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How wokeness could cost the Democrats the election
Spiked ^ | 1 Nov, 2024 | Joel Kotkin

Posted on 11/02/2024 6:21:22 AM PDT by MtnClimber

This time around, Hillary Clinton is not lamenting Republican ‘deplorables’. She has chosen instead, along with Kamala Harris, to label Donald Trump and his supporters as out-and-out fascists. Different words but the same meaning: anyone who backs the GOP candidate in next week’s US presidential election is an enabler for modern-day blackshirts or stormtroopers.

But for many Americans, the real ‘deplorables’ are to be found among Harris’s backers, such as the tech oligarchs who dominate the economy, the financiers of Wall Street or the moguls of mainstream media. Think of the likes of Bill Gates, who just forked in $50million to the Harris campaign.

Even more detested by most of the public are the ‘progressive’ activist class that has embraced Harris and shaped her past record. This group, as the author Musa al-Gharbi writes in his new book, We Have Never Been Woke, constitutes ‘a new elite’. Trained as ‘symbolic analysts’, these often flailing graduates and professionals now represent a revolutionary class pushing the Democrats towards the ideological loony bin. As long as Harris and the Democrats remain in thrall to the activists’ progressive ideology, they will be tarred with their widely unpopular views on everything from climate change to transgenderism, race quotas and immigration.

Their numbers are not too impressive. Overall, the woke make up roughly eight per cent of the electorate. But they tend to be politically motivated and dominant within the party apparatus, newsrooms and schools. They have long dominated local politics in cities like Los Angeles, Oakland, Houston and Boston.

Progressive influence has been far more evident in the Biden administration than in preceding Democratic regimes, especially those of Bill Clinton and even of Barack Obama. The current administration has welcomed ideologues with strident progressive views on the environment, gender, race and the Middle East. Biden and Harris have focussed on these woke constituencies over more traditional Democratic policies that embrace broad-based economic growth and opportunity.

Harris, more than Biden, epitomises the current version of the ‘left’ that is rooted in an increasingly gentrified base, rather than working-class or middle-class people. This has been financially rewarding for the Democrats. The ultra-rich and their progressive foundations have consistently outraised and outspent the political ‘right’ by a margin of nearly two-to-one. For Harris, long supported by these same people, this has helped build up an unprecedented billion-dollar campaign war chest, as much as three times the size of Trump’s.

Leftists like Bernie Sanders admit that Harris’s apparent shift to the centre during the election is a mere pragmatic feint. But as her campaign has lost momentum, his political action group, Our Revolution, now warns even the hint of moderation could limit turnout among progressive voters.

Yet there’s a problem here. Outside of the biggest cities and college towns, progressives are thin on the ground. Their views are far from popular with the general public (abortion rights is the main exception). The progressive, mainstream media – such as the New York Times and USA Today – insist that wokeness poses no big problem. But, as former New York Times opinion editor James Bennet put it, the traditional media now serve as the place where ‘America’s progressive elite talks to itself about an America that does not really exist’.

Thankfully, politicians still have to deal with the real America, leading some swing-state Democrats to run away from the progressives’ ideological handcuffs. In tough races in Pennsylvania and Ohio, incumbent Democratic senators are even stressing their close ties to President Trump to win re-election. In contrast, California’s woke governor, Gavin Newsom, is now so unpopular that some of his own legislators avoid being seen with him. Clearly smelling the coffee, he has kept his state’s nuclear and natural-gas power plants operating, despite fierce opposition from greens. He has even suggested amending the state’s landmark environmental law, which has proved devastating for the cost of living.....SNIP


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: leftism
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1 posted on 11/02/2024 6:21:22 AM PDT by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

I don’t think we want to become a woke, nut-job nation.


2 posted on 11/02/2024 6:21:44 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page. More photos added.)
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To: MtnClimber

This is just one of many reasons why Harris should lose the election. If this were 1980, I would be quite confident of a Trump victory.


3 posted on 11/02/2024 6:24:22 AM PDT by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021 and beyond.)
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To: MtnClimber

Video
FLASHBACK: Kamala says “We have to stay woke. Like everybody needs to be woke.”
https://rumble.com/v59tr2y-flashback-kamala-says-we-have-to-stay-woke.-like-everybody-needs-to-be-woke.html


4 posted on 11/02/2024 6:31:11 AM PDT by janetjanet998 (Legacy media including youtube are the enemy of the people and must die)
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To: MtnClimber

With Democrats in charge we ARE a nation RUN by WOKE NUT-JOBS!!!


5 posted on 11/02/2024 6:32:20 AM PDT by OHPatriot (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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To: janetjanet998

she’s right. interesting that everyone is finally waking up to the evil that the liberal democrats want to instill and install . “Don’t be evil” applies.


6 posted on 11/02/2024 6:39:54 AM PDT by Qwapisking ("IF the Second goes first the First ges secnd" L.Star)
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To: MtnClimber

Seems wishful thinking. From the evidence I see, Kamala is on track for winning easily.


7 posted on 11/02/2024 6:47:29 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: MtnClimber

The cheat is on. PA,GA,WI,MI,AZ will all be stolen.


8 posted on 11/02/2024 6:59:44 AM PDT by wny
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To: Qwapisking
interesting that everyone is finally waking up

I hope you're right, but we'll see on Tuesday.

9 posted on 11/02/2024 7:04:27 AM PDT by libertylover (Our biggest problem, by far, is that almost all of big media is AGENDA-DRIVEN, not-truth driven.)
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To: MtnClimber
The looney left "widely unpopular views on everything from climate change to transgenderism, race quotas and immigration. Their numbers are not too impressive. Overall, the woke make up roughly eight per cent of the electorate.

Yet, the race is neck-and-neck. If the looney left's positions on all these issues is so repugnant to most Americans and the Democrat party IS the looney left, then how are the Dems getting close to 50% of the electorate? Why aren't the Dems closer to that 8% level of the woke? Are the 42 points of the electorate (50% minus 8%) so STUPID they don't know or see what's going on? Can they not comprehend where the looney left would take us?

10 posted on 11/02/2024 7:13:39 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (“President Trump sells out Madison Square Garden -- Kamala sells out America”)
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To: MtnClimber

I don’t think we want to become a woke, nut-job nation.

________________________________________________________

Too late. We are there. I’m hoping this election marks a distinct cultural shift, but if not...well...it’s been a nice run. The USA may not have lasted as long as Rome, Egypt, or any of the other great civilizations, but the Great Experiment sure did give it the ol’ college try.


11 posted on 11/02/2024 7:58:08 AM PDT by Bishop_Malachi (Liberal Socialism - A philosophy which advocates spreading a low standard of living equally.)
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To: MtnClimber
A group called MAHA recently put out an ad showing several clips of Kamala being honest. One showed her at the Commonwealth Club talking about her experiences as a prosecutor. She said that she found that she could ruin a person's life with charges, costing them large amounts of money and destroying them socially, and then drop the charges. She talked with great relish about the power she had as AG of California.

Now fast forward a few days and she is calling DT a fascist. I think a good ad would be to paste a clip of her saying 'DT is a fascist' beside her Commonweath Club remarks and then ask, "Who is the real fascist here?"

12 posted on 11/02/2024 8:28:51 AM PDT by 17th Miss Regt ( Fascist, deplorable and proud of it.)
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To: MtnClimber
The economy isn't doing so well either. Stagflation due to Bidenomics.

Remember Joe was bragging about "Bidenomics"?

But he was getting mocked for it.

13 posted on 11/02/2024 8:31:29 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: nwrep

What evidence is that?


14 posted on 11/02/2024 8:53:58 AM PDT by pepsi_junkie ("We want no Gestapo or Secret Police. F. B. I. is tending in that direction." - Harry S Truman)
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To: pepsi_junkie
What evidence is that?

Here are some contrarian indicators I have on my radar:

1. RCP averages - She leads in MI and WI, while he leads in PA, just narrowly. PA is now the must-win for Trump. VA and NH and NM are pipe dreams for him. Whereas NC is not a pipe dream for her.

2. 55-45 female-male voting ratio in early voting. This may be a misleading indicator and may correct itself on election day, but all polls had a 52-48 or 51-49 turnout model.

3. Multiple recent gaffes from the Trump campaign (comedian, comments against Liz Cheney, etc.) whose fallout is reverberating on social media. The Biden/Harris campaign gaffes and fallout are well covered here. But the Trump gaffes are ignored or downplayed. They are having an effect, like the Biden gaffe, and perhaps may cancel each other out.

4. The hidden Harris voter. While pollsters have had 3 election cycles and 8 years to improve their Trump forecast models, they only have had 3 months for Harris voter polling. It is possible they are missing some Harris voters on the fringe. On the other hand, the likelihood of polls again underpredicting Trump support like they did in 2016 and 2020 is nearly zero. And it is possible some polls are actually "overpredicting" Trump's strength by overcompensating for past poll misses.

5. Trump's own schedule - he is doubling down on rallies in NC. This state looks very tentative for him, other signs notwithstanding.

6. Dem ballot harvesting machine is second to none. We have no comparable ground game, except to complain about fraud afterwards.

Having said all that, I hope he wins, but people here chest thumping and being certain about him getting 312 EVs or 322 EVs etc. are repeating the same mistake people here have made in 2006, 2008, 2012, 2018, 2020, and 2022.

15 posted on 11/02/2024 9:08:33 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: nwrep

Items:

2020 was a 52/48 women men ratio at the end of the election. Early voting was 56% in 2020. This is less than this year.

As for outperforming the polls, the most significant difference of 2020 vs 2024 is the Census Bureau was corrupted when the Biden Administration appointed people to it in 2021. The Census is the basis for many polling parameters in the turnout models. Those numbers WERE changed after the census tabulation was complete. So polling influence will be there, and it will not reflect reality. This nearly ensures overperformance by Trump.

Early voting has been huge. This renders recent events more and more insignificant. The votes were already cast from anyone whose mind might be affected by those events.


16 posted on 11/02/2024 9:35:49 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen

clarifying, the women/men ratio of 2020 early voting was 56%/44%. The final ratio closed.


17 posted on 11/02/2024 9:37:22 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Owen

Right. The early voting breakdown this year of men / women is slightly better for the GOP than it was in 2020.

More importantly, the biggest increase in women voters looks to be coming from Red areas.

So, if men show up in the expected numbers on Tuesday, Trump should win.


18 posted on 11/02/2024 9:47:39 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Trump trumps Hate)
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To: nwrep
Another data point for you:

We made a 70-mile trip in Texas Tuesday.

Yard sign count:

Trump/Vance:   100+
Cruz:                   70+

Harris:                   2   [TWO!] (in separate towns...)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Apparently, you live in a different demographic environment...

19 posted on 11/02/2024 9:51:14 AM PDT by TXnMA
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To: libertylover

Whether most folks “wake up” or not, the algorithm and the vote harvesters are not affected. The bit of panic in the Party will mean that the voting machine algorithms will be set to higher and higher ratios.


20 posted on 11/02/2024 10:01:41 AM PDT by arthurus (covfefe -o|o)
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