Posted on 09/21/2026 2:39:07 PM PDT by Merrick
🏆 WE DID IT! 🏆
For the first time since 1914, there have been no North Atlantic hurricane formations by September 21st.
Fay did not attain hurricane strength overnight, and has since weakened, with maximum sustained wind speeds dropping from 70 to 50 mph. Weakening is expected to continue over the next couple of days. No other storm formations are expected for at least the next seven days (but that can change).
The only other two times that this has happened since 1851 were in 1905 (October 8th) and 1907, respectively, and like 1914, the 1907 season featured no Atlantic hurricanes that we know of (pre-satellite era data is to be taken with a grain of salt).
Are you impressed?
(Excerpt) Read more at x.com ...
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I dont know what this Chris Kebbon is... Her current boyfriend...
All they talk about is this El Torme...
173 Years of US Hurricane Strikes
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/4285273/posts
1851-60: 17
1861-70: 17
1871-80: 20
1881-90: 20 (1)
1891-00: 28 (1)
1901-10: 23
1911-20: 21 (1)
1921-30: 17 (1)
1931-40: 24 (2)
1941-50: 31 (4)
1951-60: 35 (3)
1961-70: 17 (2)
1971-80: 15 (1)
1981-90: 18 (1)
1991-00: 15 (2)
2001-10: 23
2011-20: 19 (2)
2021-24: 12 (1)
Concerning a single event, I had the 20:00 to 24:00 OOD watch on the bridge on our ship as Typhoon Rose passed over Hong Kong in 1971. The eye was six miles from us. The measuring device at the British weather station broke as the winds exceeded 175 miles per hour. We were tied to a buoy right off Fenwick Pier rated for battleships. There were no waves, but the winds screamed.
INB4: “Climate change triggered lack of hurricanes devastates crops across the south” stories start to show up. They HAVE to have something to tie the two together.
We didn’t do anything.
I’m in Florida.
Drive like my roof depended on it.
This seems counter intuitive.
The primary green house gas is water vapor.
Also, the coldest days in my experience are days with clear blue skies.
By the way this is new to me.
https://phys.org/news/2011-05-role-bacteria-weather-events.html
Obviously Trump stopped the demonRats from controlling the weather and creating disasters.
With a “fair coin” 13 versus 9 is certainly statistically significant. These are random events, so the uncertainty is Poissonian: the variance is +/-3.6 for 13 and +/-3 for 9. The standard deviations, then are +/1.9 and 1.73, respectively. So, at two standard deviations, the averages are distinct.
But, more importantly, it’s not a remotely fair coin. There’s no way we ever measured the peak winds for anything other than land-falling hurricanes more than about 100 years ago, and there’s no way we did it particularly well more than about 50 years ago. You have the random ship out in the middle of the Atlantic that was in the right place at the right time in, let’s say, 1900, but if it’s in position to make peak wind measurements in a Cat 4 or 5 storm, I doubt anyone is bothering to make measurements and I doubt it’s a better than 50/50 chance they’d be able to tell anyone about it after the fact.
You obviously saw my follow up where I corrected my incorrect memory on the model.
But clouds are tricky. And there effect is still debated. During the day they clearly make it cooler. At night they clearly trap heat. So cloud free days are hotter and cloud free nights are cooler. What is the overall effect, and especially in a dynamic system where what happens over the day changes and what happens over the night changes and how it all averages out - lots of debate and a very incomplete data set to work it all out.
I think it’s pretty clear that every time the report from the MSM has been the opposite they place the blame pretty squarely on you and me. I can’t read the mind of the person who wrote that, but if I had to guess, that’s kind of his point. You’re right - we didn’t do anything. So stop with the BS when the situation is reversed.
But, like I said, I didn’t write it, and he doesn’t explain why he wrote it, so I’m just guessing.
Record levels of vertical wind shear in the areas where hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin. Still about half the season left but a quiet season so
far.
Actually about 1/3 of the season left - in a week we’ll be four months in from June 1 - then only October and November remain. With November itself normally having quite low numbers.
And some horrendous rainfall...
Actually about 1/3 of the season left - in a week we’ll be four months in from June 1 - then only October and November remain. With November itself normally having quite low numbers.
In some sense it’s actually the opposite of an irony - or at least permanent one.
It has been known for decades that the total number of hurricanes in the Atlantic and Pacific basins is pretty constant. So when it’s really low in the Atlantic...
OK - this double post wasn’t on me! I got a gateway timeout, so I backed up and resubmitted! I guess the timeout was between posting the reply and reloading the page.
No, I didn’t see your reply, you addressed it to yourself.
But I went and found it after this latest post.
I really found the article I posted to you interesting.
I believe it is probably true as life cycles on earth drive weather more than we realize.
For anyone keeping track, in both 2023 and 2025, there was only 1 additional hurricane after 01 October. In 2024, there were four additional hurricanes after 01 October. But 2024 was also an intense season with 12 total hurricanes, 5 more than the typical 7. So it’s probably pretty safe to say we’re not likely to see more than 1 or 2 hurricanes before November 30.
But don’t bet the farm on it.
See, no doubt that Climate change by humans caused this.
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