Posted on 09/12/2014 10:36:44 AM PDT by dignitasnews
As the 2014 midterm races heat up Democrats across the nation are faced with the reality that they have lost the confidence of nearly every demographic group who will cast their votes in November. Recent polling indicates that women voters, a long-held Democratic Party constituency now prefer the Republican Party, leaving black Americans as the only group the Democratic Party has not lost the support of. As President Obama has suffered through historically low public support heading into his final election of consequence, he still maintains 89 percent approval ratings among African-Americans, compared to only 38 percent of all likely voters.
The biggest worry for Democratic Party strategists is the Presidents loss of support among women, 55 percent of whom disapprove of his job performance against 38 percent that approve, according to a recent Fox News poll of likely voters. This translates to increased support for GOP candidates in the November elections, with 45 percent of women indicating they will vote for the Republicans in this years House midterms, with 44 percent voting or leaning Democrat. More disturbing for Democrats, the gap grows larger in Senate races, with 47 percent of women leaning Republican with 43 percent trending Democrat.
In fact the only major demographic group in which Democrats can count on come November are black voters. 72 percent of black voters will cast votes for Democratic congressional candidates in the fall, with only 11 percent siding with the GOP. In the all-important Senate races, 15 percent of African-Americans are leaning toward Republican candidates, with 74 percent maintaining loyalty for the Democratic Party. The question for Democrats will be how to get these voters to the polls, as voter enthusiasm among blacks and all Democrats is far behind that expressed on the Republican side.
Among likely voters, 68 percent of Republicans indicated they are either "extremely or very interested" in November's elections, compared to only 52 percent of registered Democrats. This figure was slightly higher among black voters, at 54 percent, although still considerably lower than GOP enthusiasts. Among the various demographic groups included in the polling, self-identified Tea Party members showed the highest level of enthusiasm for November's elections, at 78 percent.
The poll serves as a striking rebuke of Democratic Party leadership over the past six years. While the President was swept into office amidst of wave of enthusiasm and optimism, this has turned sharply as the few Americans have seen the Obama economy benefit them personally, as despite Democratic Party talking points of battling "income inequality" data shows that only the wealthiest 10 percent have benefited from the Presidents policies, while the other 90 percent continue to find themselves struggling.
Despite this, the Democratic Party hold on the black vote remains solid. While Republicans have increased outreach efforts to African-Americans, black voters remain as loyal to the Democrats as ever. High percentages of unemployment among black workers and an increase in income gaps between whites and blacks have done little to erode confidence in the President and his party among those voters. In fact, as key indicators of success for black Americans continue to drop, loyalty to their Democratic Party leaders seems to increase. In 1964, just prior to the inception of the Democrats "Great Society" social-welfare programs, close to 40 percent of African-Americans identified themselves as Republicans and black single parent birth rates stood at 24 percent. Today nearly 70 percent of black children are born into single parent households and African-American support for Democrats averages out at 90 percent.
Much of this advantage enjoyed by Democrats has come from a strategy that emphasizes racial differences and harnessing the fears and suspicions of black Americans. In successfully arguing that America is inherently unfair and that as a consequence black progress is unlikely, they have convinced millions within this group to forgo dreams of individual success and acquiesce to mere survival and to find victories in fights against "social injustice." Democrats have also capitalized on disproportionate dependence on welfare and food stamp programs among blacks, resulting in a fear among many African-Americans that a decline in Democratic Party power would result in a loss of daily subsidence.
An interesting statistical anomaly continues to show in the Fox News polling. As has been the case in every Fox News poll over the past four years, President Obama's support among Tea Party enthusiasts is higher than that of overall Republican voters. While only eight percent of GOP voters approve of the job of the President, 13 percent of the Tea Party give him a positive mark. This is consistent with previous polling, in which there is generally a five to seven point "bump" for the President among the Tea Party, against Republican voters.
As the President deals with numerous challenges domestically and abroad, his party is largely taking the brunt of his perceived failures. With women now trending toward the GOP, Democratic Party leaders will be forced to focus on the only group they still maintain high of levels of popularity with, black Americans. Part of their strategy will be to exploit the anger and fears resulting from the shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri as a way to get black voters to the polls in November. Time will tell if this strategy bears fruit, both for Democrats and African-Americans who have apparently tied their entire destiny to a party that has been viewed as corrupt and incapable by the rest of America.
Commentary by Paul M Winters Editor in Chief, Dignitas News Service
Sources:
ergo: LBJ’s statement about having them voting dhimmikkkrat for the next 200 years. Or whatever he said. Maybe it was only a hundred years. In that case, we’re half way there.
I dunno, Blacks aren’t too happy about Amnesty.
“Recent polling indicates that women voters, a long-held Democratic Party constituency now prefer the Republican Party, leaving black Americans as the only group the Democratic Party has not lost the support of.”
YES WE ARE!
stupid
Very cautious optimism for the fall election.
It all depends on turn-out and democrat voter fraud efforts
How can those “blacks” be so ignorant?
Illegals and the dead are still holding at 99.7% Democrat. :)
They might consider a name change...
Sponge Party
Hey brother can you spare a dime Party
Gimme gimme can I haves
So long as blacks will vote for a black based almost solely on race (as is now the case), it will matter little how adversely they’re affected by his policies.
I think the term suckers comes to mind,if the President doubled the unemployment rate in your demographic would you still support him?
They are either suckers or they really don’t care about working,just give me a check
Well you can’t fix stupid.
The Gimmecrat Party
No they’re not but that won’t deter them from voting for the Democratic Party. Their black overseers like Jackson, Sharpton, and the CBC won’t allow them to escape the liberal plantation and will deal with them harshly.
Since their Bam isn’t running in Nov. expect a less than stellar turnout on election day. Expect the liars in the media to whip up some ‘racial issues’. Same old crap as usual but the tribals do stick together with group-think herd mentality save for a few.
Bah!
Dumb sluts will always give Dems the majority of the women voters.
The margin of error is probably huge for this poll.
13% of the Tea Party? The only way I can make sense of that is to assume they believe Zero's malfeasance will hasten the day that some semblance of financial sanity returns to government. Otherwise, I'm stumped.
What about the Hispanics?
hence, the push for amnesty.
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