Posted on 01/10/2010 7:20:17 AM PST by Scanian
Don't look now, but Republican Scott Brown leads Democrat Martha Coakley by one point, 48 to 47 percent, in Public Policy Polling's new poll of the January 19 special Senate election in Massachusetts.
Brown is benefiting from depressed Democratic interest in the election and a huge lead among independents for his surprisingly strong standing. Those planning to vote in the special election only report having voted for Barack Obama in 2008 by a 16 point margin, in contrast to his actual 26 point victory in the state.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
He’s gonna need more than 1 point to overcome the fraud. At least 15 would be my guess.
This was the data I was thinking of below:
Both Rasmussen and PPP have Scott winning independents by huge numbers and a sky-high favorable rating. PPP has it higher than McDonnell’s was in VA the day before he won by 17 points. Rasmussen’s approval index for Scott is +20 while Coakley’s are -2. The data is screaming that Scott Brown is going to win this thing. Myself, I’m not making any predictions, but to those of you who think the Dems are going to cheat their way out of this, I have one question: Do you think they just decided NOT to try and cheat their way to victory in NJ???
Note with numbers this good and if he truly has momentum, they can only get better, as long as he doesn't step in it. As much as the Dem's are pulling out all the stops, in their hearts they must know this is Jersey part deux. This screams of desperation IMHO.
Do you know if the debate this week will be similcast on web (and where)?
Brown needs to attack the Dems global warming fantasy and cap & tax that will make energy more expensive. People are freezing their a*ses of nationwide.
Also attack how ObamaCare and his “economic” polocies are going to screw seniors and baby boomers big time. The dollar crash and have a market caused devaluation like Venezuela. This could be 30% dollar devaluation along with a 40% stock market devaluation plus 10+% inflation.
People will rapidly see their wealth cut by 80 to 90%. Yes it CAN happen and it may happen.
“It’s not the people who vote that count. It’s the people who count the votes.” (Josef Stalin)
“The 60 Th vote in the Senate is worth cheating and an investigation. If nothing else, an investigation will delay seating Brown for the crucial HC and 0b0z0’s agenda vote”
Correct me if I’m wrong, but without the 60th vote and 40 votes against cloture, the Demos will not be able to pass anything. So whether they seat Brown or not doesn’t matter.
Time to inundate Secretary of State Bill Galvin’s e-mails, faxes and phones BEFORE the election...tell him it’s his JOB to certify, NOT OBSTRUCT the election results!
The Boston Globe? That arm of the New York Times, the contributer of funds to Planned Parenthood, who’s liberal bent is documented in many places..... why would THEY choose a biased poll? Heck, they are HONEST, y’see.
We never believe polls unless they benefit us. Again because we never believed the polls that Obama was winning the election, I stand by election day results. Those are the ones that matter. I always see people get so dramatic over polls...for example people were swearing that NY-23 was ours because a poll here and there said he was ahead but the results on election day did not show that. Either we disregard all polls or we believe all of them.
“people were swearing that NY-23 was ours”
It probably was. It was certainly well within the margin of people that voted for the pullout.
If we MA residents see Whitey Bulger at a Southie poll, we'll know that the Demonrats are pulling out all stops for Butch Coakley to steal this one.
The current MA Senator will be there until another is seated, correct?
Polls produce the result their sponsors are paying for but as election day approaches, most politicial pollsters will start factoring reality into their polling—so that they can claim credibility later.
The Boston Globe doesn’t care about credibility—it gave that license up LONG ago. They probably polled their own newsroom and came up with the Dem winning big.
“Blacks won’t be showing up to vote for some honky white lady” Nor will the seniors.
Some anecdotal evidence here - I was in RI recently, where about 3 dozen residents of MA also attended, all of them long time acquaintances. I asked each to make sure they vote in the upcoming election. All but one volunteered enthusiastically that they were voting Brown without any prodding from me. Many continued that they are sick and tired of the shite happening in DC, and realize that this is a great chance to send the message that we've had enough!
This is encouraging news as these guys normally would keep comments like this to themselves. There is a palpable resentment here in MA that I've never seen before, and I think all here will have a big grin come election night evening.
A ploy that’s liable to embolden the GOP base? I say bring it on.
Too cold for the Democrat seniors to get to the polls. And no one orders absentee ballots for such an off year election. I hope it snows on election day and it’s below zero. Keeps the riff raff away from the polls
Is this before, or after, ACORN?
Nah, I’m strictly a useless, armchair handicapper. :)
I think we know each other from the Fred threads in 08.
I’ve been impressed with Brown’s ability to avoid stepping in it without sounding like a wishy washy loser like Romney. He strikes me as an extremely capable politician. I’m not sure what that means in terms of him being a RINO thorn in everyone’s side, but I think he’s far better than we would ever expect to elect in MA under normal circumstances. I also suspect that, if elected, he will be VERY hard for the Dems to unseat.
I’m not sure about the debate. Usually someone digs up a webcast, but we don’t find out about it until the day of the event or so.
I’d love to believe this but one poll isn’t enough. There is a long history of last-minute polling showing the R-candidate surging in elections that turn out to be landslides for the D’s.
Almost every presidential cycle there is a late poll showing R’s have a chance in NJ or CA, last year it was PA, none were even close. One might conclude that it’s just the media trying to drum up interest in a race that isn’t getting any attention. I think it’s a deliberate effort to get the R’s and their supporters to waste more resources on an election that is already locked in for the D’s.
Hope I’m wrong this time.
Just wondering how much the GOP and Steele are supporting Brown. Have they poured money into the campaigne?
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