Posted on 11/04/2020 7:34:18 AM PST by LS
Spent considerable time on the phone with Richard Baris who has been up all night watching these votes.
(I signed off last night thinking both WI and MI were secure!)
1) Baris thinks WI is legit, that the blue areas overperformed the way Cankles should have in 2016.
2) He thinks MI is suspect. Overcoming a 600,000 lead with utter top-end performance out of absentees? Baris recommends WH demand a re-canvass. Passed this rec along to WH.
3) PA: Baris thinks the Trump lead, especially in areas left to count, is insurmountable even for Philly Phraud. WH needs to be on top, but should hold PA.
4) He's concerned about Cobb and Fulton. But our own Lazamataz has run the numbers and Baris agrees Trump holds GA by 40,000.
5) AZ: both Gov. Douchey and Kelli Ward think we have the votes. Douchey has so informed the WH. WH thinks we hold AZ by 30,000.
GA, AZ, PA=win.
6) NV: although only 7,000 lead for Bitme right now with almost 1/3 outstanding, Baris is concerned that most of these are Clark absentees. It would be poetic justice to lose AZ, but win with NV.
Way too early for postmortems but Trump came in exactly where I said he would with blacks (12%, plus -4% off turnout). Baris called FL perfectly, saying Trump could win Hispanics outfight (48%, so pretty darn close).
After seeing the WI and MI leads, I thought we were safe in both. This is going to the courts if Trump holds AZ and GA. The good news in both states you have an R gov and legislature.
Haven't gotten around to senate. Last I heard it was 52-48, but that could change too.
Thanks for everything. I popped around all night on different browser tabs but mostly you guys were my audio.
trump would have to get 60% of outstanding votes in az to win it
Check that. If James loses it will be 51-49 with Minion as the most powerful man in the Senate.
and you did an amazing job with the webcast. Sorry I had to bail out... ironically last night was the first actual night of sleep I’ve had in weeks.
Yeah. Just spoke to Rich.
I know. One of those things. We planned for him to be remote, but at last minute said, “we need you in studio.” Said he couldn’t. So we were back to remote and never got the sound where it should be.
Excellent post, thanks.
Gosar: Biteme lead 10,000 with 20% of votes out.
Baris: election day vote 3:1 for Trump.
As well as the fact that more votes were counted than there are registered voters in MI.
I thought they might have been on your end, but it seemed like Rich had problems on both ends with sound, because when he was on with Bannon, he had some, but not all the same issues he had with your setup.
What do you think you need?
biden leading by 93K with 86% in
We watched your webcast last night. Great show but a little more work on your main analyst’s audio would be a big plus.
Fox News is rapidly losing this Freeper to Newsmax and streaming shows like the one you did last night. No more Chris Wallace for me.
Great job keep it up.
I hear you. I respect you. But this can’t go on anymore.
Work out something using your “watermelon” concept.
Is it me, or has there been a remarkable, some might say suspicious, lack of discussion in the media about what voters were telling exit pollsters about the reasons for their votes?
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Great post, RitaOK.
You’re telling me. It was annoying. We did this on a shoestring. If we do this again, you can bet THIS will be fixed.
Don’t know. We’ll solve this next time by getting him to our studio.
Very interesting map. You can pin point where the riots will take place if electors do their jobs.
I enjoyed your podcast.
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