Posted on 10/26/2020 10:37:16 AM PDT by Helicondelta
A poll conducted by InsiderAdvantage for the Center for American Greatness of 400 likely voters in Pennsylvania shows Donald Trump now leading in the state. The poll was conducted the evening of October 25 by both IVR and live cell phone interviews. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent and is weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation.
The same poll had Biden in the lead less than two weeks ago. Why? InsiderAdvantages Matt Towery explained why things have moved in Trumps favor:
These results indicate a stark shift in the contest. Our last survey of Pennsylvania showed Joe Biden leading Trump by three points. But that survey was before the last debate. Since the debate Trump has picked up support from younger voters, who based on our prior survey strongly oppose future lockdowns over Covid-19 spikes. Trump has also bolstered his lead among male voters by some twelve points. Biden continues to hold a seven point advantage over Trump among female voters. It would be nothing more than mere conjecture to attempt to correlate Bidens statements on energy and fracking in the last debate contest with the shift towards Trump in this survey. However, Trump saw gains even among senior voters which have not been his strong suit this election cycle. That suggest that some issue or set of events has caused a late shift in the contest.
(Excerpt) Read more at amgreatness.com ...
Joe Biden’s model is our village idiot senior U.S. Senator, also from Scranton. He has won three terms and basically done nothing. He only appears in scripted campaign events with carefully pre-screened audience. Yeah, he had a famous Daddy, but I cannot, for the life of me, figure out how he wins elections.
Sorry, I don’t trust Biteme’s internals.
They can steal about 1% of the vote—after that the logistics get too difficult.
(That is how it works in my home state of CT. They wait until the last minute to count the big city vote. If the statewide race is within 1% the Republican is toast—if more than 1% the Republican wins—has happened several times.)
Biden has ads running where he promises to make masks mandatory for everybody nationwide. I don’t think his campaign realizes how bad those ads are playing with undecided voters.
That's how it works in my home state of MI, as well. Wayne County (Detroit) is always the last to report, and often hours after every other county in the state has reported.
Unfortunately for them, they couldn't fabricate enough votes in 2016 to give the election to sHrillary. This year they have many more mail-in ballots that will not be counted until after the polls close, so we won't get a number out of Wayne County for several days.
That is how it works in my home state of CT. They wait until the last minute to count the big city vote. If the statewide race is within 1% the Republican is toastif more than 1% the Republican winshas happened several times.
Somebody should do a statistical study of the percentage of close races where the Democrat wins versus where the Republican wins. If elections are fair it should be 50-50.
Biden wants Pennsylvanians to junk their cars and lose their energy jobs - not good for attracting reasonable voters.
...theyve folded up!...
_________________________
FWIW:
I’ve seen 2 posts via The Donald from one of the chans (can’t tell which one, sorry)written by 2 different Biden campaign workers.
Doom/gloom. Shame. Walking away. Trying to nail down their next gig.
It’s over. Vote anyway!
If Biden is up by 3 then that's well within the margin of error so take this with a grain of salt.
Exactly. There is not one area that Biden is doing better than Hillary in. He’s lagging in the female vote, black and hispanic, unions, foreign policy, economy, law and order.
The Dems internals are just horrible. The rioting just killed them in the communities they needed to win the most.
...Bidens internals says hes up. ...
____________________________________
Public polls _say_ Biden’s up. I haven’t heard boo about Biden’s internals, yet I’ve read in the past 2 days 2 posts by different Biden campaign workers that state they are all depressed, ashamed, walking away and lining up new jobs.
If you have links to Biden internals, please post.
...being a kinky male slut...
_________________________________
That’s not how I see Hunter.
In every released pic, he is not smiling, despite drugs and being serviced. He photos himself in front of a mirror, large flaccid genitalia hanging from an unzipped fly and he looks morose.
So, despite porn actor equipment, he relies on young relatives, his brother’s widow or hired sex workers for actual sex and he married someone 1/2 his age who appears to be a ditz, from the tabloid articles of last summer.
I saw little that was kinky and a lot that looked desperate. He is apparently compelled to record himself having sex while evidencing no pleasure. I believe he has real issues of self-esteem and relies on his money and his political situation to obtain sexual partners. I wonder if he distinguishes sex with a partner from masturbation. I doubt it.
...they couldn’t fabricate enough votes in 2016 ...
___________________________________
IIRC, in 2016, a small, heavily Amish county (Lebanon? I’m not from PA) held out their votes until _after_ Philly reported. The progs probably figured they had enough extra to cover that county’s votes, but it turns out they did not.
I believe there was also a recount attempt in PA that was quickly cancelled when the Philly votes began looking shady.
We’re fortunate that the more liberal Amish in PA vote. Without them, we may have lost PA last time.
That oil comment by Biden finished him.
Biden’s internals know he has lost the State with his oil comment. That is why he tried to walk it back. But even CNN admitted that oil workers in the southern part of the State were voting Trump. Sorry, CatOwner, your boy Biden is going down in an epic defeat.
Recently saw a video of Harris in a old age home without a mask!
Find one post saying I *want* Biden to win. At worst, you'll find posts saying I'm concerned he'll win by *MASSIVE* voter fraud and intimidation. Pretty much the same as a lot of other Freepers who are worried about the election being stolen.
I've been in the Trump camp since 2016. Was first to voter for him in-person at our precinct back in California (2016), and I have already early voted for him in Texas this past weekend.
If it makes you feel better to think I'm a Biden supporter and DEM troll (despite *NEVER* having voted for a DEM candidate for POTUS in 40 years of voting), have at it. In fact, you might want to notify Jim that you absolutely believe I'm a DEM voter. There's an abuse button. Use it, if you are so inclined. If Jim bans me after 20 years, so be it.
Pennsylvania [New York Times Report] - Trump carrying 24% of Philly. If President Trump carries 24%+ of Philadelphia voters, barring massive fraud, he will win PA easily.https://t.co/IoDfKJ8VEp pic.twitter.com/IkKltDUcT3 TheLastRefuge (@TheLastRefuge2) October 26, 2020
That's pretty much it. I have a good amount of faith in a majority of American voters. That faith does not extend to a good number of voter counters.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.