Posted on 11/02/2021 4:16:29 PM PDT by dangus
Election-day voters choose Youngkin, 59-41. Overall, Youngkin is leading 51-49.
Caveat: CNN is NOT publishing the overall winner. Instead, they are breaking up the vote into five regions, and publishing the percent of each region each candidate gets. I am multiplying each candidate's portion of each region, and adding up the five regions. However, CNN rounds the results, so I'm calculating results by doing math on final results which have already been divided into five and THEN rounded. That means rounding can actually amount to an inaccuracy of several percentage points.
Please add info to comments as you get it
Keep counting until you win. Works every time.
I wonder which VA County vote counting centers will have water pipe leaks
and have to stop counting. Or how many suitcases filled with ballots will be
pulled out and counted after election observers have been sent home.
Ruby Freeman. Remember her? Fulton County GA
Color me skeptical.
Has the truck from NYC arrived yet?
First election data irregularity:
1% of the vote in from Arlington County. (1 of 57 precincts)
Somehow, McAuliffe has 27,000 votes already. Gov. Northam got 68,000 votes from Arlington.
Will go blue I bet
It sounds like you’re just adding percentages. Unless I am missing something you need the vote count, or at least the registered voter count, for each of the five regions to get close - but still imperfect. And based on imperfect information (exit polls).
After Youngkin loses the people on FR will all be talking about how he didn’t have the votes instead of talking about massive vote fraud. There is no one method to vote fraud these days. There are dozens of methods all in use. I believe the worst of those methods involve mail in ballots.
If everyone voted on Election Day that would be good news, but Dems love vote by mail.
I just saw a claim that if Youngkin wins, it will be due to a “white backlash”.
I kind of liked it, heh. Especially with both candidates being white.
I read this as McAwful “wins”.
I’ve been saying that he would “win”.
With the polls favoring Youngkin, and enthusiasm high for him, with political tailwinds, Trump support, this is a perfect formula to wake more people up.
Essentially, a repeat of the Newsome situation a few months ago.
2020 MUST be fixed. There is NO 2022/2024 without 2020 addressed and solved.
That would be too close a margin. Northern Va. would have time to have pipes burst.
Realclearpolitics has updated numbers:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
Currently with 13% In
Youngkin (R) 207,600 55.9
McAuliffe (D) 160,692 43.3
Blanding (L) 3,040 0.8
Fairfax county will not be reporting early results by their deadline, per Mark Levine.
No such thing as an OFFICIAL exit poll....and people lie...now more than ever.
As I recall precincts in Virginia are supposed to have around 3000-5000 voters.
What happens between 10:30pm and 3:30am is FAR more important. That’s when the ballot box stuffing happens.
Hey Harry....Are they in your trunk or Bill’s??
it’s only a poll. Wait until DOMINION gets involved.
Well within the Margin Of Fraud. Congratulations Governor McAweful.....
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