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Trump takes the lead
Public Policy Polling ^ | Friday, April 15, 2011 | Public Policy Polling

Posted on 04/15/2011 3:16:07 PM PDT by Brown Deer

Only 38% of Republican primary voters say they're willing to support a candidate for President next year who firmly rejects the birther theory and those folks want Mitt Romney to be their nominee for President next year. With the other 62% of Republicans- 23% of whom say they are only willing to vote for a birther and 39% of whom are not sure- Donald Trump is cleaning up. And as a result Trump's ridden the controversy about Barack Obama's place of birth to the highest level of support we've found for anyone in our national GOP polling so far in 2011.

Trump's broken the perpetual gridlock we've found at the top of the Republican field, getting 26% to 17% for Mike Huckabee, 15% for Romney, 11% for Newt Gingrich, 8% for Sarah Palin, 5% for Ron Paul, and 4% for Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlenty.

Among that 23% only willing to vote for a birther Trump is cleaning up even more, getting 37% to 13% for Huckabee and Palin, and 10% for Romney and Gingrich. He's a lot weaker with the 38% who say they're perfectly happy to vote for someone who's dismissed the birther theory- with them Romney leads at 23%, with Huckabee at 18%, Trump at 17%, Gingrich at 10%, and Palin at only 7%.

I'm still pretty skeptical that Trump's going to run but if he doesn't someone who taps into the same sort of hard, hard right sentiment he's appealing to right now will get their votes- it's hard to imagine these folks voting for a more centrist candidate like Romney or Pawlenty. And that means there's a very serious contingent within the Republican Party that's less concerned with beating Barack Obama than having a nominee who gets them fired up. That suggests many GOP voters have not learned the lessons of Nevada and Delaware and that Obama may survive despite his weak approval numbers because the Republicans end up defeating themselves.

If you take Trump out of the mix Huckabee leads with 22% to 16% for Romney, 15% for Gingrich, 12% for Palin, 8% for Paul, 6% for Pawlenty and Bachmann, and 3% for Haley Barbour.

If you look at the field with Huckabee, Palin, and Trump all out of the mix you end up with a showdown between Romney and Gingrich. Romney gets 25% to 23% for Gingrich, 13% for Paul, 10% for Pawlenty, 8% for Bachmann, and 4% for Barbour.


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: poll; trump
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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_US_0414925.pdf
1 posted on 04/15/2011 3:16:10 PM PDT by Brown Deer
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To: Brown Deer

Anyone who stands up to Soros and the usurper has my vote.


2 posted on 04/15/2011 3:18:35 PM PDT by bgill (Kenyan Parliament - how could a man born in Kenya who is not even a native American become the POTUS)
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To: Brown Deer

Only 38% of Republican primary voters say they’re willing to support a candidate for President next year who firmly rejects the birther theory and those folks want Mitt Romney to be their nominee for President next year.
_________________________________________________

well howbout that


3 posted on 04/15/2011 3:20:18 PM PDT by Tennessee Nana
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To: Brown Deer

Let’s see. If The Donald gets the nomination... I am imagining the first presidential debate.

Geez.

Well, it will be a ratings bonanza.

Oh boy. Bleh


4 posted on 04/15/2011 3:21:06 PM PDT by Nachum (The complete Obama list at www.nachumlist.com)
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To: Brown Deer

The problem with these ‘early’ polls is that McCain was at the bottom in early polls for the 2008 election.

How the primaries are ‘fixed’ will determine the nominee, just like they did in 2008.


5 posted on 04/15/2011 3:26:41 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: Brown Deer

A birther and a denier and a teabagger are terms the MSM and the rest of the liberals use to demean and ridicule the opposition. Any challenge to conventional libral thought is deemed a threat.


6 posted on 04/15/2011 3:28:47 PM PDT by kabar
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To: bgill
“Anyone who stands up to Soros and the usurper has my vote”

I'd advise checking into exactly who Trump has business partnered with. It has been reported that Donald has had several dealings with the Soros group. I personally don't trust the guy any farther than I can throw him.

7 posted on 04/15/2011 3:29:26 PM PDT by bitterohiogunclinger (Proudly casting a heavy carbon footprint as I clean my guns ---)
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To: Brown Deer

If Trump is the nominee you can forget about moving any social issues forward.


8 posted on 04/15/2011 3:29:32 PM PDT by balch3
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To: bitterohiogunclinger

We would be better off drafting an anonymous tea party organizer from podunk USA.

However, I don’t think even the “TEA Party” would support ‘em. They’d rather rationalize supporting a RINO who has name recognition.


9 posted on 04/15/2011 3:34:12 PM PDT by MichiganConservative (The birth certificate is not the only thing. His "autobiographies" were fictional and ghost-written.)
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To: kabar

...And there is no “birther theory.” That too is made up by the MSM.

There is only the question:

Why will Obama not release a copy of his original long form birth certificate?


10 posted on 04/15/2011 3:34:50 PM PDT by golux
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To: bitterohiogunclinger

Post #7.

You did not hear Trump’s interview with Rush today.

Quit yammering about nothing.


11 posted on 04/15/2011 3:38:47 PM PDT by GatĂșn(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer)
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To: golux
Exactly. The burden of proof should be on Obama. If we had any real journalists left, it would be. Instead, the MSM want Trump to "come up with something."

What is Obama hiding?

12 posted on 04/15/2011 3:38:53 PM PDT by kabar
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To: bitterohiogunclinger
I personally don't trust the guy any farther than I can throw him.

Do you trust 0bama more?
13 posted on 04/15/2011 3:40:34 PM PDT by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: Brown Deer

I’m really anxious to here the Rove-Beck-O’Reilly-Coulter explanation for this poll. Talk about egg on your face.


14 posted on 04/15/2011 3:40:49 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: balch3
If Trump is the nominee you can forget about moving any social issues forward.

Well, Trump is contemplating taking on Roe v. Wade. If he does, that's a big step. BOR asked him about 2 weeks ago on his show about making a law to support life. He said he'd get back to him.

15 posted on 04/15/2011 3:41:14 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: kabar

Thank you.

“Birthers” was invented on DU to link Obama doubters to 9-11 truthers in the public mind.


16 posted on 04/15/2011 3:54:50 PM PDT by Scanian
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To: Brown Deer; LucyT; AuH2ORepublican; Beckwith; EDINVA; VirginiaConstitutionalist; ml/nj; ...
Trump is hardly a Republican. He's 64 years old and he declares himself a GOP presidential contender, never having before publicly identified with the party. This doesn't pass the smell test. Neither do his multiple contributions to leftist 'Rats, which are on the record for all to see.

I credit him for pushing the Obama constitutional eligibility issue, but that by itself doesn't make him a realistic choice for the presidency. One should also be concerned about Trump, after failing to obtain the GOP nomination, running a Ross Perot style third party campaign that would likely help the 'Rats.

17 posted on 04/15/2011 3:55:01 PM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: justiceseeker93

Can’t you read!!

I didn’t say he is a candidate.

I said — he is the messenger telling us how to destroy the Democrats.


18 posted on 04/15/2011 3:58:24 PM PDT by SatinDoll (NO FOREIGN NATIONALS AS OUR PRESIDENT!)
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To: justiceseeker93

It looks at this point, Trump won’t even have to contemplate running as a third party.


19 posted on 04/15/2011 4:08:59 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: justiceseeker93

Trump has been making pro-Israel comments


20 posted on 04/15/2011 4:11:57 PM PDT by dennisw (nzt - "works better if you're already smart")
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