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"The Failer Strategy"—Why Trump Lost Ground with the White Working Class
Unz | November 18, 2020 | Scot Olmstead

Posted on 11/19/2020 10:37:13 PM PST by Zhang Fei

Link

The 2016 Presidential election results (remember them?) were a vindication of four people:

First, the incomparable Pat Buchanan, who ran for the presidency three times on an America First platform, championing the ideas that ultimately propelled the Trump campaign.

Buchanan was a prophet—a man of foresight, courage, and vision who loved his people and delivered a warning that went unheeded. Trump had the benefit of running in light of the damage and wreckage that Buchanan predicted.

Second, Samuel Francis, editor, columnist and essayist who long predicted the rise of “Middle American Radicals”, a phalanx of dispossessed white working-class voters yearning for a populist tribune.

Third, Steve Sailer, who has repeatedly argued that the GOP can still win national elections by maximizing the white vote. The “Sailer Strategy” was the playbook the Trumpists implicitly followed—in 2016.

Fourth, Ann Coulter, whose book Adios America seems to have been read in Trump’s orbit and provided much of the rhetorical ammunition for his immigration agenda—in 2016.

But four years later, pending the outcome of legal challenges raising legitimate questions about irregularities, anomalies and possible election fraud, we sit on the precipice of a Joe Biden presidency.

Joe Biden! A man who is arguably senile, when not convinced he is really Neil Kinnock, who ran a McKinley-style campaign from his basement in Delaware and who plans to open America’s borders.

What happened?

Here I’m relying on Fox News/ Associated Press’s analyses of voting behavior, which can be contrasted with its 2016 exit poll data. I have to say, though, that the data is much-disputed and is definitely subject to revision. But given its methodology and sample size, the data produced by Fox/AP appear to me to be the most accurate for now.


TOPICS: Government; Miscellaneous; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: 2020; chicompropaganda; fakeelection; fakenews; garbageessay; ibtz; kag; maga; nevertrumper; tds; trump; trumphasnotlost; utternonsense; vdare; zot
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Long essay about how Trump did his re-election effort no favors by listening to his son-in-law, and adopting Kushnerism as an electoral strategy. This strategy saw him releasing serious drug felons early, while failing to take an axe to immigration and securing the border from day one. Enough 2016 white voters became disaffected to offset the Republicans who came home to the GOP (who voted against him in 2016) and the minorities who did vote in greater %s for him. But in ignoring the silver dollars (the white vote) at his feet to search high and low for pennies (minority votes) in every nook and cranny, Trump created a situation where the possibility of a second contiguous term is hanging by a slender legal thread dependent on the whims of the Supreme Court.
1 posted on 11/19/2020 10:37:13 PM PST by Zhang Fei
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To: Zhang Fei

That must be how Trump got 10 million votes more than last time. Idiotic... He didn’t lose the white working class.


2 posted on 11/19/2020 10:40:56 PM PST by DesertRhino (Dog is man's best friend, and moslems hate dogs. Add that up. .... )
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To: Zhang Fei

Maybe. The fact is, however, that whites will be a minority in the United States in a few years—we already are in CA, where I live (I’m white).

Therefore I’m very happy Trump got so many Latino votes. Latinos are natural Republicans—they attend mass weekly, they have large close families, they own or work for small businesses. They are the future of the US; they have tons of babies.

I did my part; I had 4 children myself. :)


3 posted on 11/19/2020 10:43:34 PM PST by olivia3boys
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To: Zhang Fei

Bullshit. Who the hell was showing up at his rallies, which were far bigger than they were in 2016? And who does this guy think makes up the majority of the 80 million people who voted for him this election? The felons he released as part of his prison reform programs were Federal inmates, sentenced for many years, for non-violent drug offenses. Compare that with the Democrat Governors who released thousands of serious offenders from jails and prisons due to the virus.


4 posted on 11/19/2020 10:51:25 PM PST by mass55th ("Courage is being scared to death, but saddling up anyway." ~~ John Wayne )
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To: Zhang Fei
"while failing to take an axe to immigration and securing the border from day one."

What President Trump has accomplished so far is thanks to almost no one in Washington.

Two years were frittered away listening to the promises of Paul Ryan who gaslighted President Trump from the get go. Then there was the whole band of feckless traitors starting with McCain, Romney, Sessions, Rosenstein, Rex "The Gay Caballero" Tillerson, General Kelly, etc. etc. ad nauseam.

But President Trump's biggest error was choosing "Javanka" over Bannon and Gorka. Things would have been way different with Bannon and Gorka on the staff.

5 posted on 11/19/2020 10:54:14 PM PST by Governor Dinwiddie (Guide me, O thou great redeemer, pilgrim through this barren land.)
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To: DesertRhino

Small example. A white painter was working at my house in September. He volunteered that he didn’t vote for Trump in 2016 but had taken the red pill and was enthusiastic for 2020 because despite maybe not liking Trump that much he loved what he was doing.

Another worker here said something quite similar.

I looked at who was at the rallies and as I recall very few who voted for Trump in 2016 said they’d vote Obama in 2020.


6 posted on 11/19/2020 10:54:23 PM PST by Aria (- )
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Here I’m relying on Fox News/Associated Press’s analyses of voting behavior …
You sure will regret doing that.
7 posted on 11/19/2020 10:55:39 PM PST by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: Zhang Fei
Assuming the popular vote count is correct.

Who here believes that?

8 posted on 11/19/2020 11:00:00 PM PST by Widget Jr
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To: Widget Jr

The vote is fraudulent so why are they even writing this story LIARS!!


9 posted on 11/19/2020 11:01:25 PM PST by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

Thank you for your answer.


10 posted on 11/19/2020 11:02:53 PM PST by Widget Jr
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To: Zhang Fei
Most of the people in that list are the type of people who get their nose bent out of shape when their idea is not put on stage and applauded. They are missing a bit of humility.

Case in point, John Bolton. Another one is Ann Coulter.

11 posted on 11/19/2020 11:08:30 PM PST by Slyfox (Not my circus, not my monkeys )
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To: Zhang Fei

Funny, and yet, he had incredible increases in every minority class voter.

Not buying the premise.


12 posted on 11/19/2020 11:08:52 PM PST by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: Zhang Fei
Assuming the current vote count is accurate.

Who here believes that?

13 posted on 11/19/2020 11:11:20 PM PST by Widget Jr
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To: Zhang Fei

Democrat lies to account for their loss of the minority groups. Trump didn’t lose the white working class. The Democrats did not get their vote.


14 posted on 11/19/2020 11:13:33 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: Zhang Fei

Voters are very much “what have you done for me lately”. And the last 8 months of covid has placed it at the forefront of everyone’s mind. The President’s inability to educate Americans that the President has no official role because of Federalism may cost him IMHO. Those duties and responsibilities not included in the Constitution revert to the States.


15 posted on 11/19/2020 11:23:20 PM PST by vigilence (Vigilence)
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To: DesertRhino

“10 million more votes...”
...exactly!


16 posted on 11/19/2020 11:25:06 PM PST by albie
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To: Zhang Fei

Fake News! He gained if you can count the honest votes.


17 posted on 11/19/2020 11:26:00 PM PST by Choppo
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To: Zhang Fei

You normally have good analysis. This time you suck.


18 posted on 11/19/2020 11:48:50 PM PST by datura (If you have to cheat, you didn't’ win.)
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To: datura

[You normally have good analysis. This time you suck.]


I can’t claim credit for this thesis. I’m merely summarizing the author’s spiel so Freepers can comment on it without reading the excerpt. I think it’s a reasonable thesis.

But there’s also an alternate thesis. Trump raised $1.6b over 2 years.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-team-spent-16-billion-raised-years/story?id=73795897

Maybe the guy he entrusted the cash to, Brad Parscale, spent too much too early, expecting the flow of cash to continue indefinitely. Which it did not. That is why in the closing months of the Trump campaign, it was virtually invisible ad-wise, whereas Biden’s ads were ubiquitous, thereby capturing the middle-of-the-road low information voter who is key to deciding election outcomes.


19 posted on 11/20/2020 12:07:42 AM PST by Zhang Fei (My dad had a Delta 88. That was a car. It was like driving your living room.)
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To: Zhang Fei

It’s the fraud. clod. He didn’t lose anybody. Total BS, especially if Fox is involved.


20 posted on 11/20/2020 12:30:25 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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