Posted on 05/03/2023 2:25:13 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA
Forecasters expect a hurricane season similar to 2017, one of the worst and most costly on record.
After two years of relatively mild hurricane seasons, 2023 will see above-average hurricane activity, researchers predict.
The forecasters expect the number of major hurricanes this year to be similar to 2017, which saw the extremely intense hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria.
Since 2014, hurricane activity has been accurately predicted by a model created by Xubin Zeng, a professor of hydrology and atmospheric sciences at the University of Arizona, and his former graduate student Kyle Davis.
(Excerpt) Read more at nextgov.com ...
How to they stack up to Punxsutawney Phil ?
Old Prediction:
Sea levels will rise and all coastal cities will be under water.
I’m old and I’ve learned that weather guessers and climate forcasters seldom even get yesterday’s weather right.
However, living in NE Florida I do appreciate that the NHC is predicting a slower than usual hurricane season. Fingers crossed.
They say this every year.
UA is the outlier in preseason forecasts at this point.
I can’t wait until my property turns into oceanfront property. 😂
People that make these dire predictions that never seem to come true need to be held both Civilly and Criminally liable when they don’t.
How many people will suffer an injury or loss as a result of this prediction? will they spend everything they have in preparation for a HOAX?? That is a BIG LOSS.
The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.
H. L. Mencken
Do these brilliant “forecasters” know who will win the AFC West this year?
I believe I saw that myself about the NHC. It is similar to stock market predictors.
After Katrina, they said we could expect a CAT 5 every year...The next year, there was hardly a season at all.
NY Giants. lol
Meanwhile, I’m shivering here in chilling Maryland with temperatures 20 degrees below normal. BRRR!!!
Want to be able to turn off the heat and open up my windows to enjoy some fresh air.
Every year for the past several years these freaks have been running around like chicken little claiming that it’s going to be an above average, or very active year, blah , blah, blah blaming it all on man made global warming.
And every year they make these predictions, it always ends up being just average or a little below average.
They make these dire predictions every year...eventually they will be correct, just by the law of averages. That one year out of many that they get it right, they will then turn around and say “See??? Globull Warming!!!”.
Is there anywhere that takes bets on this?
“I’m old and I’ve learned that weather guessers and climate forcasters seldom even get yesterday’s weather right.”
I think they use dart boards to predict the rain chances.
Not even one. 😊
According to my personal model it’s either going to be a very active season or it’s not. I’ve never been wrong.
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