Always remember 1992. George W. Bush was polling 78% approval ratings in February after beating Iraq like a rented mule in the first Gulf War and it was widely reported, even by the enemedia, that he would beat 1988 election numbers. By November, Clinton beat him like a rented mule.
GWB was taken down by the economy.... Recession at election time.. Just like nearly ever president who hasn’t won re-election in the last 120 years.
There have been 4 presidents who didn’t win a second term than ran in that time.. .of those 4... 3 were taken out by the economy.
Only 1 time in the last 120 years has a sitting president who has run for re-election not won re-election and GENERALLY they win re-election by larger margins than their first eleciton... the most notable exception to that trend in recent times was Obama, who got fewer votes in his re-election than his first election.
That’s reality folks, short of an economic collapse, or some black swan event of that sort of magnitude, there is zero chance the Dems will win the White House in 2020.
Donald Trump isn’t Jeb HW Bush. Oops, I mean George HW Bush.
All because of a single broken promise that began with “Read my lips...”
It helps to recall that Dukakis lost to GHWB in 1988 with 44% of the vote, but that Clinton defeated GHWB with a 43% plurality in 1992.
Reason: Ross Perot, who knew he didn’t have a prayer but was determined to torpedo GHWB. Third party candidates suck.
GHWB pissed off a lot of folks by breaking his “no new taxes” pledge.
Yeah, he got conned.
No excuse.
I was pissed but voted for him anyway.
Friends of mine voted Perot or stayed home.