Posted on 11/08/2020 6:39:20 AM PST by Lazamataz
from thedonald.win:
Here’s the idea:
People on the left are now claiming that elections (since towns start with a finite size, the counting doesn’t start at 0) don’t follow Benford’s Law, that you have to “normalize” the data. And once you do, Biden totals look real.
I have a PhD a VERY hard science (quantum mechanics). So I follow Dick Feynman’s Law, “It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.”
Here’s my idea. It doesn’t involve normalizing or anything.
Let’s use REAL ELECTION DATA from this election.
Separate out Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, and Nevada. Put them aside for a moment.
Do Benford’s Law for each and every other state in the country, one state at a time. For Dems, Trump, and Libertardtarian. That automatically removes any second-guessing about “assumptions” or “models”.
But that’s just the first step.
Do it at 9PM election day. Do it at 7AM Nov.4 (for both the total, and for just the late votes). Do it at 7AM Nov.5 (for both the total, and for just the late votes). Do it at 7AM Nov.6 (for both the total, and for just the late votes).
Then do the same thing, for the US Senate race in each case.
This will show
a) if Benford’s Law holds for THIS election without normalizing. b) if Benford’s Law suddenly changes with new votes c) if Benford’s Law holds for the Senate but not the Presidency.
Then do the same thing for each of the supposed Dem Fraud States.
And you have an unmassaged, real-time, control group...on THIS election, so there’s no apples to oranges.
ANY TAKERS?
(Someone get this to the datacrunchers behind the Trump team, please!)
“from thedonald.win:
Long time lurker coming off the sidelines. I’m not one of the chans or anons, so my autist skills are limited. Just doing what I can to Stop the Steal.
I’ve already passed this information to the Trump campaign. I thought I’d share with the community that has inspired me so much this year.
Summary: Using the Pennsylvania voter information website, I have identified a significant number of discrepancies in the general election mail in votes.
Data Sources: https://data.pa.gov/d/mcba-yywm/visualization https://data.pa.gov/Government-Efficiency-Citizen-Engagement/2020-General-Election-Mail-Ballot-Requests-Departm/mcba-yywm https://www.dos.pa.gov/VotingElections/CandidatesCommittees/RunningforOffice/Documents/2020/2020%20important%20dates.pdf https://www.oldest.org/people/living-persons/
After reviewing data in the visualizer and finding red flags, I exported the file. Excel has row limitations, so my analysis is limited to roughly 1M out of 3.1M mail votes. There seem to be both ballot issues and application issues. Some of the ballots have multiple issues, but for simplification purposes, I set a single status. I chose based on my perception of severity, with more severe issues taking precedence.
In this data set, there were 879,117 votes received out of 1,048,575 recorded applications. This is an improbably high 83.8% return rate given reported return rates in other states.
Breakdown of issues on ballots received by PA :
12,066 returned the same day as it was mailed to voter (impossible given nature of USPS delivery)
18,785 returned the day after ballot mailed to voter (also impossible given nature of USPS delivery)
7,498 returned before the ballot was mailed
3,187 returned but not mailed to voter
1,328 mailed before the voter submitted application
799 returned before election start of 9/28/20
8 mailed without application submitted by voter
2 votes from the future (not in 2020)
The above discrepancies total 43,673, or 4.96% of mail in ballots submitted to PA. Extrapolation for the rest of the votes would be approximately 154,000 votes with irregularities. Given that the party registration was approximately 2/3 Dems, if all these were to be invalidated,Trump would be beating Biden’s current margin in PA
Original post which inspired me to take some action: https://thedonald.win/p/11PpKj14de/hey-folks-i-have-been-in-contact/ >
“
Election Summary Report for Gwinnet County, Georgia.
Total Population: 936,250
Total Registered Voters: 581,467
Voter Participation: 408,268 (70.21%)
Ballots Cast?
811,836.
1.36 ballots per registered voter.
1.99 ballots per participating voter.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EmRrFZjVMAAohNw?format=jpg&name=900x900
I haven’t had this much fun with math since high school.
26.6% of Gwinnett is under the age of 18 (249,042). Number of legal adults (including those that didn’t/can’t vote) is 687,207, which would be our theoretic maximum amount of ballots, at a 100% registration/participation.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EmRyBqcVoAAc-Tt?format=jpg&name=large
So my very final question is thus: How in the world were there not only 230,369 MORE BALLOTS than registered voters, but 124,628 MORE BALLOTS than there are adults in Gwinnett County?
How many people would have the credentials to “update” the system?
And wouldn’t they have to perform the update as they are logged in?
I’m no IT pro - but it appears we are looking for a small group of peeps who need to have their laptops siezed.
need to focus on the RED districts, precincts and counties.
This guy explains it very clearly
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HSuFRLEYbDg
watch it all
Even RED STATES and RED Districts require an AUDIT-not a recount
they’re banking on none of us looking too hard in the RED
If all for real, and I have no doubt that it is, what can be done about it? Can it be proven? Without proof, it’ll go nowhere. Can we assume that Trump/Pence/Rudy, et al. are on to this? And, again, what can be proven?
Place mark, important thread.
This gives me hope. Thank you for what you do Laz.
try 450000 THOUSAND!!!!nationwide. so far.
This election (Bevin/Beshear) was in 2019.
Short description of why Red precincts are important.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1325463843565412354.html
MAJOR BOOKMARK
Lin Wood is one of Trump’s attorneys along with Jay Sekelow [we have the best attorneys] and is quite aware of Sidney’s concerns.
April 16, 2020:
Former White House Cybersecurity Coordinator, Michael Daniel, notes in the film that voting machine companies generally are not known for cybersecurity expertise. Jake Stauffer, a former cyber analyst for the Air Force who has tested ES&S and Dominion voting systems for the state of California observed that:
What I have found, especially in the voting system arena, is that security is not really taken very seriously.
Jake Stauffer, former cyber analyst for the Air Force who tested ES&S and Dominion voting machines.
When Stauffer tested ES&S’s DS200 machine, they found multiple vulnerabilities that would enable an attacker to gain full access to the system, change configurations, and install a modified operating system without election officials knowing. Stauffer states that the vulnerabilities would enable a hacker to gain the highest level of privilege and gain remote access into the system and do whatever they wanted to do, “whether its change an election or shut the system down.”
Election Summary Report for Gwinnet County, Georgia.
Total Population: 936,250
Total Registered Voters: 581,467
Voter Participation: 408,268 (70.21%)
Ballots Cast?
811,836.
1.36 ballots per registered voter.
1.99 ballots per participating voter.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EmRrFZjVMAAohNw?format=jpg&name=900x900
I haven’t had this much fun with math since high school.
26.6% of Gwinnett is under the age of 18 (249,042). Number of legal adults (including those that didn’t/can’t vote) is 687,207, which would be our theoretic maximum amount of ballots, at a 100% registration/participation.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EmRyBqcVoAAc-Tt?format=jpg&name=large
So my very final question is thus: How in the world were there not only 230,369 MORE BALLOTS than registered voters, but 124,628 MORE BALLOTS than there are adults in Gwinnett County?
And so .... anyone could have done it without so much as a username/password?
Or log of files installed?
Let me guess - no cameras either?
I have responded to this already but some suggest that the referendum was counted as a separate ballot.
403,568 referendum
408,268 total votes
=811,836
I believe it is time for FReepers to start doing some number crunching.
Here is the data comparing Pennsylvania voter turnout for 2016 vs 2020.
2020 TOTAL 6,743,874
2016 TOTAL 6,038,687
# CHANGE 705,187
% CHANGE 11.7%
As of 1 pm today, Pennsylvania has 705,167 (11.7%) more votes than in 2016.
Here is the link to the 2020 PA data-—
https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=83&ElectionType=G&IsActive=1
Here is the link to the 2016 PA data-—
https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=54&ElectionType=G&IsActive=0
The next step in analyzing the PA data is to do an analysis comparing the 2016 voter turnout to the 2020 voter turnout on a BY COUNTY basis.
Which counties had huge voter turnouts in 2020 vs 2016?
Is there a FReeper who can convert the PA data for 2016 and 2020 BY COUNTY to an EXCEL spreadsheet?
Ya gotta start somewhere.
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