Posted on 10/30/2024 11:28:19 AM PDT by Signalman
Anecdotal evidence showing Republicans capitalizing on early-vote opportunities hit the East Coast on Wednesday, as election officials in New Jersey confirmed that conservatives are turning out in droves, signaling a potential sea change in Garden State politics.
Voter turnout has surpassed 15% statewide, according to the NJ Globe, with 381,147 in-person early votes cast on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. So far, 1,018,625 voters have cast their ballots, and those numbers are good news for Republicans in NJ-07, home to a competitive race between incumbent Rep. Tom Kean, Jr. (R-NJ) and Democratic challenger Sue Altman. The 7th, which encompasses the suburbs west of Newark, is seeing Republicans outpace Democrats in early voting by 7,385 votes, 46%-30%, a trend that is repeating itself at the state level: as of Wednesday, 144,644 Republicans have voted (37.9%), compared to 139,999 Democrats (36.7%).
Even in mail-in voting, which Republicans have long challenged is ripe for voter fraud, GOP voters are keeping pace with Democrats or not far behind. Sixty-four percent of Democrats have returned their mail-in ballots while 61% of Republicans have done so. The window for mail-in ballots is closing fast: already, nearly six in 10 vote-by-mail ballots have been received by the state, the Globe states. That’s good news for Kean, who narrowly beat back a challenger in 2022 by less than 9,000 votes. Since then, the Republican hasn’t taken things for granted, out-raising Altman and earning financial support from Elon Musk, who has invested heavily in the race. Keeping Kean’s seat is also a top priority for House Republicans, who hold the slimmest of leads and need to build on it if they are to control the lower chamber confidently starting next year.
The enthusiasm for early voting among Garden State Republicans mirrors results in Nevada where Republican mail-in ballots are outpacing Democrats for the first time since the method was approved by state lawmakers in 2020. Early voter data produced by Nevada’s secretary of state show that Republicans have a 2.5% edge in turnout, a remarkable feat considering the reticence by party members to embrace a method of voting that leaders have long said is ripe with opportunities for fraud. A record 333,000 voters, or 16.6% of the electorate, have cast their ballots as of Wednesday, but the impressive number is not leading to outsize gains in the urban Las Vegas area where Democrats hold just a 1-point lead in exit polls. By contrast, Republicans hold a nearly 3% edge in statewide turnout; if that result holds, and traditionally conservative Election Day turnout also favors President Trump, he can be expected to pick up the state’s six electoral votes.
This is GOOD in that it may show a country-wide pattern.
And may take a number of house Rs with it.
NY and NJ are out...I live in NYC...he will losse by 10 or a little more.
That’s GREAT compared to last time.
It will bring some house seats.
But lets focus on winning the swing states.
i think dems would love to have our guys divert resourches to chase states we won’t win.
The Dims just lay and wait till monday to get the data on the “never voters” who again did not vote, see how many more votes they need, and then turn in fraudulent mail in ballots in the names of the knwown regsitered never-voters. Now one will ever audit the mail in ballots with queries to the voters asking “was this your vote”.
Maybe they’re diverting resources to places like NH, NJ and VA because their internal polling is showing the swing states are in good shape and now he’s going for the gravy.
Detractors of This Guy hardest hit.
Here in our conservative MA town, they say that early voting is very heavy. Usually 70-80 percent of the electorate votes at all. 40 percent have already voted this year.
Frustrating that the gentleman didn’t know early voting numbers for last year.
The article is very misleading—we went through this yesterday.
He are the real numbers in NJ:
The article ignores the mail-in ballots—super awful journalism.
I wont say no.
I’m not part of the team :)
I dont see the internals.
I can’t see wasting money in NJ...the other two...why not? :)
BUT if house members can be won in NJ, then it’s worth a few bucks
Swell! Let the NJRATs know that they have to fiddle with the algorithms hidden in the internet connected voting machines.
Arizona’s Steve Richter and onesy Twosy Gates screwed Kati Lake in 2022 but their vote suppression scheme in Maricopa County has seriously backfired on both the and the Democrats
Republicans are Turing out in droves for early voting and they are beating Democrats at their own game
Not only has turnout just flat been a blow out for Republicans, the early voting is giving Republicans a way better chance of getting the remaing voters out on Election Day
Fool me once…..
Seems very familiar…..Lets wait and see what the vote count trend looks like around 230am on election night.
Just making it close in NJ will be a moral victory. This state is too far gone into the socialist hell hole to return from the abyss.
Let’s not let up the gas. Anything can happen. Vote!
Arizona and Nevada Trump supporters have really stepped up to the plate this year—they are an inspiration to all of us.
People don’t get cocky
I just saw Nunes and Kirk lecturing about we have to push thru past the objective
Like throwing a nice right overhand
Punch throw the chin
You’re the first person that has said it out loud. That Kari Lake election awakened the sleeper. That democrat trickery of printing the wrong-size ballots was heard loudly and clearly. Democrats are up day and night thinking of new ways to cheat.
Bugt, even bigger picture..
This should scare the hell out of those Dems Crying to eliminate the Electoral college..
If “blue” states like NJ, MA. NY all of a sudden start spitting their EVs between R and D. based on % and not all or nothing for 50%+1.
It’s a very different ball game
Agreed. Too many lemmings on the right.
I’ve argued repeatedly (since high school) that the electoral college shouldn’t be 50%+1 — it should be 50%+1 for each Congressional District. As it is, the swing states generally determine the outcome of Presidential elections and the candidates (rightfully) spend most of their time in those states. Moving to a CD-based model would put all states in play. A Trump-like candidate would get between a third and half the EVs in many blue states.
Something I wonder is with many more people voting early, will there be any left to vote on Tuesday?
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