Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Numbers Don't Lie: A Timeless Truism, However Inconvenient
Illinois Review ^ | February 5, 2020 A.D. | John F Di Leo

Posted on 02/07/2020 1:24:51 PM PST by jfd1776

At this writing, early Wednesday morning, the Democratic Party has still not released the full results of Monday evening’s Iowa caucus.

The Democratic Party tells us this is because of a technological failure - that some new app failed in tabulating the votes.

Hogwash.

Never mind that Iowa has been holding caucuses for generations without such problems… Never mind the fact that every state has been holding elections for centuries, some twice a year, some three or four times a year, without such severe failures.

This is Iowa, in a presidential year.

While Iowa is a fine state, with a great deal going on, from agriculture to education, from business to sports, there is only one reason why Iowa is in the public eye, not just nationally, but globally:

The Iowa presidential caucuses.

There simply is no overstating the fact that Iowa exists, in political terms, for this one day every four years.

It is inconceivable that a technological failure could have caused more than a couple hours of interruption in the vote tabulation.

Those of us who grew up in primary states may not be fully familiar with the way that Democrats run the Iowa caucus, so I will explain, briefly.

It isn’t like there is a steady stream of people walking in and out of a polling place, all day long, putting ballots in a box, all to be tabulated at night when the polls close, after the voters have all left. That’s how a normal primary works, and that’s how a November general election works… But it is not how the Iowa Democrat Party caucus works.

In this caucus, everything is visible. There is no secret ballot.

People show up in the evening, gather in clusters around their preferred candidates, and at the end of the evening, you count up the number of people standing with each candidate’s local rep. There are little groups like this, all around the room, as many as there are candidates.

The final result is therefore totally public. Unlike a normal election, where only the pollworkers (we call them “election judges” in Illinois) are present to do the counting, virtually every person who shows up to vote can look around the room and take his own count… and many of them immediately send emails, facebook messages or other texts to family and friends immediately.

So, for example, in a precinct of 150 people, there are 150 people who know, before they leave the room, who won the precinct. And that’s exactly the case in every single precinct in Iowa.

The claim that the count is unknown is therefore utterly disingenuous.

It is clear, and yes, everyone knows it, that the Democratic Party was simply so floored by the results that they chose not to release them until they agreed on a story. And the political infighting in the Democratic Party today is so severe that they simply can’t agree on a story.

There is certainly much to discuss about the caucus method. And yes, this may be as good a time as any to debate the relative merits of the caucus method, the primary method, and the convention method, for presidential nominee selection. They all have their advantages (honestly, as a former political activist myself, this writer personally prefers the true convention method to both primaries and caucuses. But again, they all have their strong points).

So much can be debated about these events. The way America picks its president is singular, and while the electoral college is brilliant and immutable, everything else up to that point is open to discussion, since the nominees are partisan choices, and the Constitution doesn’t get involved in parties. The selection of each party’s nominees, frankly, is not a governmental function.

Who should have the right to vote? US citizens above 25? Above 21? Above 18? Both men and women, or only men, or only women? Only property owners, or only taxpayers, or only people who have served in the military, or everyone, without restriction?

All good questions, that political science students and other philosophers have agonized over for centuries.

But there is one more key point that is especially salient today.

The Democratic Party has always claimed to be “the party of the people,” while almost always being far more elitist in its operation and management then their rivals (primarily, the Federalists, then the Whigs, then finally the Republicans). The Iowa caucuses are a perfect example of this fact.

The Democratic Party will choose its presidential nominee this summer at a nominating convention to be held in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. There will be 4765 voting delegates to that convention.

Only 41 of those delegates were up for selection at Monday evening’s caucus.

Yes, you read that right… The first-in-the-nation presidential selection event, the Iowa caucus, only chooses 41 of the Democrats’ 4765 delegates.

Now, let’s think about this.

Iowa has a bit over 3 million people; the United States’ citizen population is a bit over 300 million. So, as population goes, Iowa is about 1% of the nation’s total

The Democratic National Convention has 4765 delegates, but only 3979 of them are selected in the primary and caucus process. The DNC has another 771 “automatic delegates” who can participate in every vote after the first one – office holders, party bosses, leaders of interest groups, etc. So 16% of their convention-goers are additional party elites.

This may not sound odd, but compare it with the Republicans, who have a completely different process for delegate selection. Of the Republicans’ 2551 total delegates, only about 150 are automatic party boss types – three per state - allocated outside the primary and caucus process. So only 6% of the Republican convention-goers are additional party elites. (This isn’t to say that Republican congressmen, state reps, and former office holders can’t be delegates too… but they have to actually run for the honor and be selected in the caucuses or primaries by the voters – it’s not handed to them by virtue of their position).

This might not be a big deal, if it weren’t for the fact that the Democrats constantly complain about the electoral college not representing the November popular vote so well… Because of its design to slightly strengthen the weight of small states, out of respect for our federalist Republican system. The party that so opposes this electoral college tradition has a similar method itself, but feels no hypocrisy. As long as they are never called on it, it must not be a problem.

In short, when you seek to determine which party is more elitist, in terms of automatically giving honors to the nobility, the Democrats win that contest.

More important though, of course, is the issue of openness. The Iowa caucus results were buried, most likely because the Democratic Party was scared of the results, and they couldn’t decide how to spin them.

Fifty years ago, Chicagoans of this writer’s generation knew how “Hizzoner” – “Da Boss” – Mayor Richard J. Daley – used to run elections: he knew who he wanted to win, and he’d hold back the numbers until he knew how many he had to steal. My, how things have changed: today in Iowa, the Democrat party bosses held back the numbers because they hadn’t decided who they wanted to win yet. What a switch.

Of course, there is always one more possibility: maybe they’re telling the truth. Maybe today’s Democrats really can’t figure out how to report the results of a caucus they’ve been holding for a century. Maybe they really can’t organize a simple election that every person in every single room saw with their own eyes. Maybe the joke about modern economics – that Democrats can’t understand the economy because they can’t do math – isn’t really a joke after all.

In any case, the lesson from the Iowa caucuses is that Democrats can’t be trusted with their own elections. So why should they be trusted with anything else?

Even without being released, the numbers revealed the truth.

No wonder the Democrats did everything they could to hide them.

Copyright 2020 John F. Di Leo

John F Di Leo is a Chicagoland-based trade compliance trainer, writer and actor. A minor local political activist in the 1980s and 90s, he retired from activism after serving as Milwaukee County’s Republican county chairman, and has been a “recovering politician” for over 20 years now (but, just like any addiction, you’re never really cured).


TOPICS: Government; History; Miscellaneous; Politics
KEYWORDS: 2020primaries; caucussystem; democraticparty; iowa

1 posted on 02/07/2020 1:24:51 PM PST by jfd1776
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: jfd1776

Sounds logical and true to me. Oh well, when it looks like ****, smells like ****, and (euuuuuu) feels like ****, it must be a collection of Democrats.

Which is why the swamp must be flushed.


2 posted on 02/07/2020 1:28:42 PM PST by Da Coyote
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776

Good News. The same people did the programming for the Nevada Primaries.

Guess BUTTIGIEG will win that one two.


3 posted on 02/07/2020 1:33:23 PM PST by MattMusson (Sometimes the wind blows too much)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776

Excellent!! Great expository writing.
Hope you don’t mind if I share this all over.


4 posted on 02/07/2020 1:33:47 PM PST by CaptainPhilFan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MattMusson
rotten-in-the-state-of-denmark-something-is
5 posted on 02/07/2020 1:36:26 PM PST by timestax
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776
... the lesson from the Iowa caucuses is that Democrats can’t be trusted with their own elections.

Every decent citizen should be up in arms about this regardless of political stripe. The Dems are hellbent on stealing elections.

6 posted on 02/07/2020 1:49:06 PM PST by VRW Conspirator (NuRulz)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MattMusson

I thought I heard Nevada has said they will not use the app after all, because of what took place in Iowa. Of course it could just be my imagination. 8>)


7 posted on 02/07/2020 1:52:07 PM PST by Robert DeLong
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776

John, Ya hit it right outta the ballpark again. Appreciate your post.


8 posted on 02/07/2020 1:54:16 PM PST by rockinqsranch ("Democratic" party sold out to the ICP. It is now the Communist Party USA.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776

The Party wanted someone other than Sanders to win. Of the three leading non-Sanders candidates—Buttigieg, Warren, and Biden—Buttigieg had the most votes so they wanted him to appear to win, even though Sanders had the most votes. The delays have prevented Sanders from going into the New Hampshire primary as the clear winner in Iowa.


9 posted on 02/07/2020 1:56:33 PM PST by Verginius Rufus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776
Of the Republicans’ 2551 total delegates, only about 150 are automatic party boss types – three per state - allocated outside the primary and caucus process.

The automatic delegates in the GOP are the National Committeman, National Committeewoman, and State Chairman for each of the states and territories. These people are elected by their respective state parties in state caucuses or primary elections. They are thus democratically selected as well. The Republicans have NOTHING like the democrat superdelegate system, which awards additional automatic seats to representatives of various favored constituency groups, over and above the seats won by members of these groups in primaries or caucuses.

10 posted on 02/07/2020 1:56:37 PM PST by sphinx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: sphinx

That is a fair point, Sphinx. My intention was to distinguish between delegates elected at the primary or caucus versus delegates who were selected long before the primary season began.

But you’re absolutely right. The GOP has nothing close to the elitist approach that the Dems have.


11 posted on 02/07/2020 2:19:53 PM PST by jfd1776 (John F. Di Leo, Illinois Review Columnist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776

BUMP!


12 posted on 02/07/2020 2:24:50 PM PST by Fester Chugabrew
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776

And the political infighting in the Democratic Party today is so severe that they simply can’t agree on a story.””

The contempt for the intelligence of their voters here is off the charts. They actually think they can get away with such a delay. Once politicians were smart enough to know what they could get away with and what they couldnt. That basic understanding is gone.


13 posted on 02/07/2020 2:28:19 PM PST by TalBlack (Damn right I'll "do something" you fat, balding son of a bitc)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776

Very informative, thanks.


14 posted on 02/07/2020 2:34:19 PM PST by PsyCon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776
the lesson from the Iowa caucuses is that Democrats can’t be trusted with their own elections.

And yet, they will be the first to complain that Donald Trump's election was tampered with.

-PJ

15 posted on 02/07/2020 2:37:24 PM PST by Political Junkie Too (Freedom of the press is the People's right to publish, not CNN's right to the 1st question.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776

The problem is that the other state caucuses are coming up fast... are you going to delay and manage the results in NH, NV and SC? Whatever they gained by gaming the system, the dimocrats have lost much more in terms of public trust and respect.


16 posted on 02/07/2020 5:23:46 PM PST by jimmygrace
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jfd1776; All

And of course this has nothing to do with the low turnout it’s called corruption.......
Get this out there in dem precincts

Get News spiked by MSM and you never see presented and sourced in Free Republic. com/ An all sides news collecting site by volunteers with no ads or fees which needs your donations

Virginia Goes Full Libtard, Passes Transgender Educational Mandates for Children, Other Pro-LGBT Measures
DCCL ^ | 1/25/2020 | Dean Garrison http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3811172/posts
Virginia Democrats are not just at war with the Bill of Rights; they are at war with traditional Christian values as well. They moved legislation through the state senate earlier this week that advances the LGBT agenda. One bill will allow transgender people to be issued new birth certificates that are not based on the sex of their birth.

How swamp family members got rich through corruption Schweizer book review; http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3809389/posts
New York Post ^ | January 18, 2020 | Biden’$Bundle$ http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3809208/posts More here; http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3809708/posts

Nancy Pelosi Insider Trading
Common Sense Evaluation ^ 60 Minutes: Pelosi Insider Trading (2011): Pelosi used insider trading tactics that would result in years of jail time for the average person. VIDEO: Watch deer in the headlights Nancy Pelosi as she was unexpectedly grilled about her trades during a regular press conference in 2011 by Steve Kroft from CBS’s ’60 Minutes’.(Excerpt) Read more at commonsenseevaluation.com .posted in http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3814708/posts

Court Filing: Hunter Biden earned $156M from Ukraine corruption
One America News ^ | 12/25/19 | OAN News Posted on 12/26/2019, 8:52:00 PM by Blood of Tyrants http://www.freerepublic.com.focus/f-news/3803694/posts

Hunter Biden is facing new accusations of money laundering from Ukraine .BREAKING: Pelosi’s Son Now Involved In Ukraine Scandal- Democrat Party In Shambles
Rightwingtribune.com ^ | Dean James & Dean Garrison at DC Clothesline October 4, 2019

Hunter Biden move over. Now Nancy Pelosi’s son may be looking to take center stage with the Ukraine controversy. Paul Pelosi, Jr. spent time in Ukraine in 2017. “BOOM: Nancy Pelosi’s son Paul Pelosi Jr. (who went to Ukraine in 2017) was a board member of Viscoil and executive at its related company NRGLab, which DID ENERGY Business in UKRAINE! And Nancy Pelosi appeared in a promotional video for the company!”

Speaker Pelosi’s Son Paid $180K annual by InfoUSA (No Experience necessary)12/29/2019, 7:03:41 PM · by Liz · 7 replies
theunionjournal.com ^ | December 29, 2019 | Carlos Christian
Shortly after Nancy Pelosi became Speaker, in 2007, Paul Pelosi Jr. was employed by InfoUSA at $180,000 a year as vice chairman for Strategic Planning. Paul Pelosi had a full-time day job as a mortgage mortgage officer for Countrywide Loans in California but didn’t report to work http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3804232/posts

Top Romney Adviser Worked With Hunter Biden On Board Of Ukrainian Energy Company
Federalist ^ | September 26, 2019 | Erielle Davidson Posted on 10/4/2019, 8:14:46 PM by cocoapuff Federalist—According to Burisma’s website, Joseph Cofer Black (Romney adviser) was appointed in February of 2017 and continues to serve on its board. The timelines would indicate that Black and Biden worked together at Burisma,

Burisma Paid Joe Biden $900,000 for Lobbying – Ukrainian MP
Ukraine News Agency ^ |KYIV. Oct 9 (Interfax-Ukraine) – Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden received $900,000 for lobbying activities from Burisma Group, Ukraine’s Verkhovna Rada member Andriy Derkach said citing investigation materials the amount of $900,000 were transferred to the U.S.-based company Rosemont Seneca Partners, open sources, in particular, the New York Times, is affiliated with Biden. payment for consultative services,”;http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3785536/posts

Obama gave Pearson Publishing $350 million to create Commoncore text and Pearson gave Obama a $65 million dollar book deal in return. Investment Watch ^ | 12/8/19 |The Obamas’ $60m book deal has broken all records. From James Patterson to JK Rowling and Pope John Paul II, http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3805839/posts

Chelsea Clinton is worth big bucks — Here’s how she managed to make all that money Fox News ^ | 1/12/2020 | Tammy Bruce Posted on 1/12/2020, 3:33:01 PM New York Post reported back in 2015 an estimated net worth of $15 million Barron’s, revealed that Chelsea Clinton has now reaped $9 million in a corporate board position. In 2011, her mother was still secretary of state, she was appointed to IAC/, an Internet investment company. receives an annual $50,000 retainer and $250,000 worth of IAC stock , according to Barron’s .Politico reported she is rewarded with $600,000 a year doing occasional fluffy feature stories.. Vanity Fair found, after she parted ways with NBC News in 2014, she ended up making $26,724 per minute .http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3807636/posts

http://www.theusmat.com/mdwbea.htm


17 posted on 02/09/2020 8:45:07 AM PST by mosesdapoet (mosesdapoet aka L,J,Keslin posting here for the record hoping somebody might read and pass around)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson