This was the data I was thinking of below:
Both Rasmussen and PPP have Scott winning independents by huge numbers and a sky-high favorable rating. PPP has it higher than McDonnell’s was in VA the day before he won by 17 points. Rasmussen’s approval index for Scott is +20 while Coakley’s are -2. The data is screaming that Scott Brown is going to win this thing. Myself, I’m not making any predictions, but to those of you who think the Dems are going to cheat their way out of this, I have one question: Do you think they just decided NOT to try and cheat their way to victory in NJ???
Note with numbers this good and if he truly has momentum, they can only get better, as long as he doesn't step in it. As much as the Dem's are pulling out all the stops, in their hearts they must know this is Jersey part deux. This screams of desperation IMHO.
Do you know if the debate this week will be similcast on web (and where)?
Nah, I’m strictly a useless, armchair handicapper. :)
I think we know each other from the Fred threads in 08.
I’ve been impressed with Brown’s ability to avoid stepping in it without sounding like a wishy washy loser like Romney. He strikes me as an extremely capable politician. I’m not sure what that means in terms of him being a RINO thorn in everyone’s side, but I think he’s far better than we would ever expect to elect in MA under normal circumstances. I also suspect that, if elected, he will be VERY hard for the Dems to unseat.
I’m not sure about the debate. Usually someone digs up a webcast, but we don’t find out about it until the day of the event or so.