Posted on 09/27/2022 7:35:40 AM PDT by Phoenix8
With six weeks to go until November’s elections, a new public opinion poll in the crucial battleground state of Pennsylvania indicates that Democratic Lt. Gov. John Fetterman is ahead of GOP nominee Mehmet Oz in the race for Senate, with Democratic state Attorney General Josh Shapiro leading Republican state Sen. Doug Mastriano by double digits in the gubernatorial showdown.
Fetterman tops Oz, the cardiac surgeon and celebrity doctor, 51%-44% among those likely to vote in the general election, according to a Marist College Poll in Pennsylvania conducted Sept. 19-22 and released on Tuesday. Among a wider pool of all registered voters, the survey indicates Fetterman with a 10-point 51%-41% lead, with 7% of those questioned undecided.
"What is particularly unusual in these numbers, is that, with still six weeks to go, most voters have already picked sides," Marist College institute for Public Opinion Lee Miringoff highlighted. "Few Keystone voters are undecided or say they support a candidate but might vote differently."
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
How is your MAGA gubernatorial candidate doing Jay? Underperforming OZ as far as I can see...just like your idiot candidate Barnette would be doing!!! Also Trump needs to give these candidates some of his cash he is hoarding for himself. MAGA cannot win because they have NO money...OZ can fundraise, that’s why he CAN win. Got it?!?!?
Most polls show a closer race with Oz moving in thought Fetterman still leads in all. Don’t forget GOPers are usually underrepresented in polls. www.fox29.com/election/insideradvantage-fox-29-poll-shows-fetterman-leading-oz-shapiro-in-double-digit-lead-over-mastriano
I know Pennsylvania very well. So I’m not just following HamiltonJay’s lead, or anyone else’s lead. I’m calling it as I see it.
Sure, Fetterman would be a disaster for Pennsylvania, and for the nation. Everyone here knows that. The problem is that many PA voters don’t know it. But here’s one thing they do know: Oz is a Hollywood phony, and an opportunist.
Oz could be the most RINO of all the RINOs. He might make Mitt Romney look like Patton by comparison. But Oz would still be leagues better that Fetterman. And so I encourage all my friends to hold their noses, and vote for Oz. But I gotta tell you, the enthusiasm is just not there.
As for Barnette, she was very flawed. But I wonder how she would have done had the GOP leadership supported and guided her, instead of dumping on her. I guess we’ll never know.
They would not have supported her one bit! And I’ve seen interviews of her...she is a stupid person, like O’Donnell or Palin! Oz can raise money unlike many on the R side can (because they are MAGA). It takes money to win elections, something Trump had which is what everyone on this site forgets.
Yea, go actually check the registration numbers, what I posted is accurate and most recent.
GOP 39%
D 46%
I 15%
that’s the electorate folks. GOP getting more registrations that Dems was true, but the claims that it’s a massive game changer in PA are overstated to say the least.
And before I get flamed for the Palin comment...she is a terribly flawed candidate and comes across as lazy and uninformed. 2008 became doomed once she started doing interviews and is going to be the only R to lose in AK this year because people hate her and honestly for good reason. And before anyone says “but but ranked choice”...why didn’t the Begich voters choose her as a second choice?
I agree! Just go and vote IN PERSON and get everyone else you know out to do the same! The results will speak for themselves. It would be nice to volunteer to be a poll watcher as they are not going to fraud with us standing right over them.
PA has gotten swallowed up in the New England mess - The republican party in these states is almost non existent.
Source with latest data?
I actually was going to mention Palin in my post #44. In a way, Barnette reminds me of Palin.
Palin had a lot going for her. And she would have been a strong voice for good. But she was doomed by her many missteps, and by relentless media attacks. To this day I wonder why she didn’t get better advice. Or maybe she did, and ignored it. Who knows?
Ah, what might have been.
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| Other/No Affiliation | 1,181,932 | 1,219,220 | 1,231,488 | 1,303,722 | 1,233,748 |
| Republicans | 3,222,286 | 3,254,206 | 3,254,822 | 3,517,090 | 3,423,465 |
| Democrats | 4,030,797 | 4,075,622 | 4,062,752 | 4,183,292 | 4,018,914 |
So as you can see, while gaining registrations in 2022 (as per the Reuters article may indeed be true, the claim its a huge change is laughable... GOP would need to gain 70k registrations just to get back to 2020 levels.
The GOP registration gains this year have NOT remotely put them back at 2020 levels, nor have the dramatically shifted the percentages of the registration advantage the D's have in PA.
Highest registration of both parties to date was 2020:
D = 46.4%
R = 39.06%
I = 14.4%
You are welcome to run the numbers for various years in this history and you will find that the percentages don't change much.
49, 49, 15 is pretty much the PA electorate every cycle..
Get informed before blathering off some poorly researched lazy article as proof of some major change.. because it's just not true.
Yes, PA rural areas have trended more and more R over time, and that's exactly the places where any R who needs to win statewide, doesn't just have to win, but win HUGE... and OZ won't do it... if anything he's most likely going to underperform the generic R candidate in those areas in a few weeks.
No the republican party of PA is not non existent, its a feckless part of the uniparty at least at the executive level.
GOP is part of PA’s problem. They have controlled both houses of the legislature since 1994 with only 1 4 year exemption... PA GOP is big part of the problem... and htat’s what folks who don’t live here don’t understand...
Harrisburg is a swampy as DC ever was.
In the general, you're voting for the party ... and if a person doesn't vote in the general because they "don't like their party's candidate, they are literally supporting the opposing party's candidate", justifying themselves with the delusion of "not voting on principle."
This may sound harsh (especially to "solid conservatives"), but it's a fact in the way our election system is set up ... especially as it relates to House and Senate elections.
See 52, I’m tired of repeating myself to people who refuse to accept reality...
There is no HUGE shift in registration happening to tilt the state R... that’s a lie. Yes, GOP has gained more registrations in 2022 than Dems did, but the narrative it has drastically changed the percentages is laughably incorrect.
Stop listening to flappy lipped punidts out of DC and NYC who have absolutely no experience with PA other than perhaps driving the turnpike once... and actually get informed.
PA is heavily democratic... they have a 7 point registration advantage, and no that percentage hasn’t changed this year...
You win in PA as a Republican statewide in PA by coming out of Philly OKAY, and the CRUSHING it in the rest of the state.... OZ will probably come out of Philly OKAY for a R.. likely outperform a Generic R there.. but odds are heavy against him “crushing” it in the T....
That’s PA folks, I don’t give a flying rats patootie what some flappy headed idiot with a microphone out of NYC or DC parrots to you.. that’s how it works here. Oz is utterly off brand for PA statewide...
Only prayer he has is that Biden has so damaged the D brand that anyone would win regardless of who its... as long as they have an R beside their name.. so to put it bluntly... only way OZ can win statewide is if a ham sandwich would win state wide as long as it has an R beside its name.
IN a few more weeks we’ll know for sure.. but the sad reality is, regardless of which one of these two turds wins, its a loss for PA and the USA....
This election for Senate in PA is literally asking voters, do you want your crap sandwich with or without corn.... period.
Its an embarrassment that either of these two douches will wind up in the Senate.
It’s a good comparison. I wish you guys the best of luck in the PA races...forget the polls and just pretend that it’s a 50/50 race both ways. PA is one of the biggest prizes of election night!
I guess I posted it again because I looked and didn’t see it.
Jerk.
I agree the Governors Race is far more important to the state of PA..
However Mastriano has to fight the Dems and the GOP Establishment of PA who will both be working to make him lose.
Right now things aren’t looking good for him, but he was always along shot because of the establishment wants him to lose.
Grassroots are the only thing thats going to get Mastriano over the top and so far, I haven’t seen much there... Of course the entire Governor’s race is grossly overshadowed by the insane amounts of money being pumped into PA for Oz and Fetterman... which again shows just how little either one of them will care at all about PA if they actually get elected.. just be beholden to the same money folks as everyone else.
But don’t point that out... unless you want to be flamed.
“Their sampling is not remotely in line with numbers”
That is an exaggeration, Trafalgar they may skew a bit for the R’s but only a bit, maybe, they have been the most accurate the last couple of cycles.
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