Replies

Here's another problem with polls. If you read the reports from Trump's teams on his rallies, about 20%-25% of the attendees are Democrats; about 20%-25% did not vote; 10%-20% have NEVER voted.

Those are all Trump votes being missed in the polls.

Due to the limited size of the venues, compared to the crowds outside (who would not be sampled), the raw numbers of each are UNDERESTIMATED.

Then you have the "shy Trump voter effect" (with 0moeba's Red Guards running around setting things on fire and literally murdering Trump supporters in cold blood, how many people are going to tell a left-leaning stranger who already has their personal information, they're voting for Trump?).

Now apply that to the black vote.

Then note that early voting statistics in Pennsylvania and North Carolina have black turnout dropping by at least 2% of the total vote count.

The missing black vote is a 2% swing in Trump's favor. The 20% of blacks voting for Trump is another 2% swing in Trump's favor.

Then you have the large shortfall in mail-in ballots for Dems: they were counting on a 70%-30% ratio in mail-ins to make up for the Red Tsunami on voting day. It ain't happening.

I think Biden's gonna get smoked like Hunter's crack pipe.