[nathanbedford]

Have I lost in my dotage the ability to count, as I make it if Trump takes Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina together with all the other red states, he doesn't need Pennsylvania or any one of the other to Rust Belt's belts to get to 272.

[lasereye]

According to what I have read Trump would come up short in that case. Maybe you aren’t taking into account the district in Nebraska that Harris is expected to carry.

[zeestephen]

Re: "272"

If Trump wins all the same states he won in 2020, plus Georgia and Arizona, which he lost in 2020, Trump gets to 262.

Please note...

The 2024 election includes the 2020 Census additions and subtractions to Electoral Votes.

From memory, Trump gains +3 Electoral Votes via the new Electoral Vote distribution.

Trump needs Pennsylvania, or Michigan, or Wisconsin, to get past 270.

Nevada only has 6 Electoral Votes - Trump needs 8.

There are no other states besides those four that Trump has some chance to win.