If THAT happens I won't have to worry about my non-vote for him in Texas is going to cause him to lose.
Here’s why:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/04/can_mccain_win_massachusetts.html
It’s a longshot but possible and possible enough to be worth it to campaign there.
And keep in mind that’s my best-case map - my worst case is a very narrow Obama win.
Michigan will be harder, since he told the auto-workers he won't support their union efforts in some regard - I forget the particulars.
Florida has a large Hispanic community. Most of us a voting for McCain. 40% - 50% for McCain. Republicans shouldn’t lump us all together and dismiss the Hispanic vote as meaningless. It is important. Florida is important. On foreign policy, right to life, and prtotecting America, McCain is a true conservative and Floridians get that. Blame congress for the other problems.
McCain is popular in Massachusetts because of his two campaigns in New Hampshire. In 2000, we thought he had taken up permanent residence there. Boston is a big media market for New Hampshire.
And considering that Obama’s base is supposedly “eggheads and blacks” it’s amazing that Hilary won the Democrat primary here. We certainly have an abundance of over-educated white liberals here, what with all of the colleges and universities located in Massachusetts. But our attitude towards blacks is probably better characterized by the Boston school busing troubles of the 1970’s.
Before anybody points out the obvious, “Don’t Blame Me; I Voted for Muffy.”
Don’t underestimate John McCain’s pull in Massachusetts.
You won't anyway. He's not going to lose Texas, and we still have the electoral college, so he'll get Texas votes, regardless of whether he gets KennedyLand or not. I'd say not is much more likely.