Posted on 09/27/2022 7:35:40 AM PDT by Phoenix8
With six weeks to go until November’s elections, a new public opinion poll in the crucial battleground state of Pennsylvania indicates that Democratic Lt. Gov. John Fetterman is ahead of GOP nominee Mehmet Oz in the race for Senate, with Democratic state Attorney General Josh Shapiro leading Republican state Sen. Doug Mastriano by double digits in the gubernatorial showdown.
Fetterman tops Oz, the cardiac surgeon and celebrity doctor, 51%-44% among those likely to vote in the general election, according to a Marist College Poll in Pennsylvania conducted Sept. 19-22 and released on Tuesday. Among a wider pool of all registered voters, the survey indicates Fetterman with a 10-point 51%-41% lead, with 7% of those questioned undecided.
"What is particularly unusual in these numbers, is that, with still six weeks to go, most voters have already picked sides," Marist College institute for Public Opinion Lee Miringoff highlighted. "Few Keystone voters are undecided or say they support a candidate but might vote differently."
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
What I meant by low info voters as Rush used to say. They don’t look at facts or search causes and effects of events.
They just watch sitcoms and main stream media, go to work then do whatever they are into on the weekend. Then when it’s time to vote or if you ask them, they are an expert on geo-politics and their gut feeling of whom to vote for is unquestionable.
“Their sampling is not remotely in line with numbers”
That is an exaggeration, Trafalgar they may skew a bit for the R’s but only a bit, maybe, they have been the most accurate the last couple of cycles.
Not Union workers - White Male Managers and Engineers - typically they vote GOP but more are saying they will stay home in November
Oz is currently within 2, and Fetterman is actually polling below 50%. I think it’ll be a split. Oz takes the senate seat while that little twit Shapiro takes the Governor’s office (Philly will find him the votes).
Trafalgar has been proven to be the most accurate time and again. They’re closer to real than any others because they acknowledge the difficulty of reaching conservatives who don’t want to cooperate with pollsters.
Other pollsters —like Fox—ignore the hard to get conservative, likely voters
Polls to date have been using ‘regisered’ voters. .
I will refrain from an “I told you so” in 6 weeks......or....maybe not.
I now see this is a Marist Poll of ‘REGISTERED” VOTERS. Ignore it.
“The company I work for has a warehouse in York, PA - most of the people I talk to are staying home and not voting.
They don’t like either candidate Uncle Fester or Dr. Oz.”
***
Sounds like a group of Low IQ Pennsylvanians here on FR.
I just simply asked you for a link. I said nothing else. Why are you so defensive?
As far as the PA voters go wasn't Trump up in PA by about 800K votes at 3am post Election Day?
A bit?
10% oversampling is not a “bit” my friend.
Much like stocks, previous performance is no indication of future success.
Oversampling of R’s by nearly 10% makes their polling highly suspect.
There is a big difference between finding a hard to find voter to poll, and oversampling by 10%. Those are not remotely the same.
Trafalgar has consistently been oversampling GOP by about 10% this cycle.
Maybe they feel that GOP turnout will be 4 point higher than their representation of the electorate and that is why, even though that has NEVER EVER happened in the past.
IN a few weeks we’ll see where the ball lands, but Trafalgar’s gross oversampling of GOP voters and women voters as well makes their polling numbers suspect.
If you are trying to equate OZ with Trump you are smoking some really good stuff.
The disenfranchised folks who Trump got to show up, are not going to show up for OZ.
I was one of the earliest folks who predicted exactly how Trump was going to win 2016, and that he would take every state in the rust belt sans Il and MN... well before election day.
OZ is no Trump, the disenfranchised folks who engaged in 16 and 20 for Trump are not going to be showing up for OZ. Like I have said before, if OZ were running for some purple congressional district out east, he’d probably win comfortably, statewide, I fully expect him to underperform a generic R in the T.
Few more weeks we find out either way, but its not like it matters, both of these candidates are horrible.. there is absolutely no win here for PA or the USA with either of these douchbags in the Senate.
LOL, you have that a$$ backwards! Mastriano consistently trails by double digits and is raising no money (exactly what Barnette would have done). OZ is actually outraising his opponent and is within striking distance in the polls!!! Hopefully Mastriano doesn’t cost OZ the senate race!!!
Well then they get what they f*****g deserve Jay!
And if you are claiming that OZ is going to underperform Mastriano, Id like a hit of what you are smoking because its some really good shiznit!!!
Are you a Dem troll trying to suppress conservative support this election cycle...serious question!
He’s a Dem.
For starters, I was thinking Mastriano.
Again, I'll ask, wasn't Trump up in PA by about 800K votes at 3am post Election Day, 2020?
For starters, I was thinking Mastriano.
Again, I'll ask, wasn't Trump up in PA by about 800K votes at 3am post Election Day, 2020?
Sorry, post #77 was for Hammy.
That was Hamilton Jay replying to you...not me.
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