Hillary Clinton's Lead Over Sanders Nearly Vanishes

Investor's Business Daily ^ | 1/11/2016 | John Merline

[IBD editorial writer]

With just 21 days until the presidential primaries officially begin in Iowa, Hillary Clinton's support among Democrats nationally has taken a serious tumble, falling eight points to 43%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll. Support for her chief rival, Bernie Sanders, climbed six points to 39%.

[PapaBear3625]

Last time I was in Cleveland, I saw four Sanders signs. Not one for Hillary.

Caucuses are all about people being motivated enough to show up for a process that can last for one or more hours. In Iowa, it will be all about which candidate has more motivated supporters.

[SampleMan]

They don’t take a poll every year do they.

And as I recall, if its the same poll, it has been wrong more recently than 25 selections ago and the reporting is bogus. That said, the same holds true concerning statistics regardless.

Now the flip of the coin assumed no weighted average, but presuming that polls could be good or bad, then that makes the probability even less remarkable.

If you start with 1000 loaded dice that are 80% likely to come up with a six, then roll each of them 25 times, ~4 of them will give you a six every time. But those dice are no more likely to hit a six than any of the other dice. In short, the statistics of large numbers should not be confused with magic.

[ripley]

For some reason, they want to save their mommy.

They’re nothing but a collection of psychiatric complexes that defy reason.

When has such a collection of so many obnoxious,
psychotic punks been in one place at the same time?

It’s absolutely amazing that so many deluded people can construct so many defenses in such a short time.

IMHO

[baltimorepoet]

Not really... Take if from someone who lives in Maryland... he was a lightweight candidate.

[dp0622]

yeah, but his supporters are rabid. hers, not so much. doesn’t that make her easier to beat?

I don’t know.

[Din Maker]

yeah, but his supporters are rabid. hers, not so much. doesn’t that make her easier to beat?
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Of course. You just confirmed my point I made in Post #75.

[Din Maker]

She’s completely lacking of personal fire and Dems need that emotional fire to get out and vote en masse.
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And, I tell you right now, the Dems will NOT empty out the jailhouses, crack houses and HO houses for her like they did for Obama. Also...........

As far as the EVs: The people have to vote before the Electoral College votes and Sanders is so far out, he will be trounced like McGovern (1972) and Mondale (1984)