Posted on 03/01/2020 2:08:18 PM PST by CheshireTheCat
Below I summarize the primary races taking place this Tuesday by state; delegates up for grabs; whether the primary is open, mixed, or closed; latest RCP averages for the top three candidates; major newspaper endorsements; and major (cough cough) Republicans running against Trump in the Republican primary:
Alabama; 52; open; no polls; Time-Daily (Bloomberg); Weld
Arkansas; 31; open; no polls; no endorsements; Weld
California; 416; mixed; Sanders-35, Warren-17, Biden-11; San Diego Union Tribune-Buttigeg, Mercury News (San Jose) and San Francisco Chronicle-Klobuchar, San Francisco Bay Guardian and The Times Standard (Eureka)- Sanders; Weld
Colorado; 67; open; Sanders-31, Warren-18, Butt and Bloomberg- 13 (tie); Weld
Maine; 24; closed; no polls; Bangor Daily News-Klobuchar; no Republican primary
Massachusetts; 91; mixed; Sanders-25, Warren-21, Butt-13; The Boston Globe- Warren; Weld, La Fuente
Minnesota; 75; open; no polls; Star Tribune-Klobuchar; no Republican primary
North Carolina; 110; mixed; Biden-26, Sanders- 23, Bloomberg-16; The Charlotte Post – Bloomberg; Weld
Oklahoma; 37; closed; Biden- 21, Bloomberg- 20, Sanders 13; no endorsements; La Fuente
Tennessee; 64; open; no polls; no endorsements; Weld
Texas; 64; open; Sanders- 30, Biden- 20 Bloomberg- 18; El Paso Times – Butt, Houston Chronicle– Klobuchar, Austin Chronicle- Warren; Weld, La Fuente
Utah; 29; closed; Sanders- 28, Bloomberg- 15, Warren- 15; no endorsements; Weld, La Fuente
Vermont; 16; open; no polls, no endorsements; Weld, La Fuente
Virginia; 99; open; Sanders- 25, Bloomberg- 20, Biden- 19; no endorsements; no Republican primary
My understanding is that in an open primary, a person, no matter his or her party registration status, can vote in either party’s primary. In a mixed primary, a person has to register with a party that day or is considered now registered with that party by virtue of voting in a particular party’s primary. In a closed primary, a person can only vote in the primary for the party they registered with some time before the primary. Freepers in these particular states can weigh in to explain better. In some cases there have not been enough polls in a particular state for a solid average to be calculated. I used Wikipedia for the newspaper endorsements; they only listed endorsements made at least a few days ago, if not a month ago. I imagine there have been a lot new endorsements today that have not been updated.
I’m probably way excessive, but I think Dinobernie finishes with almost 1,000 (he has some 50 already).
So he wins 900+
Biteme 350
I think Dinobernie wins AR and possibly OK as well as those you listed.
Polls close in Vermont and Virginia at 7 p.m. ET
North Carolina at 7:30 p.m. ET
Tennessee, Maine, Texas, Alabama, Massachusetts, and Oklahoma at 8 p.m. ET
Arkansas at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Colorado and Minnesota at 9 p.m. ET
Utah at 10 p.m. ET
California at 11 p.m. ET.
538.com has Bernie winning 7 states. North & west.
Biden, 6 southern states.
Tex ... Biden favored.
Given that a million TX Democrats voted before the SC results were known, and that Bernie for some strange reason is killing it among Hispanic Democrats (after doing poorly among them in 2016), I think that Bernie will win TX.
I’m not feeling super
I do feel like supper though.
Comfort food! :)
Trump landslide tonight. You read it here first.
No previously hidden groundswell of support for W. Floyd Weld?
Ah, I’m sure a few idjits will cast a ballot for the Hillary Rodham wing of the party.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.