Posted on 10/10/2020 4:07:32 PM PDT by CheshireTheCat
MSM is pitching a lot of polls that might suggest that Joe Biden was ahead. You even have a CNN poll claiming that Biden was up 16 points.
But even Biden himself poo pooed that poll and said don’t be taken in by that, get out and vote.
Which means that Biden knows that that’s nonsense, and it’s much closer.
As I previously wrote, Biden wouldn’t be sending folks to Nevada and New Hampshire if he wasn’t seeing things that indicated a problem in those two states which previously were thought to be sure blue in his corner. Biden wouldn’t be suddenly activating people on the ground to go out and knock on doors in ‘battleground states’ if he didn’t think he desperately needed to do it, after doing nothing no reaching out to voters on the ground in person since March.
The MSM polls often have some major flaws: oversampling of Democrats, failure to account for the shy Trump vote and often using registered voters rather than likely voters.....
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
It’s home...and my family’s here.If not for those facts I’d be somewhere else.
And there are certain states that are just too far gone to the Democrats.
Biden will carry California, Colorado, New York, Maryland, Delaware, Illinois, New Jersey, all of New England with the possible exception of New Hampshire.
If a Trump wave develops, the margin of victory in some of those states for Biden may be less than Hillary’s strong victories in such states, but they will still be carried by Biden.
So does mine, ever since 9/11
I wonder if the polls showing large Biden leads are a means to justify stringing out the vote counting process for weeks or longer until they get the result they need.
Trump said on Rush Friday that he was “up in NV, AZ, NC, FL, PA . . . a lot of places.” He did not mention NM or MN, but I suspect MN is already a Trump lead and they don’t want to talk about it so as to sandbag Biteme there.
I think he’s within 2 in NM. A good turnout, a backlash against the gov will win it for him there.
Anything on the Senatorial races? If we lose the senate it will be bad.
Send some $$ to Kimberly Klacik in MD.
Martha McSally had a great interview with Garret Lewis (local Tucson radio host, KNST) earlier this week. She really pointed out how bad Mark Kelly would be in the Senate.
Hoping the Iron Range carries the state for Trump.
Its some of both. They are not stating how many calls on average it takes to a get live person on the phone and they are oversampling Dims. A real recipe for “Wha happened, duh?”
NH has a great chance. Lots of Trump enthusiasm here and lots of liberal college kids (that provide the couple thousand votes that typically decide elections here) are at home (ie out of state). I think a real chance to pick up 2 house and a senate seat as well.
My wife won’t let me put out any Trump signs because she’s afraid the hate-has-no-home-here crowd will harm her horses.
I think RI might be close and I’m not sure about CT, but I’d love to see them flip.
What happened to Colorado by the way. Did pot smoking make a difference?
I think Trump gets NH. Hillary won by 2800 votes, with Gary Johnson getting 30,000. Plus the colleges aren’t able to corral those students as easily as 2016. New Hampshire has 160,000 college students. I don’t know how many are from out of state or if they are on campus, but their turnout should be down. They tightened their voter registration a tiny bit. All those factors easily puts NH in play.
Do you think she has a shot? In Baltimore? If so I will. Been trying to hit all the congressional candidates that are close.
From what I can see, she has a lot of momentum. She gave a fantastic speech at the Republican Convention.
Idk if anyone has posted this lately but Kevin McCullough
https://twitter.com/KMCRadio/status/1313319927542091777
(he missed Nevada and New Hampshrie)
Kevin says Trump 330 to 208 Biden-
“I predicted Obama would beat Hillary and be President in 2009, in a publicly published column in the winter of 2006.
I predicted Obama would defeat Romney in 2012.
I predicted within a half state the exact map of 2016.
This election isn’t hard. Trump wins.”
In September 2016 I had to drive from western North Carolina to the eastern part of the state to attend a funeral. I decided to avoid interstate highways and to count Hillary signs and Trump signs to alleviate boredom. I only saw a couple of each the entire trip, but I saw Thank You Jesus signs all over the place. I had never seen one of those before and I thought they were cool. I stopped to take pictures of a couple of them.
I repeated my drive this September. I saw a few of those yellow Thank You Jesus signs. I saw 3 Biden signs, and almost 200 Trump signs and flags. One rural road had a Trump sign or flag in front of every house and on many pickups on the road.
The rural enthusiasm is very different this election.
Same here, and my cars.
Don’t want my dogs murdered.
Think about that for a minute.
You can’t even put up a sign because the “kind, tolerant, vegan, love trumps hate liberals” might kill your pets or burn you to death in your sleep.
The lone Biden sign in my area still abides.
Why?
Because we’re not psychotic, soulless, murderous savages.
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