Posted on 10/08/2022 1:05:38 PM PDT by nuconvert
Iranian Regime national tv Channel One hacked about an hour ago. During a broadcast of Khamenie speech, a red crosshair appeared over his face and chanting of Women. Life. Freedom. There was writing to the side saying "Rise up. Join us". Also 4 photos at the bottom of the screen of young people killed and additional writing: "The blood of our youth is dropping from your paws".
Also, there was a huge banner in the middle of Tehran highway today that read: We are no longer afraid of you. We will fight.
Also, attempted attack on IRI ambassador in Denmark. Her bodyguard was stabbed. Diplomatic Security intervened before the attacker could stab the ambassador.
bkmk
https://twitter.com/Amnesty_Norge/status/1603396365656248322
Shahram Marouf Mola, 22, is a brave protester from Oshnavieh, Iran. He has been sentenced to death on the baseless accusation of “war against God” by the Islamic Regime of Iran. His life is in danger. Be his voice.
https://twitter.com/SaTavZ/status/1604143085369184256
We know that dictatorships can invent accusations against their opponents but what is "war against god" and "corruption on earth"?
Balochs are spread across at least three “nations” (’tribes with flags’, in the words of, hmm, Nasser?) and modern Islamofascists like separatist movements, because they want an outright majority in the UN Gen Assm.
Incredible Story Of Two Women Imprisoned For Distributing Bibles In Iran
Well, I can think of all kinds of “enmity against God”, especially if it is resistance to an existing religious order taking it upon themselves to be absolutist spokesmen (in this case) for “God”, but as for corruption on Earth... SFAIK no living person can commit corruption anywhere else, except maybe for astronauts. ;-)
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 17
Iranian security personnel clashed with prisoners in Karaj, Alborz Province, reportedly killing one and injuring up to 100 others.
Some protest organizations could be playing increasingly prominent roles within a localized and relatively de-centralized anti-regime actor nexus.
At least 11 protests took place in seven cities across five provinces
The Iranian rial reached a new all-time low.
Iranian media reported that Meta rejected regime demands to nominate a representative to Iran, setting conditions to block or permanently restrict domestic access to Instagram and WhatsApp.
A large, unattributed explosion occurred in Kani Qirzhala, Erbil Province, Iraqi Kurdistan.
Turkish forces shelled alleged Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) militia positions near Amedi, Duhok Province, Iraqi Kurdistan.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-17
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 18
At least two protests took place in two cities across two provinces. Protests and strikes may increase in the coming days.
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and significant parts of his inner circle are continuing to misdiagnose the core problems driving the ongoing protests.
Some protesters have increasingly focused on imposing economic pressure on the regime as the Iranian rial continues to devaluate.
LEC Tehran Provincial Commander Brigadier General Hossein Rahimi announced the seizure of a man-portable rocket launcher and around 50 other small arms.
An LEC Border Guard regiment commander, Colonel Hossein Ali Farahi, announced that the LEC clashed with unidentified militants near Esfandak, Sistan and Baluchistan Province.
Unidentified individuals stabbed and wounded four clerics in Qom City, Qom Province.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-18
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 19
Some protest coordinators and organizations are trying to reclaim religion from the regime, essentially arguing that one can be devoutly religious and still oppose the Islamic Republic.
The Mashhad Neighborhood Youth explained part of its protest doctrine, promoting the idea of decentralized, “neighborhood-based” protests.
The regime is torturing arrested protesters to extract forced confessions.
At least 10 protests took place in five cities across four provinces.
Anti-regime militancy has increased in Sistan and Baluchistan Province since December 18.
The Guardian reported that dozens to possibly a few hundred protesters have fled Iran into Iraqi Kurdistan since the protests began in September 2022.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-19
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 20
Protest activity did not surge significantly outside of the Iranian capital region, despite calls from protest coordinators and organizations for countrywide demonstrations and strikes on December 19-21.
This reduced protest activity does not, however, indicate the end of the anti-regime movement.
Senior regime officials discussed expanding domestic internet restrictions.
IRGC Quds Force Commander Brigadier General Esmail Ghaani threatened domestic and foreign media outlets who have criticized the regime.
At least eight protests took place in three cities across three provinces.
An Artesh soldier reportedly expressed support for the protesters and opposition to the execution of protesters in central Tehran.
Prominent Sunni Cleric Moulana Abdol Hamid warned the regime against ignoring the will of the people.
Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei met with the families of the victims of the October 26 ISIS attack in Shiraz, Fars Province.
IRGC Coordination Deputy Brigadier General Mohammad Reza Naghdi acknowledged that economic issues have partly fueled the protests.
Foreign Affairs Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian participated in the Baghdad Conference for Cooperation and Partnership in Amman.
Anti-Regime Protests
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-20
Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei appears to be personally directing the regime's approach to protests in Sistan and Baluchistan Province.
At least five protests occurred in three cities across two provinces.
Some protest coordinators and organizations announced plans to regularly publish printed bulletins.
The Interior Ministry may be shuffling around provincial governors to improve internal security.
Iran may face mounting gas shortages in the coming winter months.
President Ebrahim Raisi and local officials emphasized the need to conserve gas on December 21.[6] Raisi called on the Oil Ministry and state media to encourage the public to reduce energy consumption. One provincial official in Gilan Province declared December 22 a local holiday for conserving energy. Raisi administration officials have expressed concern over these worsening shortages for months.[7] Domestic energy concerns could inflame anti-regime grievances as these issues mount.
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 22
Social media accounts have reported that Iranian security forces have begun violently killing and mass arresting citizens in Izeh, Khuzestan Province since December 21.
One of Iran’s most senior military officers discussed how the regime can adapt to control its domestic information space.
At least three protests occurred in three cities across two provinces.
The Tehran and Mashhad neighborhood youth groups announced their alignment and solidarity with a group called the Seventh of Aban Front.
Protest coordinators and organizations called for protests and strikes throughout Tehran on December 24.
Intelligence and Security Minister Esmail Khatib appointed a new Director General of Intelligence for West Azerbaijan Province.
The Wall Street Journal reported that anti-regime actors have smuggled roughly 200 Starlink devices into Iranian territory.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-22
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/data-analysis-mahsa-amini-protest-movement
:-)
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 23
The Iranian regime is in a mounting confrontation with citizens in Izeh, Khuzestan Province. The ongoing situation in Izeh underscores the credibility crisis that the regime faces.
Unidentified individuals detonated explosives at a Basij base in Ghahdrijan, Esfahan Province, marking a possible inflection in protester tactics.
Vice News published a video indicating dissent among the state security services.
The recent behavior of the regime demonstrates that it will likely keep the mandatory hijab law but look for new, and perhaps more effective, ways to enforce it rather than using the morality patrol.
At least four protests occurred in four cities across three provinces. Citizens frustrated by the regime’s suppression of Sunnis played a prominent role in the protests
Protest activity may increase on December 24 to commemorate 100 consecutive days of demonstrations.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-23
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 24
The Iranian Supreme Court upheld the death sentence of 22-year-old protester Mohammad Ghobadlou after rejecting his appeal.
Protest activity increased only marginally for the planned demonstrations, likely in part due to inclement weather conditions. At least seven protests occurred in six cities across six provinces.
Vice President for Women and Family Affairs Ensieh Khazali commemorated Women’s Week in Iran.
Some Iranian economic and political actors have acknowledged the economic consequences of the regime’s internet disruptions.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-24
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 26
Protest coordinators and organizations are encouraging citizens to demonstrate more regularly and spontaneously rather than awaiting planned protests. These protest coordinators and organizations are likely trying to reverse a natural consequence of the growing cohesion within the movement.
Protest coordinators and organizations are continuing their efforts to cause a fiscal crisis for the regime and disrupt the transportation sector. Mounting economic issues could drive further protest activity in turn, creating a self-reinforcing cycle.
The regime is further shuffling the authorities responsible for internal security in Sistan and Baluchistan Province, likely to improve efforts to stabilize the province.
The Khuzestan Neighborhood Youth posted a tweet claiming that the regime escalated against Izeh, Khuzestan Province residents.
At least five protests occurred in three cities across three provinces on December 25, and at least seven protests occurred in six cities across five provinces on December 26.
Elon Musk tweeted that almost 100 Starlink devices are currently operating in Iran.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-26
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 27
Some elements of the Iranian regime are increasingly framing the protest movement as an insurgency. No senior officials have yet indicated that they will adopt this harsher legal approach, but their recent rhetoric suggests it is possible. There is some evidence indicating that components of this protest movement have indeed crossed the threshold to be considered an insurgency.
The external messaging of different protest organizations may indicate divergent focuses.
Protest coordinators and organizations called for demonstrations on December 29 to commemorate several different killed protesters.
At least five protests occurred in three cities across two provinces.
Security forces are likely trying to contain commemoration ceremonies for the protesters killed when the IRGC Ground Forces deployed to West Azerbaijan Province in late-November 2022.
Social media users documented children participating in various kinds of protest activity in Mahabad, West Azerbaijan Province.
Supreme Human Rights Council Secretary Kazem Gharib Abadi denied reports of sexual abuse of female prisoners.
Iranian proxies in Iraq may attack US positions there to commemorate the three-year anniversary of the US killing Qassem Soleimani and Abu Mehdi al Muhandis.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-27
IRAN CRISIS UPDATE, DECEMBER 28
Iranian security officials and entities attempted to declare an end to protest activity on December 28 despite ongoing acts of anti-regime defiance documented throughout the country.
Iran’s deteriorating economic and energy conditions have the potential to further inflame anti-regime demonstrations.
At least four protests occurred in four cities across four provinces.
Protest coordinators reiterated calls for anti-regime protests and strikes on December 29 and January 6-8.
President Ebrahim Raisi and his cabinet appointed Hossein Mehrab as Khuzestan provincial governor on December 28.
Former reformist President Hassan Rouhani discussed solutions to anti-regime activity with former governors from his administration on December 26.
Social media users reported that petrochemical workers in Abadan, Khuzestan Province participated in anti-regime strikes for a third consecutive day.
The Turkish, Russia, and Syrian Defense Ministers held a trilateral meeting on December 28 in Moscow.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-crisis-update-december-28
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