For starters, I was thinking Mastriano.
Again, I'll ask, wasn't Trump up in PA by about 800K votes at 3am post Election Day, 2020?
That was Hamilton Jay replying to you...not me.
Trump was up around 700k election night, yes.
I Know very well how Trump performed and where he got his votes from... OZ is absolutely not Trump and will not get the turnout or support that Trump got.
He will not get the Democrat crossover votes Trump got, he will not get the disenfranchised votes that Trump got, and he very likely won’t even get the GOP votes that Trump got.
If Oz were running for some purple district out east near philly or jersey border he’d probably win comfortably... statewide? He’s absolutely off brand, and will likely underperform a generic R candidate in the T.
No one, and I mean, no one I talk to, anywhere in the parts of PA that GOP statewide has to win and win big to carry the state has any enthusiasm for this guy... basically its “hey, at least he’s not fetterman”.... he’s not going to get the turnout or support he needs to win statewide.
The only way OZ wins is if, the election is simply a referendum on Biden, and his damage to the D brand is so great that it destroys the brand entirely. Basically if the election dynamic is such that a Ham Sandwich would win as long as it has an R by its name, then OZ could win... otherwise, he won’t.
Not that it will make a difference, both of these candidates are terrible... its am embarrassment that either one of these turds will wind up in the Senate.
PA nor the USA will win with either of these guys.
This election is literally, “HEY, PA VOTERS, would you like your crap sandwich with or without corn?”