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Whoops! Nate Silver now HEDGING his ‘blue wave’ bet for Democrats
The National Sentinel ^ | 11/5/18 | USA Features

Posted on 11/05/2018 10:40:26 AM PST by SleeperCatcher

Red Wave: All last month political guru Nate Silver predicted that Democrats had an 80-85 percent chance of retaking the House at least, but now that the midterm elections are just a day away, he seems to be hedging his bet.

“This last set of Upshot/Siena polls has been pretty good for D’s. They’re polling in 11 districts now, and on average, the polls are coming in about 2-3 points better for Dems than the 538 Classic forecast from before the poll was entered,” the editor of FiveThirtyEight.com tweeted on Saturday.

(Excerpt) Read more at thenationalsentinel.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: bluewave; fivethirtyeight; hedge; natesilver
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1 posted on 11/05/2018 10:40:26 AM PST by SleeperCatcher
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To: SleeperCatcher

The backtrack begins - too little, too late.


2 posted on 11/05/2018 10:43:16 AM PST by taxcontrol
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To: SleeperCatcher

There’s good money to be made giving Democrats false hopes.........................


3 posted on 11/05/2018 10:43:34 AM PST by Red Badger (FNo-platform us all you want. Ban us all you want. Smear us all you want. You canÂ’t stop an idea...)
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To: SleeperCatcher

A blue wave shouldn’t be this ‘close’.

We were told the overwhelming numbers opposed this administration and congress from coast to coast.

Seems a 50-50 draw at this point, no mandate for abandoning course.


4 posted on 11/05/2018 10:43:53 AM PST by a fool in paradise (Denounce DUAC - The Democrats Un-American Activists Committee)
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To: a fool in paradise

Just pray, pray and pray especially for Florida.


5 posted on 11/05/2018 10:48:05 AM PST by cowboyusa (America Cowboy UP!)
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To: SleeperCatcher

Nate, the media establishment, pollsters, and liberals everywhere will be eating their miserable words when the the GOP wins a landslide victory and expands the Republican domination of the House and Senate!

It’s going to fun to see them all cry and make up excuses!


6 posted on 11/05/2018 10:48:05 AM PST by Blue House Sue
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To: taxcontrol

He did not backtrack. On his site he has been giving dems better odds by the day.


7 posted on 11/05/2018 10:50:18 AM PST by BRL
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Why is Rick Scott running for senate? That is similar to what happened with Sessions becoming AG. We could lose the FL Gov and Nelson could remain senator.


8 posted on 11/05/2018 10:52:47 AM PST by TakebackGOP
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To: SleeperCatcher

On Wednesday I expect to see stories of voting machine hacks, voter suppression, and dirty tricks by Russia.


9 posted on 11/05/2018 10:53:18 AM PST by Menehune56 ("Let them hate so long as they fear" (Oderint Dum Metuant), Lucius Accius (170 BC - 86 BC))
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To: BRL

Have you seen his huge prediction spread...

it ranges from a Republican hold to a big dem takeover.

Natey boy Silver is an absolute JOKE.


10 posted on 11/05/2018 10:53:25 AM PST by Conserv (Did)
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To: BRL

“On his site he has been giving dems better odds by the day.”

That’s only until tomorrow, and then Nate will have to explain why and how the Republicans won every contested House seat.


11 posted on 11/05/2018 10:54:36 AM PST by Blue House Sue
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To: SleeperCatcher

My concern is with the “get out the vote”, “ground game” the dems have. Buses at colleges and churches willing to drive dem voters to the polls. Are there any numbers or is their any opinions from Freepers on the effectiveness of this?


12 posted on 11/05/2018 10:55:48 AM PST by albie
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To: SleeperCatcher

I’m looking forward to tapping the Republican button on everything tomorrow.


13 posted on 11/05/2018 10:56:33 AM PST by Ciexyz (I have one issue and it's my ecxonomic well-being.)
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To: SleeperCatcher

But what about the huge damage to our country when thousands of our wonderful lib Hollywood elites move to Canada? Yes, a Canadian bound caravan!


14 posted on 11/05/2018 10:56:52 AM PST by Mark (Celebrities... is there anything they do not know? -Homer Simpson)
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To: SleeperCatcher

He drinks his own urine.


15 posted on 11/05/2018 10:58:39 AM PST by bigbob (Trust Sessions. Trust the Plan.)
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To: TakebackGOP

He is barred from running again for Governor.


16 posted on 11/05/2018 11:01:33 AM PST by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: TakebackGOP

...Why is Rick Scott running for senate?...

He is term limited as Governor.

Heard the first ad proclaiming proudly that he is a Democratic socialist today.


17 posted on 11/05/2018 11:01:55 AM PST by Sasparilla ( I'm Not Tired of Winning)
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To: SleeperCatcher

How do you get your Prediction published? You give the MSM what they want to hear.

What does the MSM want to hear? that liberals win.

So you sell your prediction to the MSM, and then oops you were wrong. Sorry.


18 posted on 11/05/2018 11:02:26 AM PST by DannyTN
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To: SleeperCatcher

How do you get your Prediction published? You give the MSM what they want to hear.

What does the MSM want to hear? that liberals win.

So you sell your prediction to the MSM, and then oops you were wrong. Sorry.


19 posted on 11/05/2018 11:02:26 AM PST by DannyTN
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To: TakebackGOP

...Heard the first ad proclaiming proudly that he is a Democratic socialist today.

Gillum, and that is


20 posted on 11/05/2018 11:03:31 AM PST by Sasparilla ( I'm Not Tired of Winning)
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