Posted on 04/07/2010 5:38:19 PM PDT by Bigtigermike
If Sarah Palin runs for President, then she will win the Republican nomination. The rally she is holding today with Michelle Bachmann is amazing, and Obama-like, in it's size:
More than 10,000 Republican faithful are expected to crowd into the Minneapolis Convention Center on Wednesday when Sarah Palin joins Rep. Michele Bachmann at a fundraiser and rally for Bachmann's re-election bid and the Minnesota state Republican Party.
Anyone who can draw 10,000 people to a rally in Minnesota--in early 2010, no less-- is formidable. In the specific case of Sarah Palin, it makes her virtually unstoppable.
National polling for the Republican nomination has consistently shown Palin in a roughly three-way tie with Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee. However:
1. Huckabee is unlikely to run, and his evangelical / born again base (virtually all Huckabee voters in 2008 were evangelicals) is a lot closer to Sarah Palin than they are to Mitt Romney. So, Palin will likely start ahead in national polls among declared candidates.
2. Romney's strength in 2008 was in caucuses, which are dominated by dedicated activists. Of the 11 states that Romney won in 2008, three were "home" states (MA, where he was Governor; MI where his father was Governor; and UT for religion), and the other eight were all caucuses. However, Romney isn't going to win many caucuses if he is facing a candidate who can draw 10,000 people to a rally in early 2010, not to mention what is likely a tarnished reputation among Republican activists after the health care fight.
3. Palin's grassroots strength will provide her with all the funding she needs, and also goes a long way to pre-empting any possible insurgent candidacy against her. This will especially be the case if Ron Paul runs again, since Paul can't win the nomination but would soak up pretty much all of the remaining grassroots energy on the Republican side.
4. Say what you will about Palin's ability as a campaigner, but if gaffes were going to make her unpopular among Republicans, it would have happened already.
If Sarah Palin runs for President in 2012, I have a difficult time imagining someone else winning the Republican nomination. While this is pretty good news for Democrats, as Palin polls worse against Obama than almost any other Republican (see also PPP polling), it is also pretty scary. A continually weak economy--which is very possible--could actually make her President less than three years from now.
The libs are sweating
)))))))))))))))))))))))
Flop sweating
look if Palin really wants to be president, she would be doing certain things right now.....
practice and study and practice debating techniques,rhetoric,comebacks,etc....
she would establish a more business like demeanor...hair absolutely must be changed....this country doesn't need a fashion model...we apprecitate her good looks..
and study the news, the constitution, the economy,geography,history,etc....
learn Spanish pronto....take an immersion class pronto
and visit lots of other countries...confer with other leaders....
met as many people as you can.....
I really believe that the only decision that McCain did not run by the GOP establishment was his choice of Palin. He decided to live up his name “maverick” and here today is the result of his decision.
Damn you Maverick.
I do think that, contrary to common opinion around here, the left is not afraid of her. Every time they attack her the net effect is that her choir digs in harder. That's fine except her choir will not add up to the 70,000,000 votes that the next winner will need. At least 12,000,000 of those votes would have to come from the independent bloc (assuming that she captured every GOP vote from 2008).
If I were a dem strategist I'd be licking my chops, waiting to get to the point where she would have to explain to the great unwashed why she quit in Alaska. It was a stupid political move that, in spite of what her fans here wish, will not go away. The dems will hammer her with it and the middle will wonder.
Likewise, it's a mistake to equate tea-party participant with Palin for President supporter. The TPers love to see her but that's not why they show up. More than half the TPers I know are not aboard that train.
It should tell you something that the insiders all love a guy who signed pretty much the same health care bill into law 4 years ago that the party just spent 2 years and everything it had trying to stop. A law that has mandates, fees, fines, abortion coverage, and just about every other feature the party just spent 2 years opposing. A law whose initial results have seen the same cost increases, rationing, and other things that have been warned about.
I’d love to see the GOP establishment get behind the only man in the field who passed a govt-run health care law with mandates and abortion coverage.
And the MassCare doesn’t even have anything to do with all of the other flips he’s engaged in. Proudly boasting in 1994, the year of the greatest conservative victory in decades, that “I was an independent during Reagan-Bush. I don’t want us to go back to Reagan-Bush” should permanently disqualify one from consideration. And then there’s his “Jihad has nothing to do with Islam...they are totally separate things” quote which is truly frightening. There are tons more.
SARAH RULES
Oh no! :)
I’m sure the commie-libs still have a bullet or two saved up for 2012. Remember Marc Foley? They sat on that for months and waited until it would do the maximum damage. I’m not saying Sarah is Foley but I’m saying if the libs found something truly damaging, I think they will hold it until she’s all but elected.
Remember that Bush DWI story in 2000? You don’t think the Dems were laying in wait to spring that trap for many moons?
I disagree. Obama wants to take her out ASAP and pave the road for Mitt. They don’t want to take a chance that Mitt could screw the nomination up.
How do you know that she isn’t doing that? She said months ago that she is getting daily briefings for you information, You are purely conjecturing things you think she isn’t doing, and she knows the constitution, she was known to check the constitution to see if things lined up with it, i’m not kidding it’s in some of these books about Sarah.....And talking about someones look and how they wear their hair?
She is not going to show her cards in details on what she wants for the country in details now, neither are the other candidate doing things in details, only Mitt somewhat gave a few details on taxes in his Book, but other than that he isn’t releasing “White Papers” or anything...it’s too early, after the 2010 election is when Sarah and the rest should start showing their cards.
Well, since we seem to be electing non eligibles now anyways..you might as well give it a try...! ;)
Little old you given SARAH advice! LOL!!
I really wish she’d stuck around and proved herself governing Alaska, since I haven’t seen much evidence indicating she’d be effective at leading the party and the government.
Sure, she’s clearly charismatic, but that alone is not enough—it takes completely different skills to govern effectively once elected, and especially to deal with Congress (where even a minority can stop many proposals). Obama’s proved himself good at the former, but the last 14 months show how one can nonetheless be a complete failure at the latter.
I just don’t think Palin has demonstrated she has what it takes to be president. She resigned in Alaska when things got (probably unfairly) tough, but as a president she would face all sorts of challenges, many of them anything but fair.
On the other hand, if she doesn’t want to be president she made a great decision, since her lifestyle is probably vastly improved. And as far as I’ve seen, she hasn’t indicated that she plans to run in 2012.
EXACTLY!! Even w/his ego, he knows he’d be chopped liver in a debate with her.
The insiders can bite me.
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