Posted on 09/26/2016 10:16:15 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
By now, except in the Hillary Clinton propaganda mills, it is pretty well established that Donald Trump is going to get at least 20% of the Black vote and Clinton cannot break 75% with African Americans. This is a full 15 points below the bare minimum she needs to have a chance to win in November. Nevertheless, the crafty Goebbelsesque media presents this and other “horse races” within this election as one requiring Trump to get 51% or be defeated.
This same twisting of the truth would produce a headline saying “Trump down in 8 of 9 important states,” which would be factually true but worthless to anyone interested in the actual truth.
The truth is there are nine states worth 102 Electoral College Votes (ECV) that Mitt Romney lost where Trump is either already winning, within or close to the margin of error.
An honest headline would be, “In states where Obama won by an average of 15 points Trump is winning at/near MOE.” Here’s why this is true.
A series of polls, that for obvious reasons have not received much coverage, shows that Trump is closing in on traditional blue states and is surprisingly close to taking over in the race for their Electoral College Votes.
In Pennsylvania Trump is -3 Obama won by 5; Pennsylvania is worth 20 ECVs.
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/3113757/2016-Muhlenberg-College-Morning-Call-late.pdf
In Minnesota Trump is -6; Obama won by 8; Minnesota is worth 10 ECVs. http://www.startribune.com/minnesota-poll-clinton-keeps-lead-but-trump-gains/393840031/
In Illinois Trump is – 6; Obama won by 16; Illinois is worth 20 ECVs. http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/09/22/emerson-college-poll-clinton-45-trump-39-illinois/
In New Jersey Trump is -3; Obama won by 18; New Jersey is worth 14 ECVs. In Rhode Island Trump is – 3; Obama won Rhode Island by 27; Rhode Island is worth 4 ECVs Both are shown in the same link: http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_3a0ffde46e4c48bb93f9acaa484b9a1f.pdf
In Wisconsin Trump is -2 Obama won by 7; Wisconsin is worth 10 ECVs. http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/hillary-clinton-slight-lead-wisconsin/2016/09/21/id/749480/
Trump up 5 in New Mexico; Obama won by 10; New Mexico is worth 5 EVCs. http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/09/18/new-mexico-poll/
In Michigan Trump -3 Obama won by 9; Michigan is worth 16 ECVs. http://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2016/09/15/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-michigan-poll/90381296/
In a rather odd announcement Reuters says they have a high degree of confidence that Trump will win deep blue Vermont. Reuters did not provide any numbers but commented that because Vermont is 96% White even the liberal tendencies of Vermont would not save Clinton.
This can only mean that Reuters knows that Clinton’s support among Whites is hovering around 30%. Obama won Vermont by 36; Vermont is worth 3 ECVs
http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/17/reuters-poll-high-confidence-of-trump-win-in-vermont/
I see that all over my home state of NJ too. Normally there would be signs all over, mostly for the democrat (deep blue state here). This year, nothing.
Voter apathy for Clinton is high. They may not like Trump but they sure don't seem excited to vote for Hillary. She's got troubles.
“The only problem is that Hillary is like the villain in a horror film. Just when you think they are dead; they come back and attack again.”
Somebody with better computer skills than mine needs to make a GIF of the scene in Fatal Attraction where Alex Forest comes up out of the bathtub with the knife-but superimpose Shrillary’s hideous visage onto it.
That is a very good point! I was being careless. And the separate remains should be in placed in separate airtight containers and buried at least 200 feet down in an abandoned mine shaft with several feet of solid concrete both under and above the containers which should be at least 20 miles from one another. Or for even more safety this would be hundreds under of feet under of granite under the bottom of the ocean under several thousand feet of water.
Last weekend I drove from dc to Norfolk va to Charlotte to Asheville and back. I didn’t see a single Hillary sign or bumper sticker. I did see a few trump signs and bumper stickers and the signs i saw were huge oversized signs. In liberal montgomery county md the same small Hillary yard sign I pass every day stands completely alone.
What is “MOE”?
MOE is margin of error
Thank you for posting the debate times. I was going to ask what time to tune in.
I hope so!
You’re welcome. I wanted to make sure we were all tuned in.
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