Posted on 10/21/2024 6:53:30 AM PDT by dennisw
Polymarket today has Trump leading all swing states and way ahead of Kammy in the national election
https://polymarket.com/elections
These are odds on winning. I want to see one making odds on whether or not he’s sworn in.
Both sides need to prepare for a loss.
It's actually "All Over" but the shouting.. with the EXCEPTION of any further assassination attempts.
I CONTINUE to PRAY that Trump STAYS under "GOD'S HEDGE of PROTECTION!"
I received $950, yes. Might be the same math but the winnings were the original $200+(3.75x200). Betting on a negative number (the favored candidate) means a cash loss for the bettor if that candidate wins.
Yes, I got in early and I’m up 14% so far. My son says to cash out but I am more of a buy and hold.
EH. Polymarket can be massively manipulated. It’s one data point in the larger data set.
“I hope that Trump wins the popular vote as well as the electoral vote, just to shut up the Constitution-haters.”
Yes. That would be icing on the cake. A blessing!
“odds were that Hillary had an 83% chance of winning in 2016.”
That’s true. I’m thinking/hoping that the disclosure of cheating and GOP tightening things up may help.
I disagree.
Polymarket has $2.2 billion on the Presidential Election.
That is 85% of all the betting data.
It would require a $22 million bet to move Polymarket 1%.
You and me like POLY! Peter Thiel is big investor in Poly.
Notice how Poly has all swing states being owned by Trump. Kammy lead in them two weeks ago.
“Bovada had Trump at +375 when I bet $200 on him in early October 2016. That was a nice little windfall.”
Trump would be very happy to hear that he helped you make a capitalist profit. You risked/invested your capital and profited.
Case in point...
Pulling out nails is easy enough. If about 100 celebs were to defenestrate themselves, I’m comfortable with that. They’re useless vapid pieces of crap; we don’t need them.
Poly is in New Zealand and supposedly American laws say that we cannot place bets there. But since Poly only accepts crypto, loads of Americans are placing bets at Poly due to the anonymity of crypto payments.
My guess is most bets on American elections at Poly, are placed by Americans.
“I want to see one making odds on whether or not he’s sworn in.”
Good point. They’ll probably be betting on that, to, if he wins in Nov.
” If about 100 celebs were to defenestrate themselves, I’m comfortable with that. They’re useless vapid pieces of crap; we don’t need them.”
My Poly bet is that you have met your share of celebs in your life.
Trump has THE MOST IMPORTANT factor in his favor: The Big Mo.
Momentum.
“My Poly bet is that you have met your share of celebs in your life.”
Kind of. I worked at a Four Seasons Resort in HI for a few years. Some celebs were abominable. Some were so nice.
“If Illinois is blue, why does Deep State have to steal their elections.”
Democrat vote thieves are building a vote cushion early and often. They do not believe that inner city (black) Chicago vote fraud will be as high as in 2020. Blacks are not feeling the motivation. Plus DJT has said a few times that he will prosecute their sorry azzes. After winning.
Osama bin Laden----- "When people see a strong horse and a weak horse, by nature they will like the strong horse." aka DJT!
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