Posted on 09/24/2020 10:01:41 AM PDT by Conserv
... and it's a University poll(Christopher Newport).
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
If new states are formed maybe northern VA can be mergers with DC.
That means tied at least....
In 2016 Trump pulled out of VA well ahead of the election and he lost it by 5%. Their polls must show him closer than that.
A few of the Feds may not want a senile Biden with his finger on the nuclear trigger...and the threat of rioters coming to their posh suburbs—whether it is enough to flip the state to President Trump is hard to tell...
Nevada could be a weird state this year. With the scaled down work force needed in Las Vegas, did those people stay, or high tail it to another state?
I’ve been saying this for months - VA 2A citizens are going to turn out in droves.
As far as Virginia goes...I doubt it, but....In 2016 Gary Johnson got 3.4 % of the vote (118K) and Evan McMullin got 1.4% (54K) in that state. I know Trump wouldn’t get all those votes, but that would get him pretty much into a dead heat.
I mean if 3.5% is a reasonable estimate of Trump supporters who won’t identify as such to pollsters, and I believe it is, Biden is only up 1.5%.
Almost. It's useful to monitor direction.
The problem is, democrats are not voting for Biden. They are voting for the democrat party. The candidate is irrelevant.
I’ve been very disappointed in VA. I used to drive through every year...wonderful stops on 95 and beautiful highways. NOW I drive through, construction, shady rest areas....definite change since BLUE took over.
If it flips it would be damned close! Now if Trump can cut it to 2 pts it would be worth putting some effort into. My sister lived in Galax for several years but in the last three have watched the state turn into the liberal crap hole they left, Minnesota. They sold their house and bought a farm in Tennessee.
I don’t see a huge blow out for Trump. I think he gets the states he won last time and maybe gets New Hampshire, Minnesota and possibly either Nevada or New Mexico, but 350 EV’s unless BiteMe is a complete drooling out of the mouth deer in headlights in all three debates, no.
Your point is what our resident poll trolls (some of whom have already visited this thread) miss.
Biden is polling far worse in VA than Hillary did.
Who knows what the actual results will be, but these results are actually very encouraging despite their incessant, moronic doom and gloom.
I think Newport News area reaches N. Carolina also.
VA is the backyard of the deep-state. Its where all the Fed.gov drones live.
You got that right. My deep blue district in Fairfax is chock full of FedGov employees. There are no Trump signs here but there are not any Biden signs either.
Most of the signs I have seen are for Mango,Republican for House and Gade, Republican for Senate.
In 30 years here, I have never seen so many Republican signs.
I lived in Virginia for over 10 years (Loudoun County), but by the grace of God got a new job and moved to Texas three years ago. Here’s the deal with Virginia. Most of the state is Red, except for Northern Virginia and other pockets like Richmond and Norfolk. When Ken Cuccinelli ran against Terry McAwful for Governor several years ago, one of my son’s worked on Ken’s campaign. As the returns came in on election night, Ken kept a lead of about 4-5 points. In Fairfax County, some judge allowed for the polls to remain open until 11:30 pm, rather than close at 8:00 pm. Now Fairfax is 80-20 Blue to Red, so it was going to be a close call. Fairfax numbers came in really late due to the polls remaining open, but it broke over 80% for Terry. I would not be surprised if they pull this type of crap again. They can’t lose Virginia and will pull out all the stops to ensure it remains Blue.
The purpose of the Newport News/Norfolk rally may actually be mostly to hit the rural areas of northeastern N. Carolina. There are about a dozen or so counties in N. Carolina that NN/Norfolk local stations hit. If I recall correctly, Trump did surprisingly well in this area of NC in 2016. The campaign did the same thing when they visited Toldeo, which was an event that would be picked up in southern Michigan.
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