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JUST IN: Republicans Take Surprising Early Vote Lead In Blue East Coast State (NJ)
Trending Politics ^ | 10/30/2024 | Mark Steffen

Posted on 10/30/2024 11:28:19 AM PDT by Signalman

Anecdotal evidence showing Republicans capitalizing on early-vote opportunities hit the East Coast on Wednesday, as election officials in New Jersey confirmed that conservatives are turning out in droves, signaling a potential sea change in Garden State politics.

Voter turnout has surpassed 15% statewide, according to the NJ Globe, with 381,147 in-person early votes cast on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. So far, 1,018,625 voters have cast their ballots, and those numbers are good news for Republicans in NJ-07, home to a competitive race between incumbent Rep. Tom Kean, Jr. (R-NJ) and Democratic challenger Sue Altman. The 7th, which encompasses the suburbs west of Newark, is seeing Republicans outpace Democrats in early voting by 7,385 votes, 46%-30%, a trend that is repeating itself at the state level: as of Wednesday, 144,644 Republicans have voted (37.9%), compared to 139,999 Democrats (36.7%).

Even in mail-in voting, which Republicans have long challenged is ripe for voter fraud, GOP voters are keeping pace with Democrats or not far behind. Sixty-four percent of Democrats have returned their mail-in ballots while 61% of Republicans have done so. The window for mail-in ballots is closing fast: already, nearly six in 10 vote-by-mail ballots have been received by the state, the Globe states. That’s good news for Kean, who narrowly beat back a challenger in 2022 by less than 9,000 votes. Since then, the Republican hasn’t taken things for granted, out-raising Altman and earning financial support from Elon Musk, who has invested heavily in the race. Keeping Kean’s seat is also a top priority for House Republicans, who hold the slimmest of leads and need to build on it if they are to control the lower chamber confidently starting next year.

The enthusiasm for early voting among Garden State Republicans mirrors results in Nevada where Republican mail-in ballots are outpacing Democrats for the first time since the method was approved by state lawmakers in 2020. Early voter data produced by Nevada’s secretary of state show that Republicans have a 2.5% edge in turnout, a remarkable feat considering the reticence by party members to embrace a method of voting that leaders have long said is ripe with opportunities for fraud. A record 333,000 voters, or 16.6% of the electorate, have cast their ballots as of Wednesday, but the impressive number is not leading to outsize gains in the urban Las Vegas area where Democrats hold just a 1-point lead in exit polls. By contrast, Republicans hold a nearly 3% edge in statewide turnout; if that result holds, and traditionally conservative Election Day turnout also favors President Trump, he can be expected to pick up the state’s six electoral votes.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: earlyvote; newjersey; trump; trumpsgonnawin
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1 posted on 10/30/2024 11:28:19 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

This is GOOD in that it may show a country-wide pattern.

And may take a number of house Rs with it.

NY and NJ are out...I live in NYC...he will losse by 10 or a little more.

That’s GREAT compared to last time.

It will bring some house seats.

But lets focus on winning the swing states.

i think dems would love to have our guys divert resourches to chase states we won’t win.


2 posted on 10/30/2024 11:30:25 AM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: Signalman

The Dims just lay and wait till monday to get the data on the “never voters” who again did not vote, see how many more votes they need, and then turn in fraudulent mail in ballots in the names of the knwown regsitered never-voters. Now one will ever audit the mail in ballots with queries to the voters asking “was this your vote”.


3 posted on 10/30/2024 11:35:07 AM PDT by Wuli
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To: dp0622

Maybe they’re diverting resources to places like NH, NJ and VA because their internal polling is showing the swing states are in good shape and now he’s going for the gravy.


4 posted on 10/30/2024 11:36:06 AM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man, a subject.")
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To: Signalman

Detractors of This Guy hardest hit.


5 posted on 10/30/2024 11:36:34 AM PDT by one guy in new jersey
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To: Signalman

Here in our conservative MA town, they say that early voting is very heavy. Usually 70-80 percent of the electorate votes at all. 40 percent have already voted this year.

Frustrating that the gentleman didn’t know early voting numbers for last year.


6 posted on 10/30/2024 11:40:19 AM PDT by mairdie (Trump (I Will Win) - Pavarotti's Nessun Dorma - https://youtu.be/MigUKGKr-nQ)
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To: dp0622

The article is very misleading—we went through this yesterday.

He are the real numbers in NJ:

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/2024-general-election-early-vote-new-jersey/

The article ignores the mail-in ballots—super awful journalism.


7 posted on 10/30/2024 11:41:33 AM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: ripnbang

I wont say no.

I’m not part of the team :)

I dont see the internals.

I can’t see wasting money in NJ...the other two...why not? :)

BUT if house members can be won in NJ, then it’s worth a few bucks


8 posted on 10/30/2024 11:46:12 AM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: Signalman

Swell! Let the NJRATs know that they have to fiddle with the algorithms hidden in the internet connected voting machines.


9 posted on 10/30/2024 11:53:16 AM PDT by JimRed (TERM LIMITS, NOW! Finish the damned WALL! TRUTH is the new HATE SPEECH! )
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To: Signalman

Arizona’s Steve Richter and onesy Twosy Gates screwed Kati Lake in 2022 but their vote suppression scheme in Maricopa County has seriously backfired on both the and the Democrats

Republicans are Turing out in droves for early voting and they are beating Democrats at their own game

Not only has turnout just flat been a blow out for Republicans, the early voting is giving Republicans a way better chance of getting the remaing voters out on Election Day

Fool me once…..


10 posted on 10/30/2024 12:04:53 PM PDT by rdcbn1
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To: Signalman

Seems very familiar…..Lets wait and see what the vote count trend looks like around 230am on election night.


11 posted on 10/30/2024 12:06:29 PM PDT by MrRelevant
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To: Signalman

Just making it close in NJ will be a moral victory. This state is too far gone into the socialist hell hole to return from the abyss.


12 posted on 10/30/2024 12:08:38 PM PDT by JerseyDvl (During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.)
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To: Signalman

Let’s not let up the gas. Anything can happen. Vote!


13 posted on 10/30/2024 12:12:33 PM PDT by Ge0ffrey
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To: rdcbn1

Arizona and Nevada Trump supporters have really stepped up to the plate this year—they are an inspiration to all of us.


14 posted on 10/30/2024 12:14:22 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: dp0622

People don’t get cocky

I just saw Nunes and Kirk lecturing about we have to push thru past the objective

Like throwing a nice right overhand

Punch throw the chin


15 posted on 10/30/2024 12:14:36 PM PDT by wardaddy (We’re winning but please in swing states vote is)
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To: rdcbn1

You’re the first person that has said it out loud. That Kari Lake election awakened the sleeper. That democrat trickery of printing the wrong-size ballots was heard loudly and clearly. Democrats are up day and night thinking of new ways to cheat.


16 posted on 10/30/2024 12:15:11 PM PDT by Ge0ffrey
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To: dp0622

Bugt, even bigger picture..

This should scare the hell out of those Dems Crying to eliminate the Electoral college..

If “blue” states like NJ, MA. NY all of a sudden start spitting their EVs between R and D. based on % and not all or nothing for 50%+1.

It’s a very different ball game


17 posted on 10/30/2024 12:20:49 PM PDT by uranium penguin
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To: cgbg

Agreed. Too many lemmings on the right.


18 posted on 10/30/2024 12:22:43 PM PDT by nwrep
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To: uranium penguin

I’ve argued repeatedly (since high school) that the electoral college shouldn’t be 50%+1 — it should be 50%+1 for each Congressional District. As it is, the swing states generally determine the outcome of Presidential elections and the candidates (rightfully) spend most of their time in those states. Moving to a CD-based model would put all states in play. A Trump-like candidate would get between a third and half the EVs in many blue states.


19 posted on 10/30/2024 1:13:00 PM PDT by mjustice (Apparently common sense isn't so common.)
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To: Signalman

Something I wonder is with many more people voting early, will there be any left to vote on Tuesday?


20 posted on 10/30/2024 1:52:20 PM PDT by b4me (Pray, and let God change you. He knows better than you or anyone else, who He made you to be.)
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