Posted on 05/21/2008 2:53:28 PM PDT by blogsforthompson.com
Here is the 2008 Presidential Electoral Vote Projection Map and State Poll Average Chart for Wednesday, May 21, 2008. . .John McCain now leads Barack Obama 249-237 on the Electoral Vote Map, with Colorado moving into Obama's column. Fifty-two votes remain in the "tossup" category. . .Don't forget to check out the charts at the bottom of the page for Latest State Polls, 50-Day Average of National Polls, and Latest National Polls. . .
(Excerpt) Read more at electoralprojection.blogspot.com ...
If THAT happens I won't have to worry about my non-vote for him in Texas is going to cause him to lose.
Here’s why:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/04/can_mccain_win_massachusetts.html
It’s a longshot but possible and possible enough to be worth it to campaign there.
And keep in mind that’s my best-case map - my worst case is a very narrow Obama win.
McCain will have Jersey in play against Obama. Same with Minnesota.
I think you being very optimistic. I think it’ll be closer than that.
See above.
Actually, that’s my best-case map.
The polls on this site above seem a bit suspect. PA is winnable for McCain - and regardless there’s NO WAY Obama would win PA by 8 points...Kerry and Gore didn’t win PA by 8 points, Obama ain’t going to either.
Mass and New Jersey will go for the appeaser. Colorado easily for McCain. I think it will be close in the popular vote but not close in electoral college.
I wouldn’t give California away just yet.
Michigan will be harder, since he told the auto-workers he won't support their union efforts in some regard - I forget the particulars.
Obama will win the communist republics of Massachusetts, Washington and Oregon. Probably Michigan too. Ohio will probably be the tightest race of all states. But besides that, the rest will be a sea of red.
McCain would still win by a sizable margin.
Whoever McCain chooses as VP can also influence this as well. Romney would get him Michigan, and maybe even Massachusetts.
Huckabee = Obama is massacred in the south. Same if McCain picks the gov from SC to be his VP.
Florida has a large Hispanic community. Most of us a voting for McCain. 40% - 50% for McCain. Republicans shouldn’t lump us all together and dismiss the Hispanic vote as meaningless. It is important. Florida is important. On foreign policy, right to life, and prtotecting America, McCain is a true conservative and Floridians get that. Blame congress for the other problems.
If McCain wins Ohio and Pennsylvania forget about the west coast, its over.
Florida is very important and I would never dismiss the hispanic vote. It will be critical. Bush did a great job in getting the majority of their vote in 2004 which shocked the hell out of the dems. Same can be done in 2008.
That said, I don’t think Obama has much of a chance to win Florida anyway you look at it. The sizable older jewish population will not vote for him. That combined with his support by hispanics and seniors. Florida would be much more up for grabs if its Hillary.
McCain is popular in Massachusetts because of his two campaigns in New Hampshire. In 2000, we thought he had taken up permanent residence there. Boston is a big media market for New Hampshire.
And considering that Obama’s base is supposedly “eggheads and blacks” it’s amazing that Hilary won the Democrat primary here. We certainly have an abundance of over-educated white liberals here, what with all of the colleges and universities located in Massachusetts. But our attitude towards blacks is probably better characterized by the Boston school busing troubles of the 1970’s.
Before anybody points out the obvious, “Don’t Blame Me; I Voted for Muffy.”
Don’t underestimate John McCain’s pull in Massachusetts.
You won't anyway. He's not going to lose Texas, and we still have the electoral college, so he'll get Texas votes, regardless of whether he gets KennedyLand or not. I'd say not is much more likely.
My worst case is an Obama win, narrow or landslide. The latter because the MSM manages to get a McCain explosion and a few Senior Moments, on video, and then play them over and over and over. Meanwhile virtually ignoring any such lapses on B. Hussein's part. 57 states for example.
And this is why you don’t lump a group of people who have nothing in common with eachother culturally other than language together. The Florida Hispanics are mostly either rich Blancocubanos and Blancovenezuelanos or the decedents of such. The Mexican immigrants to this country (Remember, legal Mexicans can vote, illegals have a hard time voting) tend to either be the children of anchor babies or the decedents of peasants that left Mexico to seek a better life.
The former group tends to believe in individualism, capitalism and hard work because they were the most productive people in their country before their dictators chased them out.
The latter were victims of a fascist government masquerading as “conservative”. Mexicans tend to be very economically liberal culturally. Cubans and Venezuelans tend to be economically conservative culturally. Other than the fact that they both speak the same language and they’re both “Latin-American”, they really have nothing in common. There’s no “hispanic” voting bloc, just a large Mexican-American (Sorry, Mexicanos, we had the name first, quit copying us) voting bloc and a large Cuban voting bloc.
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