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U.S. Economy Set To Surge Later This Year? Don’t Bet On It.
19FortyFive ^ | 1/25/2021 | Desmond Lachman

Posted on 01/25/2021 1:24:59 PM PST by Onthebrink

Something strange is going on in the markets and in economic policymaking circles. Despite the world having just suffered from its worst economic recession in the past ninety years, the overwhelming consensus view is that the U.S. will experience a strong economic recovery in the second half of this year and the economy will soon return back to normal.

Such a strong recovery would be in marked contrast to that following the 2008-2009 Great Economic Recession, which was the slowest economic recovery on record and which was punctuated by a number of fits and starts. Those fits and starts included the 2010 European sovereign debt crisis and the 2013 taper tantrum in the emerging market economies.

(Excerpt) Read more at 19fortyfive.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; History; Politics
KEYWORDS: blogpimp; clickbait; coronavirus; covid19; economy; useconomy
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To: a fool in paradise

Well, ol’ Joe was there, so...maybe they had a deal?

“Hey, Joe.”

“Whassat, Jimmy?”

“Y’ever think about tryin’ out this President gig?”

“Why, sure I do, Jimmy. What about it?”

“Well, Joe; it’s tougher then it looks. But I’ll tell you what: y’ever make it this far, you promise you’ll make me look good. How’s ‘at?”

“Oh, I sure will, Jimmy. You can count on me.”


21 posted on 01/25/2021 1:43:34 PM PST by HKMk23 (The days of my sojourn have been few and evil, and I have not attained the staure of my forebears.)
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To: Onthebrink

The Bidet effect is coming.


22 posted on 01/25/2021 1:46:57 PM PST by beethovenfan (Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: a fool in paradise

Everyone should be planning for the worst—inflation, shortages, massive unemployment, crazy regulations, discrimination against straight white males.

The Democrats want to destroy the middle class—then plan to _crush_ it.

Be prepared.


23 posted on 01/25/2021 1:48:03 PM PST by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it.)
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To: Onthebrink

Collectivism is designed only to destroy, not to build.


24 posted on 01/25/2021 1:50:39 PM PST by lurk ( )
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To: OwenKellogg
Can you show me on the posting guidelines where it says that this cannot be excerpted?

Probably not.

Can you state a reason why it should be excerpted?

This n00b posts excerpts from this blog every day.
Sure looks like he's doing it for money to score hookers and crack.

Prove me wrong.

Or do you think hookers and crack are a great thing to support?

25 posted on 01/25/2021 1:54:24 PM PST by humblegunner (Balls To Picasso.)
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To: Onthebrink

The only thing that will surge this year is inflation in the economy and unusual death rates among Trump supporters, gun owners, and Caucasians...


26 posted on 01/25/2021 1:56:49 PM PST by SuperLuminal (Where is Joe McCarthy now that we desperately need him sober?)
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To: cgbg

Add in collecting unemployment because you are afraid of getting the virus. Biden has already said this. I wonder if he will add unemployment can be collected for 98 weeks like they had during the Obama administration.


27 posted on 01/25/2021 1:57:40 PM PST by Freee-dame
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To: Onthebrink

All that idiot had to do was allow the economy to open up. Instead he starts killing even more jobs.


28 posted on 01/25/2021 1:58:40 PM PST by Phillyred
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To: Onthebrink

Not likely .... that surge is the back-pressure on the plugged sewer line. /s


29 posted on 01/25/2021 1:58:57 PM PST by ptsal (Vote R.E.D. >>>Remove Every Democrat ***)
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To: humblegunner
"Can you show me on the excerpt list where it says this blog cannot be posted in full?"

IMHO, since it is mostly repetitive old news seeking clicks, that would be a blessing...

30 posted on 01/25/2021 2:00:07 PM PST by SuperLuminal (Where is Joe McCarthy now that we desperately need him sober?)
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To: Onthebrink
"U.S. Economy Set To Surge Later This Year? ...."


31 posted on 01/25/2021 2:07:00 PM PST by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
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To: Little Ray

I keep saying, that regardless of any formulas that people in denial might use, when you treat money like it has no real value, eventually it will not.

The way we have been creating money out of thin air with no economic activity behind it will blow up at some point. It has to.


32 posted on 01/25/2021 2:07:19 PM PST by Codeflier (Covid-19 taught me: Two types of "conservatives", frightened safety seekers vs. freedom lovers)
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To: cgbg

I’ve been doing this ever since Clinton was elected.
I could see the iceberg in the distance.
Today the Props are out of the water.


33 posted on 01/25/2021 2:11:41 PM PST by rellic
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To: Codeflier

The tricky part is to figure out when the hyper-inflation will kick in...

It requires a significant increase in the velocity of that money, which means a lot of it has to go to actual consumer spending.

We are talking about a _lot_—these “stimulus checks” are a drop in the bucket.

The economy is so out of whack that it is difficult to increase velocity right now.

What could set it off is a massive war effort, where millions of people became newly employed by defense contractors and there are required unions forcing high wages—and then workers had real money to spend. But—even that would fail if robots were allowed to replace many high wage workers.

Then you would have “wartime” price controls and massive shortages for some period.

The moment the price controls are lifted you would get the hyperinflation.

The bottom line—.gov messing with the economy will cause wild swings in prices, supply, capacity, etc—total chaos.


34 posted on 01/25/2021 2:18:40 PM PST by cgbg (A kleptocracy--if they can keep it.)
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To: Peter W. Kessler
The left is in charge now. They can make the numbers say anything they want / need them to say.

Well, they can't stop the numbers on the gas pumps from skyrocketing. They can't stop gas and electric bills from skyrocketing. Consumers are going to get walloped in the pocketbook, and that's never good when you're the problem and it's reelection time.

35 posted on 01/25/2021 2:19:42 PM PST by AlaskaErik (In time of peace, prepare for war.)
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To: Onthebrink

Onthebrink-—what are your thoughts on this issue?


36 posted on 01/25/2021 2:33:34 PM PST by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Onthebrink

Ah yes, we’re going back to the eternal prospective surges of the obozo years.


37 posted on 01/25/2021 2:46:52 PM PST by TalBlack (We have a Christian duty and a patriotic duty. God help us.)
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To: Onthebrink

Steve Forbes to Newsmax TV: Economic ‘Crisis’ Coming
(Newsmax TV’s “Saturday Agenda”)
By Eric Mack
23 January 2021
https://www.newsmax.com/newsmax-tv/steve-forbes-economy-crisis-inflation/2021/01/23/id/1006897/


38 posted on 01/25/2021 3:04:20 PM PST by familyop
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To: Onthebrink

Unfortunately the 31 percent drop in 2nd quarter 2020 GDP and likely contraction in the 4th quarter leaves a lot of low hanging fruit for big growth numbers early on in the Biden-Harris administration. Beyond six months, only heaven knows.


39 posted on 01/25/2021 3:04:27 PM PST by buckalfa
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To: humblegunner

Adblock stops only one link on that site. That’s pretty clean, a lot cleaner than many other sites linked here.


40 posted on 01/25/2021 3:08:52 PM PST by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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