Posted on 10/29/2020 4:43:55 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
Early voting trends bode well for Trump. – For those who, like me, are obsessing over the early voting trends in key swing states, frequent contributor Larry Schweikart has a very good piece posted up at UncoverDC.com this morning.
Here’s an excerpt from that piece:
As the Democrat lead in the Vote By Mail (VBM) mounted two weeks ago, many Republicans panicked. Not only do Democrats usually lead in “early” voting (which includes both VBM and “In-Person Early Voting,” or IPEV), but this year in particular—with the China Virus—their emphasis on VBM has resulted in stunning voting levels. So far.
Then, suddenly, the Democrats peaked. On or around October 16, their VBM numbers, especially in Florida, began to slow. Although they had one last burst for the “Souls to the Polls” of October 24-25, it was their last gasp. When IPEV started in Florida, Republicans came out like a mighty wave, rolling over the Democrats. To date, they have over 1.3 million in-person voters. (The Democrats have not been, to use Joe Biden’s term, “chumps” at this, turning out 945,000 in-person early voters, but they are steadily losing ground). Democrats had built a 615,000 lead before the Red Charge, and now lead in total votes in Florida only by 242,102. While the pace of Republican voting is breathtaking—at one point they were adding 6,000 votes per hour—they are now on a pace to be well ahead of 2016, when Hillary Clinton entered election day with an 88,000 lead in the Sunshine State.
Ponder that. Despite the most extensive early vote/VBM campaign in history by the Democrats, Republicans are as of today poised to lead by election day. Even more astounding, they are within a mere 8,000 votes overall of winning Miami-Dade County. And right now Republicans in every county from Pensacola to the western border of Jacksonville at or above 98% of their 2016 levels (except Bay, Butler, and Leon which started later), but in these same counties Democrat turnout is lagging.
[End]
There is much more good news in several other states, so go read the full piece. You’ll feel better after you’ve done so.
Larry added one more tasty tidbit regarding Arizona on his Twitter feed late last night:
The Texas Supreme Court In Texas, we can vote for our Supreme Court...even though the last 4 were chosen for us. Ad by RA NEWS See More We are also having very strong early voting turnout in my home state of Texas, where the media has been heavily touting the potential for the Democrats to somehow turn the state blue in this election, just as the media has touted in every Texas election since 2008.
Some of you have no doubt been concerned by the recent fake poll paid for by the Dallas Morning News showing Biden ahead in Texas. Below is the estimate of early votes already cast in Texas by TargetSmart, a Democrat firm, which uses a formula that has proven to be accurate to estimate this in states, like Texas, that don’t require voters to register their party affiliation
4 Key Seats on the Ballot Hey Voters, the Texas Supreme Court has seats to fill too! Ad by RA NEWS See More As you can see, according to this Democrat firm, R voters are 18% ahead of D voters in early and mail-in balloting, which amounts to over 1 MILLION votes. Also understand that far more Rs are planning to vote in person on election day than Ds are. Texas will not be close, and Trump will win.
Stop worrying about Texas. There are plenty of other places to worry about – like Wisconsin, Virginia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.
So, how’s the Biden/Harris Harris/Biden campaign going? – While President Donald Trump was speaking before a crowd of 23,000 Arizonans in Bullhead City (total population, 40,000), Kamala Harris was speaking before a pretend audience that the media wouldn’t even show because it was so pitifully paltry.
But that’s only part of the story. Check out this video clip of the stage getting set up for her 30 seconds before she was scheduled to speak.
Surreal. Absolutely surreal.
But what about Michigan? – Yesterday, some media-sponsored fake poll came out showing Biden/Harris Harris/Biden with a whopping 17-point lead in Michigan. So, if the Biden/Harris Harris/Biden camp really believed that poll, wouldn’t they be skipping Michigan to campaign in more fertile territory? Say, maybe North Carolina or Pennsylvania one more time?
Of course, they would. But that poll is as fake as Jake Tapper’s furrowed brow, so not only will Creepy Uncle McNastyFinger emerge from his basement lair to travel there for a Saturday rally, but he announced he will be bringing Barack Hussein Obama His Own Self with him.
So, what about Michigan? Well, the truth is that President Trump is ahead there, like he told that Arizona crowd yesterday, and Barack Hussein Obama has no power to turn back that Red tide.
As for yesterday, Quid Pro China Joe did get out into public, making it all the way to a polling place to cast a vote IN PERSON:
My guess is that he just wanted to go see who was running for president this time. Imagine his surprise.
He will not stop this until someone stops him. – We’ve seen lots of stories this week about President Trump having a growing list of high-level officials to be purged from the federal government shortly after he wins re-election for a second term in office. That list is rumored to include worthless hacks like Christopher Wray, roadblocks to truth and transparency like CIA Director Gina Haspel, and Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Mark Esper.
Everyone should hope and pray that the name of the little societal menace, Anthony Fauci, also makes its way onto that list of terminations. I’ve been telling you since March that Fauci’s obvious goal related to COVID-19 is to extend the pain on the American people for as long as he can get away with.
On Tuesday, Fauci told an audience in Australia that is new goal is to extend the pain all the way into 2022, as reported by NewsMax:
It’s not likely that life will return to “some semblances of normalcy” before the end of next year, or even until 2022, even though a vaccine is near, according to Dr. Anthony Fauci.
“If we get a vaccination campaign, and by the second or third quarter of 2021 we have vaccinated a substantial proportion of the people, I think it will be easily by the end of 2021, and perhaps even into the next year, before we start having some semblances of normality,” Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said during a University of Melbourne panel, CNN reported Wednesday.
[End]
So, here we see the little menace trying to extend his vauted “15 days to flatten the curve” into a destructive set of restrictions on life and the economy for two solid years. Given the chance, he will be talking about extending it into 2024 just a few months from now.
President Trump desperately needs to not give him that chance. This little menace cannot be purged from our presence soon enough.
That is all.
MAGA!!
We’ll be seeing some hysterical ads for Joe/Ho now. Moochie, actors and actresses, soccer moms, children — all breathlessly pleading to save us from destruction from Trump.
Hope this prognosis is right, but The Left means business, except for oil and gas and what else?
Am I right that the 242K lead in Florida is as of last night down to about 200K?
I just posted prior to reading this that Fauci should be gone after November 3rd. Glad to see it in print that removal of this hoaxaholic is in the tea leaves
Nope.
Its now down to an even better 196,522
Conversation
Larry Schweikart
LarrySchweikart
FL Early In Person Votes
Rs +424,386
Ds VBM lead: 620,908
Ds total lead: 196,522
2016 Ds led on election eve by 88,000
Rs 1st Target #: 108,522
Trump won on election day by 113,000
Rs 2nd Target #: HIT
Rs now lead 2nd Target by 4,478.
They will hit their 1st target Friday.
By Friday, Polk County will join Manatee, Pasco, and Sarasota counties in putting the county firmly into Republican hands.
By the weekend, Tampa Bay will likely go to the Republicans as well.
Democrats continue to control Vote-by-Mail (absentee), but their rate has slipped to +6K; on the other hand, Republicans control of Early-Voting has increased to +162K, easily out-pacing absentee voting.
17 point “lead” was in Wisconsin...
I just love the smell of voting booths in the morning - smells like - victory!
is different this year a lot of our super voters have not voted yet and will not vote till election day...We have 220,000 super voters in the bank which office of their lead in ads for 2000 extra for us...So I’m not sure that we’re gonna be even but we don’t need to because the Democrats are shut their wad I don’t have the voters for for election day
is different this year a lot of our super voters have not voted yet and will not vote till election day...We have 220,000 super voters in the bank which office of their lead in ads for 2000 extra for us...So I’m not sure that we’re gonna be even but we don’t need to because the Democrats are shut their wad I don’t have the voters for for election day
Yes. The Republicans have been biting 40,000-50,000 hunks out of the Democrat lead in Florida practically every day during early voting. The Democrats started with a mail in ballot lead of about 600,000. It was estimated they needed a mail in/early voting lead of about 650,000 to withstand the Republican surge on Election Day.
They stand at less than 200,000 now and at the rate things are going, their lead will be down to 0 before the Republican surge on Election day.
Trump is going to carry Florida again EASILY.
Thanks from one bird to another.
What we have to wonder about in those raw numbers is the people crossing party lines.
There will certainly be a small number of Never Trump GOPE types voting for Biden.
What we have no idea of is the number of D’s crossing to vote for Trump. I expect our Blue Collar Billionaire President has quite a few D’s voting for him even in the VBM category.
Last day for Tennessee early voting.
How can they know that - have they already opened the ballots and counted?
Dem lead in 2016 was 327,438 vs just 134,242 at book closing for a 193,196 net GOP gain.
Total as of 10/6/20
GOP 5,169,012
Dem 5,303,254
Minor 216,317
NPA 3,753,286
Total as of Nov. 2016
GOP 4,550,311
Dem 4,877,749
Minor 345,784
NPA 3,089,929
I recall a Presidential election in some state where the Dem was ahead throughout the day until conservatives got off work at 5pm.
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