Posted on 09/03/2016 6:02:11 PM PDT by TheRef
The shift in Virgina seems rather stunning. Only a few days ago, most pundits, including conservative ones, had written the state off. With the last two polls showing a virtual tie, that analysis is out the window. Pennsylvania is also closing, but still sits at a 6.0 point margin for Hillary, so for now, it will remain out of the index.
This shift is significant because Trump can pull into the lead just by bringing Republicans into his tent. He has not been achieving the ninety percent level of Republican support that a GOP candidate typically receives. He has been closer to seventy-five percent. If he can just get a little closer to ninety percent support, he should claim these states that often go GOP. Some of the GOP will naturally come home as we approach election day.
Have to say, Levine doesn’t seem very bright for someone who likes to think of himself as some sort of Constitutional scholar.
Levine = Levin.
“but you’re living in a state that Barack Hussein Obama won handily — twice.”
Obama won the state twice, but not what you would call handily. He won with the same type of margins that he got in OH both years. And just like everyone of the 12 battleground states, he lost quite a bit of margin between 2008 and 2012.
Trump has a better chance of taking VA than Cruz would have had because Trump never said he would eliminate half of the Federal government agencies. In spite of the increase in Federal workers, VA is still there for the taking for the GOP.
VA has gone GOP 8 of the last ten elections, with Obama winning the last 2. The fact that they never went for Bill Clinton in either 1992 and 1996 should say something.
That’s good to hear. I’ve been a huge fan for years and recommended him to many in his beloved Loudoun County VA. Lately, I haven’t been able to listen. Every couple days, I check in to see what tack he’s on. Unfortunately, I’m changing the channel more often than not.
“these past GOP’ers have ignored their needs and/or undermined their interests.”
I think the story is the same in other battleground states as well. The good news is their weakness is Trump’s strenght
Finally,just saw the first Trump campaign ad here in Virginia
I’m not! :-D
Virginia has hundreds of thousands of illegal aliens, and thanks to the SEIU and the Democrats, they vote.
Voter fraud in Virginia is reaching Chicago levels.
TTTT!
I can guarantee there will be a record turn-out in the southwestern part of the state, which is coal country. Hillary’s vow to put miners and coal companies out of business is all the motivation they need to show up.
One interesting dynamic is the armed forces vote in Virginia. Ten percent of Virginians are vets; the state ranks in the top three in terms of active-duty military population, and it has the largest number of veterans under the age of 40. Unfortunately, the Old Dominion’s tax laws persuade a lot of active duty to maintain their residency in states without an income tax like Texas or Florida.
But Trump can make a successful appeal to the younger veterans voting bloc, many of whom are entrepreneurs and want a more business-friendly environment at the state and federal level. And many of these same voters—along with active-duty personnel registered to vote in VA—are deeply concerned about military cuts and its impact on readiness.
Trump needs to spend more in the state and get his ground game organized. I live in the northern reaches of the 2nd Congressional District, which is normally an R+6 region. At least in my area, there are just a handful of Trump signs and there have been no ad buys in the Norfolk market. Trump has to do this on his own, because the GOP-E (which runs the party in VA) is doing virtually nothing to help him.
Great question. In theory, they do.
Is he NeverTrump now? I thought he was still in the critic category, but not NeverTrump. I don’t listen so I don’t know.
First time I had listened in many months, Jim Robinson said he was listening and he was sounding like his old self, so I tuned in to our late delay here, 9:00-12:00 EDT
I did not hear the whole show, but I didn’t hear him tearing down Trump, which is what the show had largely become.
Better let Sabato know... The REAL numbers are going to appear and the #NeverTrump and Globalists are NOT going to be comfortable!
This is actually important in a different direction. With a movement TOWARD Trump, people in support of him may begin to shed their skins and be “silent” supporters and become even more vocal and willing in a phone interview to support him. So many are “silent” Trumpsters, and if THEY replied to pollsters as “Yeah” instead of “Maybe”, this would make a big difference.
What drives me nuts about the NeverTrumpers is their absolute disregard of the existential threat we face from the socialists! Glenn Beck compares this to Dunkirk, but that is a horrible comparison. They didn’t retreat to avoid a fight, but fight elsewhere, where they were needed more. The NeverTrumpers are surrendering at the peak of the battle and aiding the opposition with potent talking points. It’s not just the votes they can sway, but much more than that, they give Hillary a hammer to bash Trump with that the low-information voters will be persuaded by. They don’t understand why the NeverTrumpers resist, their obsession with globalization and bruised egos, just that they are Republicans resisting.
Sabato is showing his bias this time around. His crystal ball on Thursday was wrong, made it sound nearly impossible for Trump to win. Bet he’s singing a different tune next week. Newt hit him pretty good over that the next night. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4kalFh1E2rU
Been wondering about Sabato as he acknowledges no underlying unreported statistic for the “never voted before” category. From what I see in rural Missouri, there is a real voting class of never-voted-before-because-it-wasn’t-worth-it out there and no one knows their cell (their only source of communication) numbers.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.