Yes... I look at polls. ALL of them. And, I try my best to research the basis of them, and compare them to past results.
I’ve never said Trump can’t win. Haven’t even said he won’t win. I do think Michigan and Wisconsin are very close. His margin of victory in 2016 was VERY slim. I expect the Rats to cheat harder. If we’re able to pull out a win in one of those 3 northern states, that would be a sign of a big Red wave.
The travel schedule you posted looks great. Trump isn’t giving up there. And Biden is wasting time and money in Texas. I’m from Texas. It will definitely go for Trump... BIGLY!
Those are all Trump votes being missed in the polls.
Due to the limited size of the venues, compared to the crowds outside (who would not be sampled), the raw numbers of each are UNDERESTIMATED.
Then you have the "shy Trump voter effect" (with 0moeba's Red Guards running around setting things on fire and literally murdering Trump supporters in cold blood, how many people are going to tell a left-leaning stranger who already has their personal information, they're voting for Trump?).
Now apply that to the black vote.
Then note that early voting statistics in Pennsylvania and North Carolina have black turnout dropping by at least 2% of the total vote count.
The missing black vote is a 2% swing in Trump's favor. The 20% of blacks voting for Trump is another 2% swing in Trump's favor.
Then you have the large shortfall in mail-in ballots for Dems: they were counting on a 70%-30% ratio in mail-ins to make up for the Red Tsunami on voting day. It ain't happening.
I think Biden's gonna get smoked like Hunter's crack pipe.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3899468/posts
2016—per CNN exit polling, 70% of the 2016 NC electorate was white, 30% non-white. Breaking this 70% white NC vote down by education: 37% of 2016 NC white voters had a college degree, 30% did not have a college degree.
2020—73% of the current early votes are by white voters (73% !). Even better, when this 73% is broken down by education, only 29.4% of the NC early vote electorate are whites with a college degree, while, get this.....44.4% are whites without a college degree.
Folks, we are seeing the same thing in Florida and Nevada. In Florida, Democrat turnout is highest in older, more working-class retiree counties that Trump won in 2016. In Nevada, rural counties are posting huge numbers.
Thanks @bort!
JUST IN: Joe Biden is heading to St. Paul, Minnesota, tomorrow. It will be the fullest travel day of his general election campaign, with stops now in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.— Matt Viser (@mviser) October 29, 2020