Monmouth poll: Biden up 12pts in Pennsylvania

Monmouth University ^ | October 6, 2020 | Monmouth U

[St. Louis Conservative]

Challenger pulls into double-digit lead over Trump West Long Branch, NJ – Joe Biden holds a 12-point lead over Donald Trump among all registered voters in Pennsylvania and anywhere from an 8-point to 11-point lead among likely voters, according to the Monmouth (“Mon-muth”) University Poll. This marks an improvement from Biden’s single-digit lead in a Monmouth poll just over one month ago. More voters trust the challenger than the incumbent on key issues, such as handling the pandemic. The poll does not find much shift in opinion since the president’s own Covid-19 diagnosis. Other findings show a Democratic advantage in a trio of statewide office races and a tight margin in the generic party preference for Congress.

[Citizen Soldier]

They’re going to have to start counting in Roman numerals after 100%

[DarthVader]

If you believe this poll which is garbage that would be anyone’s conclusion. In reality Trump and GOP is up and has coat tails.

[Flick Lives]

We must assume that these adverse polls are accurate and proceed to campaign under that assumption.

—

That is not a logical assumption.

[SmokingJoe]

What are you?
A DNC paid troll?
Chew on this from 2016. Fake in 2016, even faker in 2020. Same result. Trump still wins in November. .:

Robert Barnes
@Barnes_Law
Replying to
@DevonHesano
and
@mytruth01
Yeah, she did, at exactly this time period.
Early October PA polls:
NBC Hillary by 12
F&M Hillary by 12
Monmouth Hillary by 10 (but likely, not RV)
5:03 pm · 6 Oct 2020·Twitter

https://mobile.twitter.com/Barnes_Law/status/1313510286549151746

[MHT]

Does your friend have data on Vigo County, IN? It has 100 percent voting accuracy.

[Dan in Wichita]

That's where the debate is tomorrow, so it's not hard to understand why she is in UT. If she is truly campaigning she is wasting her time and money.

Do you really think Biden has a chance of winning UT?

[gibsonguy]

Well said. It’s do or die because these polls may be skewed but not by 8-12 points.

[OldGoatCPO]

We are being manipulated by the media including FOX. They know polls like this are garbage, especially when the pollster weighs the poll heavily Dem and use registered voters. The margin of error for this poll would have been 5% or more had they not include 400 LV. The 4.4% still indicates they weighed the poll heavily democrat. I have not seen the internals, but it is par for the course.

FOX and all the other $hit shows manipulate us by headlining these obvious skewed or worthless polls. I brings people in and gets people to watch and keeps us anxious. I caught this last night when the news portion of FOX announce Trump down by 14 after the debate. This is click bait to keep us tuning in to get “expert” analysis. CNN is manipulative media porn for Biden supporters and FOX is the same for Trump supporters. We are being gamed by both sides for ratings and they could tear this country apart in the process.

[nathanbedford]

okay, dismiss all these polls, do not change your tactics or strategy instead you might accept more optimistic Trafalgar polls but then you will still be compelled to make some changes.

[LeonardFMason]

40% Republican
14% Other/none
46% Democrat

+6 Democrat Poll

[bantam]

Wearing thin??? Really??
These azzwipes do nothing but load questions, and over sample, or sample from geographically strong area where they want a candidate to do well in to produce #’s that go for or against their unspoken position. Academia is liberal & a ton of these polls are driven by them. Them/Other pollsters have consistently shown outlandish #’s and bias.
The one thing MOST of these polls do is to drive home the point large populations think Orange man is bad, to sway the electorate.
THEY’RE VILE!!!!!!

[DarthVader]

I will ask when I talk to my friend and see if he can get that data. In PA Trump is leading Biden in Lackawanna 52 to 44% a Democrat stronghold that Hildy won 51 to 47% in 2016. These propaganda pollsters are lying out their asses.

[Gahanna Bob]

I like everything you said. I also think the black vote will be ho-hum for Biden, if that. Are union households going to support Biden and his plans that would hurt PA? I see union workers supporting Trump in larger numbers than Hillary.

The polls are designed to depress Trump support and it only strengthens it.

[DarthVader]

That doesn’t represent the recent voter registration numbers. So you know its massaged.

[central_va]

If Biden is up 12 pts. then why is he campaigning today in PA?

[Tanniker Smith]

Utterly ridiculous poll on the face of it. Defies reality.

Are they going for complacency? Because you can’t discourage folks who aren’t listening to you in the first place.

Had they said Biden +6, I might be concerned. Double digit lead? Laughable

[centurion316]

Monmouth results in 2016 make their polls credible. But, 2016 results is not necessarily a predictor of results in 2020. Looking at the crosstabs, I suspect that the turnout model that they used may not be correct. All of the registered Democrats are saying that they will vote, but historically many Registered Democrats don’t bother to vote. This year, with the Democrats scared witless over COVID-19, that number may be lower than in 2016. The polls, the narratives, and the historical data aren’t adding up for this election. I think that anyone who predicts the outcome is a fool or a partisan.

[DarthVader]

+10000!! Good point!! He is down big time in PA and has lost Ohio and Iowa. Their house of lies is about to come crumbling down.

[OldGoatCPO]

The BLM #2 just came out against Biden, not for Trump, but accused Biden of being a hardcore racist. This means two things:

1) The riots will not stop if Biden is elected because he is a racist.

2) Many Blacks will not turn out for Biden or the faux Black Harris. They won't vote for Trump but they won't vote for Biden either. Were it any other demographic I would say they will show up to vote down the ticket, but I think in this case many will just not show up.

[bantam]

I grew up in the most northern part of Lackawanna Co, and I will second your statement of it being a Demorat stronghold.
It’s an area, where my Dad said as a kid, you had to be a registered “D”, if you wanted a job or friends.
It is historically VERY, VERY Demorat. I can speak of this FIRST HAND!!
Only the last cycle or 2 is it starting the change.

I’ve posted on FR twice that in a recent trip to NEPA, there were a TON of Trump signs compared to Biden. Anecdotal for sure, but it can’t be far off from truth.
If Lackawanna County is 52%-44% FOR TRUMP-—THIS ELECTION IS OVER BY 9PM-10PM election night!!!!!!!!!!!!