocated to finance the budget deficit.”
That National Wealth Fund had about $175 billion before this invasion, and some portion is likely among those assets frozen in the West. I’d guess half or more.
$50-70 billion announced to be going toward this year’s budget deficit? Not a card that they will be able to keep playing for years on end. Maybe next year as well.
This fund is what pays pensions, like Social Security here.
Next year looks like it could be the end of the line for that, in the new Soviet Union.
Putin is the Master Strategist, who gambled away everyone’s social security, bankrupted the Government, sent the boys to die by the 10’s of thousands, and disgraced Russia and Russians as despicable war criminals.
What’s the upside?
The CIA, you fool, just a week ago said the number was 15,000. The BBC's latest is 6000.
I just gave you an analysis of the phony numbers you're posting from from CIA analyst Larry Johnson, who destroys the lies you're repeating from the Biden regime.NYT and Washington Post.
The nonsense you're spewing is as fictional as the Steele dossier. It defies the reality on the ground -- where Russia continues to swallow up territory.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.