GWB was taken down by the economy.... Recession at election time.. Just like nearly ever president who hasn’t won re-election in the last 120 years.
There have been 4 presidents who didn’t win a second term than ran in that time.. .of those 4... 3 were taken out by the economy.
Only 1 time in the last 120 years has a sitting president who has run for re-election not won re-election and GENERALLY they win re-election by larger margins than their first eleciton... the most notable exception to that trend in recent times was Obama, who got fewer votes in his re-election than his first election.
That’s reality folks, short of an economic collapse, or some black swan event of that sort of magnitude, there is zero chance the Dems will win the White House in 2020.
Carter was done in not only by the economy but by his overall ineptitude in office.
What you said about BO is both true and unprecedent. Nobody else ever got re-elected with a lower margin than the first time.
However, Woodrow Wilson and Bill Clinton share the distinction of being both elected and re-elected with less than 50% of the popular vote each time.