This looks like a legit poll, not an “internet poll”, though I know that just because it is a polls using non-internet based response doesn’t make it a great poll since, for example, if a phone call is used to gather data, well likely I won’t be home at the time and I never answer any call ever unless I recognize the phone number that pops up on my big screen TV or on the monitor.
That aside, I think it is probably legit and looking good for Trump. I only like to deal in reality, so I am not taking this poll as the outcome, no way, every supporter for their candidate can participate and push for their gal or guy, but in the end I think Trump has S.C.. I know he has California, just from everyone I know here, but as with anything else “birds of a feather flock together”... but as with anything, I will not lie and say I check out these polls to get a “heads up” even though they are just another business.
I think Cruz is way over hyped and will be fading.
We get called no less than 10 times a day some days for either candidates or polling.....we never answer the phone so we never participate in the polls. Thing is, most folks I know are the same way. They either don’t answer these calls or they don’t have a home phone any longer. Just not sure how reliable these polls can be any longer.
Evangelicals PREFER Trump to Cruz by 10 points - I guess the narrative is falling apart. Watch out for Cruzers imploding.
Fantastic news. Fingers crossed!
Your habit of mindless Cruz boting and infantile snarking have removed your posting for any consideration by rational people
Their Iowa poll incorrectly called Trump the winner and heavily underestimated Cruz by 8 points, and only 1 day before voting. They gave double the vote to almost all of the candidates under the top 4. They seem to have a magic way of finding voters for candidates no one likes.
Their Iowa poll:
• Donald Trump: 20.1
• Ted Cruz: 19.4
• Marco Rubio: 18.6
• Ben Carson: 9.0
• Rand Paul: 8.6
• Jeb Bush: 4.9
• Mike Huckabee: 4.4
• John Kasich: 4.0
• Carly Fiorina: 3.8
• Chris Christie: 3.0
• Rick Santorum: 2.1
• Undecided: 2.2
Actual:
100% reporting Delegates Vote %
Cruz (won) 27.6%
Trump 24.3%
Rubio 23.1%
Carson 9.3%
Paul 4.5%
Bush 2.8%
Fiorina 1.9%
Kasich 1.9%
Huckabee 1.8%
Christie 1.8%
Santorum 1.0%
Gilmore 0.0%
I find it sad that “Religious Conservatives” who are all so worried that the candidate must be pure to their views routinely violate their own religious tenants when ever primary election season rolls around.
I don't understand how folks think it would be a negative if Trump expects the government to get stuff done. And one of the things about "military precision" is that you don't waste inordinate amounts of time waiting for someone to show up.
The Cruzies are doing a really bad job of selling their damaged goods to South Carolina.
Cruz can always crawl back to the job he is being paid for, the Texas Senate seat. Get back to the work you are taking a check from the taxpayers for Cruz.
If Trump wins, that's just about it.
But if Cruz is able to tap into the same sentiments as Iowa and win, then we have a race--maybe all the way to Cleveland...
I discounted Opinion Savvy during Iowa and I was wrong. They are an Atlanta based pollster so one would think that they would be accurate in the South. I am learning to not get too high or too low, but this makes for a good Friday!
“Evangelists prefer Trump to Cruz by a margin of 10 points”
This is the important part.
i’m quite happy with Ted’s showing. Reagan lost a primary too.
2024 will come, and if Trump and Cruz work as well as I think they will (when trump finds out dems have NO intention of bargaining) they will make a good pair and Trump will support Ted in 2024.
of course i’ll be long gone from a coronary for eating what i liked for 30 years ;), but i’ll look down (i hope) and be happy!!
If Trump pulls off another stunner here, then why would it not be over?
If it were reversed and it were Bush, the party operatives would be secretly calling everyone telling them to accept the obvious and unite the party.
If TRUMP wins South Carolina, we need to begin an email/telephone/tweet campaign to our representatives and senators asking them to call for the party to unite behind Trump.
Melt the lines after SC.
Crushing numbers for Cruz:
“Very Conservative”: Trump 33.8, Cruz 33.1
“Somewhat Conservative”: Trump 38.3, Cruz 10.1
Women: Trump 35, Cruz 17
Black: Trump 35.5, Cruz 20
Trump +17%. :-)
This is great! Invest the future of the Republic to a johny-come-lately “ conservative” who has never had to ask God for any forgiveness!
Trump should win South Carolina, but I dont think it will be by this big of a margin.
I am guessing the final numbers will be closer to:
Trump 30%
Cruz 25%
And look at this polling with two earlier polls where the recent dropouts were included:
Looks to me that the “beneficiary” (not that it matters ) of these people’s “supporters” was Kasich. Also, this poll is a large sample size and an MOE of 3.5%. This starts to put to bed the nonsense that Cruz (or anyone else) is “surging.” I will lay odds that SC will be the end of the line for everyone but Trump and perhaps Cruz, but since the GOPe is still trying to figure out how to ciminally disenfranchise all of us, the “Three Amigos” will press on to Nevada and Super Tuesday. I just wished that I had invested some money in Orville Reddenbacher Popcorn.