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Here are your chances of dying from COVID-19 in the next six months
NY Post ^ | December 10, 2020 | 2:17pm | Lia Eustachewich

Posted on 12/10/2020 12:02:01 PM PST by conservative98

Americans have a 1-in-1,000 chance of dying of COVID-19 in the next six months, a Stanford University health expert said Thursday at a Food and Drug Administration hearing.

Dr. Steven Goodman, an associate dean at Stanford’s School of Medicine, based that probability off recent statistics showing roughly 285,000 deaths in the country over the last seven months and about 1,000 deaths a day.

“A randomly chosen US citizen has an average risk of dying from COVID in the next 6 months, that is by the end of May, of roughly 1 in 1,000 and the risk of hospitalization of roughly about 1 in 200,” Goodman told an FDA advisory committee at a virtual hearing.

“These numbers obviously vary widely by individual,” he said.

Goodman said the findings also don’t factor in Wednesday’s record mortality rate, when 3,000 daily deaths were reported for the first time.

The all-day hearing is being held by the FDA’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee, which is weighing whether the benefits of Pfizer and BioNTech’s COVID-19 vaccine outweigh the risks — and it should be approved for emergency use.

The panel of 23 health experts will vote at the end of the meeting.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: covid1984; fakenews; science; stanford; stevengoodman; youlie
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1 posted on 12/10/2020 12:02:01 PM PST by conservative98
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To: conservative98

Americans have 1 in 1,000 chance of dying from COVID-19 in next 6 months, expert says https://t.co/OZqFXH3Exq pic.twitter.com/Px3kS6RX6X— New York Post (@nypost) December 10, 2020

Outright lies.— 👽 3amlowdown 👻 (@3amlowdown) December 10, 2020


2 posted on 12/10/2020 12:02:11 PM PST by conservative98
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To: conservative98

Not if they take IVERMECTIN!!


3 posted on 12/10/2020 12:04:13 PM PST by missnry (The truth will set you free ... and drive liberals crazy!)
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To: conservative98

Chances of dying in a car crash in the USA according to the NY Times: 1 in 103.

No lockdowns on cars?

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/14/us/opioids-car-crash-guns.html


4 posted on 12/10/2020 12:04:38 PM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (As long as Hillary Clinton remains free equal justice under the law will never exist in the USA)
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To: missnry

Good luck if this gentleman figures your dosage.


5 posted on 12/10/2020 12:05:33 PM PST by Colt1851Navy (What was wrong with Nixon?)
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To: conservative98

So a family of 4 has a 1/250 chance of losing someone in the next 6 months.

Those really aren’t very good odds.


6 posted on 12/10/2020 12:05:44 PM PST by desertfreedom765
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To: conservative98

Ha Ha, looks like we are safe from other causes of death. It seems no one is dying from the things that used to kill us. Guess that’s good news. Besides when your going I get to be 90 in 3 months it could just be God taking you home.


7 posted on 12/10/2020 12:07:42 PM PST by Cottonpatch
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To: conservative98
“A randomly chosen US citizen..." is given odds that “...obviously vary widely by individual”. I'm not as educated as some here, but in school, I was taught this kind of thing has a technical term: "pulling it out of your butt".

I'm high risk for Wuhan. I'm scared of getting it. Even I don't buy those anally-prised odds.
8 posted on 12/10/2020 12:07:56 PM PST by Retrofitted
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To: conservative98

There must be bodies everywhere.


9 posted on 12/10/2020 12:08:39 PM PST by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer”)
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To: blueunicorn6

And crematories you can see from space (according to WAY too many people here).


10 posted on 12/10/2020 12:09:32 PM PST by Retrofitted
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

1 in 6 for heart disease...


11 posted on 12/10/2020 12:10:46 PM PST by Mathews (It's all gravy, baby!)
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To: conservative98

This is an argument for the vaccine. He was testifying in front of the FDA for EUA


12 posted on 12/10/2020 12:11:23 PM PST by gas_dr (Trial lawyers AND POLITICIANS are Endangering Every Patient in America: INCLUDING THEIR LIBERTIES)
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To: conservative98

And your chance of dying of anything else is three times greater.


13 posted on 12/10/2020 12:12:36 PM PST by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: desertfreedom765

Not sure it works that way, unless the family of four is four people chosen randomly from the US population?


14 posted on 12/10/2020 12:12:41 PM PST by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: blueunicorn6

Yes there are. Our streets are clogged with wagons full of dead plague victims. Our county has lost three people ...all on deaths doorstep before being diagnosed


15 posted on 12/10/2020 12:13:00 PM PST by Archie Bunker on steroids (You may not take an interest in politics, but politics takes an interest in you "Pericles" )
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To: conservative98

Steve Goodman, Stanford liar and propagandist?

16 posted on 12/10/2020 12:13:25 PM PST by conservative98
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To: desertfreedom765
So a family of 4 has a 1/250 chance of losing someone in the next 6 months.
Those really aren’t very good odds.

Yeah, and they're really not very REAL odds, either. What a joke.

17 posted on 12/10/2020 12:14:02 PM PST by Sicon ("All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." - G. Orwell)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

That’s over a lifetime. Over the next 6 months. Don’t think it’s that great.


18 posted on 12/10/2020 12:14:07 PM PST by conservative98
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To: desertfreedom765
No, the chance of one persson in a family of four dying in the next six months is NOT 1 in 250. It is 1-(1-0.001)*4 = 3.94/1000.
19 posted on 12/10/2020 12:15:25 PM PST by MIchaelTArchangel (I miss Don Imus!)
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To: conservative98
A randomly chosen US citizen

is in poor health in America. If you're under 60 with no other conditions it goes from 1/1,000 to 1/10,000

20 posted on 12/10/2020 12:16:14 PM PST by 1Old Pro ( )
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