[Sirius Lee]

Maybe. Locally, Ryan Hall Y’all is calling for a cooler than normal September on the East Cost.

[DoodleBob]

https://www.wwltv.com/article/news/local/the-breakdown/the-breakdown-how-accurate-are-early-hurricane-season-predictions/289-a6bc1f47-e11d-4348-ad99-ca743984e3bb

In 2020, named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes, all exceeded the forecasted numbers by NOAA and CSU. Where 13-19 named storms were predicted, the Atlantic Basin saw 30.

In 2021, the Gulf again was more active than predicted by both NOAA and CSU, with 21 named storms, after 13-20 were predicted. NOAA and CSU were accurate in predicting major hurricanes, of which the Atlantic Basin saw four.

But 2022 was a calmer year in the Gulf, on the low end of both organizations’ predictions. And 2023 saw slightly more activity than predicted.

All this to say: this far out, predictions are tough and things will definitely change.

[j.havenfarm]

“Dusty air” inhibits the formation of hurricanes? Huh? That’s a new one on me