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MAJOR X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE
Space Weather.com ^ | Friday, Oct. 29, 2021 | Staff

Posted on 10/28/2021 6:09:35 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission

MAJOR X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Earth orbiting satellites have just detected an X1-class solar flare from Earth-facing sunspot AR2887. The blast at 1535 UT on Oct. 28th created a massive tsunami of plasma in the sun's atmosphere:

The blast also hurled a CME into space. Coronagraph images are not yet available, but evidence for a CME is already pursuasive. The USAF reports strong Type II and Type IV radio emissions generated by a CME plowing through the sun's atmosphere. In addition, energetic particles accelerated at the leading edge of a CME have already reached Earth.

When will the CME itself arrive? Assuming that it is Earth directed, probably on Oct. 30th or 31st. Fresh data from SOHO coronagraphs will allow a more precise forecast, so stay tuned.

During the flare, a pulse of X-rays and extreme UV radiation ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing a strong shortwave radio blackout centered on South America:


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science
KEYWORDS: carringtonevent; cme; coronalmassejection; sida; solarflare; spaceweather; wereallgonnadie
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No, the world will not end, but it will probably affect shortwave radio and could affect high latitude power grids. (Where is that greenie summit? Scotland?)

Of interest to Ham operators, pilots, and power grid operators.

1 posted on 10/28/2021 6:09:35 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

No! No! Noooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!


2 posted on 10/28/2021 6:11:48 PM PDT by Fury
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To: Red Badger; meyer; MtnClimber; ransomnote; Oshkalaboomboom; Pollard

Ping.


3 posted on 10/28/2021 6:13:10 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission (In a savage mood lately...attempting to restrain myself! )
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

4 posted on 10/28/2021 6:15:23 PM PDT by wastedyears (The left would kill every single one of us and our families if they knew they could get away with it)
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To: wastedyears

Of course!

(Leaving the thread in your care! Bye!)


5 posted on 10/28/2021 6:20:39 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission (In a savage mood lately...attempting to restrain myself! )
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

Not much to see with the solar flare, so here is the

link to the LaPalma volcano eruption 2nd feed.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dTTm5zXiydg

(Just seemed like a good place to put it.)


6 posted on 10/28/2021 6:27:08 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission (In a savage mood lately...attempting to restrain myself! )
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

If we get another in succession it could be bad. It seems to have traveled fast.


7 posted on 10/28/2021 6:31:43 PM PDT by CJ Wolf ( what is scarier than offensive words? Not being able to say them...God wins. Trump always wins. . )
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

The bands have been crazy good for the last few days.


8 posted on 10/28/2021 6:34:26 PM PDT by sjm_888
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

Yippee!
Bring it


9 posted on 10/28/2021 6:52:34 PM PDT by hadaclueonce ( This time I am Deplorable )
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

“… When will the CME itself arrive? Assuming that it is Earth directed, probably on Oct. 30th or 31st. Fresh data from SOHO coronagraphs will allow a more precise forecast, so stay tuned….”
**************************************************************
Enquiring minds will want to know that when it hits Earth, will it be daylight in the US. In other words, what part of the globe will be facing the Sun when it hits.


10 posted on 10/28/2021 6:52:42 PM PDT by House Atreides
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To: CJ Wolf

Yah, this is what it sayes.

“Aviators, mariners, and ham radio operators on the daylit side of Earth may have noticed strange propagation effects at frequencies below 30 MHz.

Sunspot AR2887 may not be finished yet. It has already produced two M-class flares and an X-flare today. The active region is directly facing Earth, so any additional eruptions should be geoeffective. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text.”

Someday we will get a bad one or series of them. I suspect that the grid has a good deal more protection than the telegraph lines during the Carrington event, but if all or most IC boards are working with 3.5v it could be a problem.
(Time to buy and move into an Airstream trailer!)


11 posted on 10/28/2021 6:53:41 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission (In a savage mood lately...attempting to restrain myself! )
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To: hadaclueonce

Gitt’r cowboy!


12 posted on 10/28/2021 7:06:28 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission (In a savage mood lately...attempting to restrain myself! )
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

HG blog post comments inserted here.


13 posted on 10/28/2021 7:11:42 PM PDT by wgmalabama (We will find out if the Vac or virus risk was the correct choice - can we put truth above narrative)
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To: House Atreides
A good question but I have to rely on the same information as you:

"When will the CME itself arrive? Assuming that it is Earth directed, probably on Oct. 30th or 31st. Fresh data from SOHO coronagraphs will allow a more precise forecast, so stay tuned."

Keep checking Spaceweather and see what they say.

https://spaceweather.com/

Here is the NOAA site:

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

Here is the specific link;

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g3-strong-geomagnetic-storm-watch-october-30

14 posted on 10/28/2021 7:15:33 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission (In a savage mood lately...attempting to restrain myself! )
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To: sjm_888

Glad the music festival is going well!


15 posted on 10/28/2021 7:18:18 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission (In a savage mood lately...attempting to restrain myself! )
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To: wgmalabama
"HG blog post comments inserted here."

Thank you for kind comments HG Stand-in!

16 posted on 10/28/2021 7:21:33 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission (In a savage mood lately...attempting to restrain myself! )
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

Just trying to do my small part you blog post pimping m’fckets. Nothing worse than news from sources less than CNN FOX ANC CBS NBC …..


17 posted on 10/28/2021 7:42:16 PM PDT by wgmalabama (We will find out if the Vac or virus risk was the correct choice - can we put truth above narrative)
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To: wgmalabama

You got it, you are channeling him now! There is the John that everyone knows!


18 posted on 10/28/2021 7:53:16 PM PDT by Pete from Shawnee Mission (In a savage mood lately...attempting to restrain myself! )
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=KIvHrwVg7uA


19 posted on 10/28/2021 8:31:54 PM PDT by CJ Wolf ( what is scarier than offensive words? Not being able to say them...God wins. Trump always wins. . )
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission

Will people be able to see the Northern Lights in the upper U.S. this weekend?


20 posted on 10/28/2021 9:24:59 PM PDT by jonrick46 (Leftnicks chase illusions of motherships at the end of the pier.)
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