Posted on 12/29/2025 12:18:55 PM PST by Red Badger
I’m absolutely flabbergasted, and you will be too.
So, before I started writing for the day, I was looking for value in sports bets just to get a few in before the evening grind. One of the ways that I do this is by scrolling down my Twitter timeline, scanning for numbers and seeing if anything pops. From there, I get all scientific with it, but that’s another story for another day.
I want to tell you what I came across while doing this, and it will absolutely blow your mind. (I actually took a break from looking for bets to get right on this, that’s how insane this is)
There are this Twitter account named @NFL_is_scripted, and there’s only 10 tweets that it’s published, with all of them being connected to Super Bowl 50 between the Denver Broncos and Carolina Panthers. The Broncos ultimately won this game, 24-10.
@NFL_is_scripted started out their short series of tweets saying that it found evidence that the NFL has “scripts” for their games.
We’ve found evidence that the NFL creates “scripts” for how some of their games should go. Here’s what’ll happen in SB50:
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 1, 2016
They then proceed to tweet out what will happen in Super Bowl 50, and you can verify it yourself at ESPN, they literally got everything correct. Mind you, it posted this information (Feb. 1—3, 2016) days before SB50, which was held Feb. 7, 2016.
Broncos kick a field goal
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 1, 2016
Brandon McManus kicked a 34-yard field goal — 1/1.
Denver: fumble returned for TD
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 1, 2016
Malik Jackson scored a touchdown by recovering a fumble in the end zone — 2/2.
Carolina rushes for a touchdown
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 1, 2016
Jonathan Stewart punched in a one-yard touchdown run — 3/3.
Broncos hit a field goal
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 1, 2016
Brandon McManus kicked a 33-yard field goal — 4/4.
Broncos hit a field goal
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 1, 2016
Brandon McManus kicked a 30-yard field goal — 5/5.
Panthers hit a field goal
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 1, 2016
Graham Gano kicked a 39-yard field goal — 6/6.
Denver rushes for a TD
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 1, 2016
C.J. Anderson scored a 2-yard touchdown run (Broncos also got a two-point conversion) — 7/7.
@NFL_is_scripted also dished out before the Super Bowl that Denver was going to win (8/8) and by a 24-10 score (9/9).
Denver will win.
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 2, 2016
Final score: 24 – 10
— NFL is Rigged (@NFL_is_scripted) February 4, 2016
I don’t even know how to react to this … my mind is completely blown … and quite frankly, I’m starting to think maybe the league is rigged. (And FYI, I couldn’t find any verifiable evidence that any tweets have been deleted. This appears to be a real situation.)
What the hell is going on?
“Or holding. There is holding on every play.”
Those “pros” act like junior high school players.
” the games seem to have become “one score nail biters” where either team could win in the waning minutes of the 4th quarter.”
Yep. Lots of little things can add up to making the play “even” to get there. Even huge differences in play are obvious. Receivers get amazing defensive coverage then all of a sudden the receiver has none and scores a touchdown.
It actually thoroughly explains it: BAD COACHING. Like I told you. Especially when you remember why Jerry fired Jimmy. Jerry likes WEAK coaches. Guys that don’t push him. Guys that won’t point out his obvious weaknesses as a GM. Well weak coaches are... weak coaches. If they won’t stand up to him they won’t drive the players.
No Dallas CAN’T have any coach they want. Everybody knows Jerry is poison. Lots of coaches don’t want anything to do with the level BS Jerry brings. There’s a reason he stuck with Garrett so long, he had to “prove” Dallas wasn’t a 2 to 3 year stint of failure followed by being fired and never getting another head coaching gig. So he stuck to weak and boring Jason Garrett for a full decade. And then he hired McCarthy for 3 years. And screwed that up so bad that by the time he actually fired McCarthy all the good coaches were hired. So he had to punt Schottenheimer’s kid.
Jerry didn’t make any deals. He’s just a @#$%^ owner and a worse GM and he can’t build a team that doesn’t suck. And he can’t get a coach that doesn’t suck. And he can’t get out of his own way. And he won’t shutup on radio show. And he just generally screws the team over and over and over.
Keep in mind the Chargers “most false start penalties” averaged 1.47 a game in 2022, and .72 per game last year. That’s the problem with “the most”. It’s grading a curve and “the most” might not actually be very many. Like somewhere between 1 and 1 1/2 a game.
You only need a referee, coach, quarterback, running back, or wide receiver.
Video Shorts of Michael Franzese explaining how games are fixed:
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/pIovZOV-ZJs
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/NaEL8765JUE
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/IvewmdM50sk
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/_fXBQGEgN6A
In 2024, the legal U.S. sports betting industry generated a record $13.7 billion.
Gee Moe I wonder why ?.
They do.
A “Pro” offense should score a touchdown on every play.
A “Pro” defense should stop the offense foe no gain on every play.
Neither happens.
If people study basic info at nflpenalties.com it is obvious the fix is in.
5 years, 2 years, 10 years, 15 years, 20 years, 25 years, 30 years. The cowboys are the first or second most penalized team. Look at that data. The teams fluctuate a lot in those intervals. The cowboys are always there.
But the cowboys are by far the winningest most penalized team. The undisciplined and uncoached team somehow wins almost enough games but oooh not quite. Maybe next year. I’m not buying it at all.
If they are undisciplined they don’t win and they especially lose to so called disciplined teams. Jerry has made a deal to keep the nfl more interesting by putting a greater variety of teams for playoffs. This year as they often do they have a great quarterback and great receivers. Trading Micah parson was Jerry playing along with nfl parity plan.
The 90s cowboys were unstoppable and the nfl realized that a dynasty style league would destroy prospects for new teams and general interest in the sport.
Cowboys have had many coaches and many players. No theory explains decades of most penalties and almost making it. It is a plan. Jerry is part of it.
Most importantly a supposedly curious sports press never discusses this incredible statistical anomaly.
If people use their heads to think it’s obvious the Cowboys are a poorly managed team. For all the reasons I already explained.
They aren’t the winningest. And they aren’t the most penalized. They are the most poorly constructed. You shouldn’t buy “maybe next year” cause they’re gonna suck next year too.
They ARE undisciplined. And they’re poorly constructed. Jerry is always obsessed with the “skill players” and can never be bothered to build the lines. So their linemen wind out played and out of position and getting desperation holding penalties.
No trading Micah Parsons was Jerry being a bad GM and failing to get a deal done in a timely manner.
The 90s Cowboys were very good for a few years. But the cap was on the way in. And Jerry can’t manage the cap.
The Cowboys have had many BAD coaches and many BAD players. Yes I ALREADY EXPLAINED IT FOR YOU. But, much like Jerry, you just don’t want to listen.
There’s no statistical anomaly to explain. The failings of the Cowboys can be fully explained with 2 words:
Jerry
Jones
He’s a bad owner. He’s a bad GM. He doesn’t know how to build a team. He doesn’t know how to manage a cap. He doesn’t know how to manage player contracts. He’s just not good at his job. It’s all VERY OBVIOUS to those who have eyes to see. Open yours.
You have not come close to explaining the stats here.
No team reigns in penalties like Dallas. The team coming closest is the raiders.
Your explanation would explain constant losing. That’s not what’s happening. The NFL doesn’t want cowboy fans to quit. They are always close.
There have been infrequent years when the cowboys were bad. Surprise in those rare occasions they get a lower penalty rate.
There is no logical reason why hundreds of cowboy players would commit penalties at these incredible levels. They forgot the rules of football.
Aikman got multiple concussions from the NFL as holding calls dismantled the three time superbowl front line. Suddenly aikman was a horrible quarterback unlike Brady or other aging quarterbacks. Aikman got a sweetheart deal calling games for his troubles.
Your explanation would have cowboys losing at a much higher rate. You are obsessed with Jerry instituting losses on the team. He makes strategic choices to maintain NFL parity.
I have actually. You just don’t like the answer.
For one thing Dallas does NOT “reign” in penalties. In 2022 they were the 9th most penalized team. In 2020 they were 11th. In 2019 they were 16th.
For another thing they aren’t always close. Sure they had a couple 12-5 seasons under McCarthy, but also 6 10 and 7 10. Three year stretch of 8 8. 4 12. Plenty of not close season at all.
They’re penalties really aren’t at incredible levels. This is again the problem with grading on a curve. 109, 104, 124. This isn’t really massive. What’s funny actually when you start looking at the numbers is Dallas is actually pretty consistent. About 109 penalties a season +- a few, some times that’s near the top, some times it’s middle of the pack.
Aikman got old. And so did his offensive line. Plus of course Jerry doesn’t like spending on the line. He throws the cash at skill players. Lots of guys go into the booth. And most aging QBs fall off the cliff. Brady is the exception.
The Cowboys lose at a high rate. They get lucky because they’re in the NFC east and frequently the Giants and the Skins suck. So the Cowboys get spotted some wins.
Sorry bub, you’re the one obsessed. The idea that Jerry DELIBERATELY makes bad decisions to maintain parity is... well $%#%^|^& stupid. Much more sensible that he’s just not good at it. Because frankly there’s no margin for the league in CHOOSING the Cowboys to be bad. They’re one of the most popular teams in American sport. If the league was going to pick winners the Cowboys would win all the time. Along with the Steelers and the Packers. Those are the big teams, year after year, decade after decade. In a fixed league they’d win all the time.
Much much simpler that Jerry’s just a crappy GM. Cause he is.
If your theory is correct, the cowboys will do better when they are more disciplined.
That’s is the opposite of the truth:
In 2010 the cowboys went 6-10. They committed fewer penalties than any other season: 94.
In 2017 the cowboys were 9-7 with 94 penalties again.
In 2020 they were 6-10 again with 95 penalties.
Conversely, when they undisciplined win more games they get more penalties
2021, 2022, and 2023 they go an “undisciplined” 12-5. They get 134, 107, 117 respectively in penalties. The truth is the cowboys were dangerously approaching NFL strength despite all the penalties. Jerry deliberately sabotaged the cowboys this year to keep them out. Micah parsons is the only pro bowler from Green Bay this year.
I actually cheered for the cowboys in the 70-99s era. But when I moved out of state I started cheering for teams like the bengals and chiefs. As I started watching those games I noticed those teams rarely got 10 penalties in a game. Despite the fact that the bengals were pretty horrible at the time.
The lack of comment about these stats by sports analysts is the give away to me.
Remember it’s a complicated game. Penalties don’t tell the whole story. They tell a lot. But never the whole thing. In 2018 the Chiefs got 137 penalties, and won their division, lost the conference final in overtime.
So the problem, once again, is YOU. You keep wanting this to be something it isn’t. 6 or 7 penalties a game doesn’t tell the whole story. The fact that Jerry never spends on the o-line on the other hand tells a LOT of the story.
Jerry didn’t deliberately sabotage the team. Really dude, stop with that stupid crap. I mean he’s a bad GM, but there’s no way one of the most powerful owners in North American sports would VOLUNTEER to keep his team out of titles. There is no “deal”. He’s just not good at his job.
There’s PLENTY of discussion about the Cowboys being a so-so team. More than they deserve. Here, once again, you’re just making #$%% up.
Yeah
So true
I mean Jerry bought the team in 1989 and ever since then
The cowboys have been horrible.
Again. Completely contradicted by facts.
They had a good 7 years. Then the cap went into place. And he obviously has never figured out the cap. So the 29 years since then... they suck. Those ARE THE FACTS. He is a terrible GM. A lousy owner. And, since he fired Landry, a garbage human too.
I think you are right about Laundry but that only makes it more likely that he has made a deal with the NFL. He is a highly influential owner. 29 years is nearly impossible without some intentionality behind it. As I’ve already said, it is nearly impossible to find in any other pro sport or major European sport that mirrors such an absurd statistic. The NFL is much more that a sports activity and is much more like a business where apparent sport exploits are sold as entertainment.
They are almost certainly the winningest most penalized team in the NFL.
No, he hasn’t made a deal. He’s just not good at his job. There’s basically 2 phases to the end of the Cowboys run of relevance:
Step 1 - he fired Jimmy. Jimmy Johnson was a very good coach, but also a strong coach, who called Jerry on his BS, and got a lot of credit in the press, and Jerry didn’t like the competition. So he fired Jimmy and hired Barry, a weak coach who wouldn’t argue with Jerry. That put Jerry on the path of bad coaching.
Step 2 - the salary cap finished going into place. Jerry really liked having the highest revenue team in the league and just outbidding other teams for players, like Deion Sanders. But once the cap went into place all the owners needed to master the budget. Don’t over spend on that RB (something Jerry loves to do) because then you won’t have money for a good offensive line, and your RB will go nowhere. Jerry is always obsessed with skill players, rarely spends on the lines, and his teams suffer. Because he’s a bad GM. At least a bad GM under a salary cap system.
We already went over the data, from your own website. The Cowboys are neither the winning or most penalized team. They’re pretty consistent on their penalties, depending on how the rest of the league they’re somewhere from middle of the pack to high. Nothing really that bad. They just aren’t good. They’re weak on the lines, they over pay for the wrong talent, they have weak coaches, often times full on bad coaches (Chan Gailey and Mike McCarthy I’m looking at you). And they don’t win when it counts. It’s really not complicated. Everybody not named Skip Bayless understands the Cowboys problems. And most of them are bored talking about it because their problems have been consistent for almost 30 years.
Bad at managing the cap
Bad coaching
It’s just that simple.
It is not my data. It is clear data from nflpenalties.com. Other sites confirm.
I do not find any of your explanations sufficient. They are roughly second most penalized team for the past 20 years. Among those most penalized, they are the most winning of those top five teams.
I was willing to believe the bad owner story for about a decade. Three decades into the impossible result I do not believe it. You originally said they were undisciplined but now the owner made bad personnel decisions. None of it adds up to statistics so bad no other team comes close.
They are BY FAR the most expensive sports franchise in the world. Moneyball works even in sports with caps. Stephen Smith who hates the cowboys— their fans, and Jerry Jones sits alongside Jerry because it is all a happy joke. theater for a frankly ideologically ugly group of directors. The Cowboys are #10 for win loss percentage or perhaps slightly higher for the past 20 years of NFL records. Many seasons in past 10 have 12 wins.
let’s see more honest discussion of why the Cowboys receive so many penalties — especially as they win more games. I cannot see where that discussion so impossibly injures the activity of professional football.
Just as there is traveling on most every nba play.
And that data clearly shows that while Dallas does get a few penalties they’re not THAT bad. 104ish penalties a season is only 6 penalties a game. It becomes especially apparent when you look at the bottom of the lists and see that most season the least penalized team of the gets about 75 penalties a season. So Dallas only gets 2 more penalties per game on average than the least penalized team in the league. Not that big a deal.
If you’re willing to believe the bad owner explanation for a decade you should believe it for the whole thing. There’s not magic about 10 years bad owners don’t stop being bad owners on year 11. Look at Dan Snyder he was a bad owner for the entire 24 years he owned the Redskins, and they sucked in that entire run. This is ESPECIALLY true in Dallas’ case because Jerry isn’t JUST a bad owner, he’s ALSO a bad GM. Dan Snyder might have accidentally hired a good GM in spite. Jerry Jones never will.
No Dallas isn’t close to the highest revenue/ value team in the world. Most of the Big 6 in the Premier league got the Cowboys beat. In America maybe (Yankees) but not the world. But it’s a hard cap league so revenue doesn’t matter. You can pull $2 billion in revenue, the cap is $279 million, that’s all you get to spend on the team. Sure moneyball works, IF THE GM USES IT. Jerry doesn’t. We wants to spend money on stars. QBs and RBs, moneyball says to spend money on the o-line, and way to spend it on RBs, RBs have short careers, give them a good line, run them into the ground, and draft another before they hit free agency.
We’ve HAD that honest discussion. You refuse to LISTEN.
they don’t get that many penalties.
Jerry is a bad owner
Jerry is a terrible GM
Jerry mostly hires bad coaches
That is, again, the ENTIRE story.
Here is today’s news about Jerry:
I do not believe this is not concerted. The article states staggering stats on the Dallas defense that are far beyond the rest of the nfl.
Did Jerry hire the defensive coordinator? I think schottenheimer did. The parson trade was completely insane. Maverick owner was forced out for doncic trade. There is more to this than supposed crazy old fool Jerry. It all works perfectly to close but NO every damn time.
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