Posted on 10/15/2019 1:35:47 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
President Donald Trump has a love/hate relationship with polls, surveys and predictions. He loves the ones that paint him in a positive light, and, of course, he hates all those “fake” ones that don’t.
He’s going to absolutely adore this one.
According to Moody’s Analytics, Trump is headed toward another four years in the White House. And, if the numbers are right, it won’t even be close.
In fact, his Electoral College victory could very well be wider than the 304-227 margin he enjoyed over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election.
Since 1980, Moody’s has managed to nail the outcome every time but once — like many, it didn’t see Trump coming.
“In our post-mortem of the 2016 presidential election model,” the report said, “we determined that unexpected turnout patterns were one of the factors that contributed to the model’s first incorrect election prediction.” Here’s Moody’s track record, including a 2016 adjustment for the turnout variable:
(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...
Beware voter fraud. They’ll pull out all the stops this time.
You can’t pull that in a wave election.
Agreed.
And MILLIONS of illegals.
But I think with the economy and stock market rocking like it has he will overcome the cheating.
Hope you are well :)
I know, I was just being funny.
As I’ve said ad nauseum about all the pro Dimocrat polls, a year in politics might as well be the next century. Polls about the 2020 general election at this stage are meaningless.
RE: This historically accurate model predicts exactly that
I’d like to know their track record predicting the winners of at least all the elections in the 21st century.
Stuart Margolin
Looks like they have an excellent track record since 1980. However, they MISSED in the 2016 elections when they predicted a Hillary victory.
Never mind.
Always remember 1992. George W. Bush was polling 78% approval ratings in February after beating Iraq like a rented mule in the first Gulf War and it was widely reported, even by the enemedia, that he would beat 1988 election numbers. By November, Clinton beat him like a rented mule.
A lot of people didn’t have a job - now they do.
A lot of people were on Food Stamps - now they aren’t.
A lot of people have retirement accounts - now they are worth a LOT more money.
A lot of people dealt with government regulations - now they don’t.
The list goes on.
It will be a landslide.
Which means they won't be as careful about it. A good many people will get caught since a lot of people are watching and looking for it.
Duh!
Short of a complete economic meltdown, or some other black swan event of that magnitude prior to next November, there is zero chance of the Dems winning the White House.
Patriots need to elect a new patriot Congress in the 2020 elections that will promise to fully support PDJT’s vision for MAGA, now KAG.
GWB was taken down by the economy.... Recession at election time.. Just like nearly ever president who hasn’t won re-election in the last 120 years.
There have been 4 presidents who didn’t win a second term than ran in that time.. .of those 4... 3 were taken out by the economy.
Only 1 time in the last 120 years has a sitting president who has run for re-election not won re-election and GENERALLY they win re-election by larger margins than their first eleciton... the most notable exception to that trend in recent times was Obama, who got fewer votes in his re-election than his first election.
That’s reality folks, short of an economic collapse, or some black swan event of that sort of magnitude, there is zero chance the Dems will win the White House in 2020.
Donald Trump isn’t Jeb HW Bush. Oops, I mean George HW Bush.
“And MILLIONS of illegals.”
Which will win you California, Illinois, New York, Washington, Oregon and New Mexico.
The Democrats already own the vote there so they can have 30 million illegals in the state. Won’t change the Presidential election.
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