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Midterm blowout: Republicans have a 13-point lead
https://donsurber.blogspot.com ^ | Thursday, January 20, 2022 | Don Surber

Posted on 01/20/2022 12:38:52 PM PST by Red Badger

The Trafalgar Group is very accurate in its polling. It found 55.7% of voters prefer a Republican candidate in the upcoming congressional races. 42.2% prefer a Democrat.

Let me put that in perspective.

Remember the 2010 congressional races when the Tea Party flipped 63 seats for Republicans, which gave them their largest majority in decades? Republicans received 51.7% of the votes overall. Democrats got 44.9%. That was a 6.8-point gap.

This is a 13.5-point gap. For those who have to take off their shoes to count past 10, that is double the gap of 2010.

The 1994 gap was also 6.8-points.

You have to go back to 1946 -- when Republicans gained 55 seats to end 16 years of Democrat rule -- to find a bigger gap.

8.5 points.

Steve Bannon was not talking out of his hat when he said Republicans could flip 100 seats this year.

Could.

The Real Clear Politics average of polls put the gap at 4.1 points.

This could have staying power because Gallup reported there is a 5-point gap in favor of Republicans in how people identify themselves. A year ago, Democrats had a 9-point advantage.

That was a 14-point swing in one year.

We all know the reason. Biden. He has had the worst first year of a presidency since William Harrison died a month after his inauguration in 1841. He too had a goofball vice president named John Tyler.

Biden surrendered Afghanistan and left $80 billion worth of military equipment -- and thousands of Americans -- behind. Biden adopted inflation as his economic policy, which helps the rich as the stock market soars but hurts the poor as wages cannot keep up. And Biden blew covid. More people died under him than under Trump -- and Trump had no vaccines for most of his presidency.

Gallup reported, "20% think pandemic is improving, 22% staying same, 58% getting worse."

Jimmy Carter 2.0?

Don't be foolish.

This is Herbert Hoover II.

My next post will be at 5 PM Eastern.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; History; Politics
KEYWORDS: 2022election; 2024election; election2022; election2024
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1 posted on 01/20/2022 12:38:52 PM PST by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

If they are RINOs, what good does it do?


2 posted on 01/20/2022 12:39:56 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Red Badger

sorry polls worthless with massive fraud coming.... senile joe telegraphed it yesterday


3 posted on 01/20/2022 12:40:57 PM PST by sheehan (TRUMP WON.)
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To: Red Badger

Don’t be counting chickens just yet. There are 10 months to go. Never underestimate the ability of the GOP to pull defeat from the jaws of victory.


4 posted on 01/20/2022 12:41:06 PM PST by Seruzawa ("The Political left is the Garden of Eden of incompetence" - Marx the Smarter (Groucho))
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To: Red Badger

Which probably means they actually have a 26 point lead, not that at matters.


5 posted on 01/20/2022 12:41:09 PM PST by Steely Tom ([Voter Fraud] == [Civil War])
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To: dfwgator
If they are RINOs, what good does it do?

Quit your sniveling.

6 posted on 01/20/2022 12:41:44 PM PST by Drew68 (Ron DeSantis for President 2024)
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To: Red Badger

1. Ten months away. Events that happen and how different politicians respond to events, between now and November can and likely will affect the numbers.

2. If too many GOP politicians respond poorly to events that have not yet happened, leads they have today can shrink.

3. Staying on principles can prevent number 2.


7 posted on 01/20/2022 12:42:55 PM PST by Wuli
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That is barely over the fraud margin. There will always be one big dem county that reports last after everybody else reports. I wonder if an election law that stipulates all precincts report simultaneously would be considered racist voter suppression


8 posted on 01/20/2022 12:43:02 PM PST by dsrtsage ( Complexity is just simple lacking imagination)
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To: Red Badger

The key in your district is to contact and/or participate in the local committees to ensure your endorsed candidates are not RINO’s and that they are true conservatives. Also, if there are primaries, campaign and back the conservative.

In many districts they GOP is so inept they aren’t fielding decent candidates to run against Dems. We are trying to oust Paul Tonko (D,lefty) in the NY 20th. Some incumbents are tough to beat but this year anything can happen in purple districts.


9 posted on 01/20/2022 12:44:22 PM PST by 1Old Pro (Let's make crime illegal again!)
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To: Red Badger
Urgent information about the variant Gonorrhea Lectim

The Center for Disease Control has issued a warning about a new virulent strain of this old disease!

The disease is called Gonorrhea Lectim.

It's pronounced "Gonna re-elect 'em", and is capable of crippling our current population.

The disease is contracted through dangerous and high risk behavior involving putting your cranium up your rectum. It's sad because Gonorrhea Lectim is easily cured with a new drug just coming on the market called Votemout.

It's pronounced "Vote-em-out." It can be picked up at your local pharmacy without a Doctor's prescription.

You take the first dose now. The second dose should be taken just before the 2022 elections, otherwise, it could eventually wipe out all life as we presently know it in the USA.

Please pass this important message on to all those bright folks who truly care about America and to the many misguided fools who think socialism is the answer to all their personal failings.

10 posted on 01/20/2022 12:44:30 PM PST by Osage Orange (1961 VW Two Door Truck)
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People shouldn’t vote for the leaders who did nothing in the battleground states outside of Fann in AZ. The GOP won’t lose their majorities if you don’t vote for the leaders like Mike Shirkley in MI. The Democrats didn’t lose their majority in NJ when the truck driver defeated Sweeney.


11 posted on 01/20/2022 12:48:11 PM PST by TakebackGOP
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To: Red Badger

I am not sure how much fraud will play apart in this election, but if it’s like last time, they will only try to pull it off in areas where their operatives are in full control of the election offices and polling places (atlanta, philadelphia, etc), but this mid term is shaping up to absolutely rek democrats, and they can see the writing on the wall.

There is no way that people like Pelosi are just going to sit around for 9 months and watch this absolute trainwreck unfold. Expect something very very desperate. I’m thinking false flag on a scale like we’ve never seen it.


12 posted on 01/20/2022 12:48:52 PM PST by z3n (Kakistocracy)
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To: Red Badger

They’ll f*** it up, they’re good at that


13 posted on 01/20/2022 12:49:10 PM PST by mrmeyer (You can't conquer a free man; the most you can do is kill him. Robert Heinlein)
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To: Red Badger
If Trafalgar Group had factored in vote fraud they'd see a 20 point Rat Party blowout.
14 posted on 01/20/2022 12:50:11 PM PST by Gay State Conservative (Covid Is All About Mail In Balloting)
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To: dfwgator

What do Dominion polls say?


15 posted on 01/20/2022 12:50:51 PM PST by Luke21
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To: Red Badger

pride cometh before a fall.

i hope we can just have a fair election and take back the houses and watch as pelosi puts up the fence to maintain her power.


16 posted on 01/20/2022 12:53:06 PM PST by teeman8r (Armageddon won't be pretty, but it's not like it's the end of the world or something )
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To: Red Badger

So what?

They are NOT democrats.

So they tell us.

They just aspire to be Assistant democrats.

And we are supposed to support them?

Why?


17 posted on 01/20/2022 12:54:37 PM PST by Howie66 (Let's Go Brandon!!)
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To: Red Badger

So the Dims will “win” by fewer votes, though the vote totals will be higher.


18 posted on 01/20/2022 12:58:58 PM PST by Ingtar
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To: Red Badger

19 posted on 01/20/2022 12:59:00 PM PST by 4Liberty (Let's go Brandon 👏 ...👏 ...👏👏👏 https://youtu.be/qr_F_XQrukM?t=1)
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To: Red Badger

Which is why Biden and his commmie scum must pass the voting right act of 2022.


20 posted on 01/20/2022 1:02:32 PM PST by Jonny7797
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