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Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Forecast - Trump 51.9% - Kamala 47.4% - $1.4 Billion Wagered
Polymarket ^ | 07 October 2024

Posted on 10/07/2024 7:52:30 AM PDT by zeestephen

This is NOT a voter poll - This is a Gambling Money poll - Indivdual state poll - Pennsylvania - Trump 56% - Kamala 44% - $10.2 million wagered

(Excerpt) Read more at polymarket.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 10/07/2024 7:52:30 AM PDT by zeestephen
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To: zeestephen

Money talks bs walks.


2 posted on 10/07/2024 7:54:37 AM PDT by samadams2000
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To: samadams2000

“Money talks bs walks.”

The betting markets are where you get a real sense of what’s going on. Polls are simply tools to manipulate the public.


3 posted on 10/07/2024 7:57:31 AM PDT by brownsfan (It's going to take real, serious, hard times to wake the American public.)
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To: zeestephen
Have I lost in my dotage the ability to count, as I make it if Trump takes Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina together with all the other red states, he doesn't need Pennsylvania or any one of the other to Rust Belt's belts to get to 272.


4 posted on 10/07/2024 7:57:51 AM PDT by nathanbedford (Attack, repeat, attack! - Bull Halsey)
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To: nathanbedford

According to what I have read Trump would come up short in that case. Maybe you aren’t taking into account the district in Nebraska that Harris is expected to carry.


5 posted on 10/07/2024 8:00:52 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

Introduce legislation getting rid of the electoral college. Set it up so 100% of democrats have to agree for it to pass. Watch them squirm.


6 posted on 10/07/2024 8:03:40 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: lasereye

https://www.270towin.com/


7 posted on 10/07/2024 8:05:57 AM PDT by nathanbedford (Attack, repeat, attack! - Bull Halsey)
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To: zeestephen

One major issue is how effective will the legacy media be in hiding the truth about the Hurricane Helene disaster?

If the truth gets out, it will be bad for Harris.


8 posted on 10/07/2024 8:07:20 AM PDT by jeffersondem
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To: zeestephen

Just wait until they come out with a secretly recorded tape on which Trump admits that he likes women. Watch the women run away from him then.


9 posted on 10/07/2024 8:08:04 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: jeffersondem

What hurricane?


10 posted on 10/07/2024 8:08:26 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (THE ISSUE IS NEVER THE ISSUE. THE REVOLUTION IS THE ISSUE.)
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To: zeestephen

Trump’s social media stock DJT has been moving higher of late. It’s up double digits percent today. Many people think it’s an indicator for how Wall Street expects the election to go.


11 posted on 10/07/2024 8:15:32 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: zeestephen

I do see yard signs for Harris.

I wonder what those people think Harris has done that would make her an even adequate President.

Then, I realized they aren’t supporting a person.

They are supporting their Mob.

They are supporting The Democrat Party Organized Crime Syndicate.

They think that by supporting this Democrat Crime Syndicate that they will receive benefits that The Syndicate will steal for them. It will protect them from the law.

Democrats are Democrats first.

Being an American Citizen is way down on their list.


12 posted on 10/07/2024 8:17:46 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer” )
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To: zeestephen

13 posted on 10/07/2024 8:18:16 AM PDT by thegagline (Sic semper tyrannis! Trump & Vance, 2024! (Formerly) Goldwater & Thomas Sowell in 202)
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To: nathanbedford
Re: "272"

If Trump wins all the same states he won in 2020, plus Georgia and Arizona, which he lost in 2020, Trump gets to 262.

Please note...

The 2024 election includes the 2020 Census additions and subtractions to Electoral Votes.

From memory, Trump gains +3 Electoral Votes via the new Electoral Vote distribution.

Trump needs Pennsylvania, or Michigan, or Wisconsin, to get past 270.

Nevada only has 6 Electoral Votes - Trump needs 8.

There are no other states besides those four that Trump has some chance to win.

14 posted on 10/07/2024 8:35:29 AM PDT by zeestephen (Trump "Lost" By 43,000 Votes - Spread Across Three States - GA, WI, AZ)
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To: brownsfan

Nonsense, first of all this could be a handful of rich people manipulating things. Secondly, this is just based on people trying to read the tea leaves using publicly available data. Register people and get out the vote. That’s the only thing that matters.


15 posted on 10/07/2024 8:41:43 AM PDT by wiseprince (Me)
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To: zeestephen
I see my problem, I had Minnesota painted red and even Ronald Reagan did not win Minnesota.


16 posted on 10/07/2024 9:13:07 AM PDT by nathanbedford (Attack, repeat, attack! - Bull Halsey)
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To: zeestephen

I don’t give much weight to the betting markets any longer. People like Soros can and do easily prop up the left candidate to help influence opinion. It’s relatively cheap advertising. They can always sell their position closer to the election and not really lose too much.


17 posted on 10/07/2024 9:14:50 AM PDT by for-q-clinton (Cancel Culture IS fascism...Let's start calling it that!)
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To: thegagline
Thanks for posting the RCP (Real Clear Polling) comprehensive average of betting websites, gagline.

Polymarket has a 90% share of total election wagers.

Also, USA election betting is illegal. Some of the websites on the RCP list will not do business with USA computers.

Polymarket uses 100% crypto currency accounts only.

The Polymarket share of USA voters is probably more than 90%.

18 posted on 10/07/2024 9:17:53 AM PDT by zeestephen (Trump "Lost" By 43,000 Votes - Spread Across Three States - GA, WI, AZ)
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To: zeestephen
From just a few minutes ago....................

.


19 posted on 10/07/2024 5:26:59 PM PDT by dennisw
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To: lasereye

_____ DJT Stock Rises Sharply After Elon Musk Shows Up at a Trump Rally
Story by George Glover • 9h _____


20 posted on 10/07/2024 5:29:00 PM PDT by dennisw
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