Their Iowa poll incorrectly called Trump the winner and heavily underestimated Cruz by 8 points, and only 1 day before voting. They gave double the vote to almost all of the candidates under the top 4. They seem to have a magic way of finding voters for candidates no one likes.
Their Iowa poll:
⢠Donald Trump: 20.1
⢠Ted Cruz: 19.4
⢠Marco Rubio: 18.6
⢠Ben Carson: 9.0
⢠Rand Paul: 8.6
⢠Jeb Bush: 4.9
⢠Mike Huckabee: 4.4
⢠John Kasich: 4.0
⢠Carly Fiorina: 3.8
⢠Chris Christie: 3.0
⢠Rick Santorum: 2.1
⢠Undecided: 2.2
Actual:
100% reporting Delegates Vote %
Cruz (won) 27.6%
Trump 24.3%
Rubio 23.1%
Carson 9.3%
Paul 4.5%
Bush 2.8%
Fiorina 1.9%
Kasich 1.9%
Huckabee 1.8%
Christie 1.8%
Santorum 1.0%
Gilmore 0.0%
So, if they underestimate Cruz by 8 points in this poll, Trump still wins by 9%.
At what point does caucus =/= primary actually will start to sink in?
That was before the cheating and vicious rumors. Voters won’t forget that.
But then, Cruz cheated.
many times easier to accurately poll primaries than a caucus