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Corona Virus Daily Thread #41

Posted on 04/08/2020 9:40:31 AM PDT by Mariner

Yesterday's thread here:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3832668/posts?page=1


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: 41covidthread
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To: janetjanet998

updated

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

60,415 us deaths

the model has no deaths after June 15th...and only 60 in the 2 weeks before that

peaking at 2121 on 4-3


361 posted on 04/09/2020 9:25:16 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: janetjanet998

peaking at 2121 on 4-12 not 4-3


362 posted on 04/09/2020 9:25:56 AM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: LilFarmer

GA

ATLANTA — Georgia reported 10,566 cases of COVID-19 and 379 related deaths as of noon Thursday.

According to the Department of Public Health’s coronavirus daily status report, the 10,566 cases are up from 10,189 cases and 369 deaths reported at 7 p.m. Wednesday.

The department reports 2,159 people have been hospitalized due to coronavirus; however, the governor’s office staff has said the number is likely behind actual hospitalizations.

https://www.valdostadailytimes.com/news/update-georgia-reports-10-566-coronavirus-cases-379-deaths/article_28117c68-7a7b-11ea-9746-bfd8f4a075e2.html#utm_campaign=blox&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social


363 posted on 04/09/2020 9:27:28 AM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: amorphous

What is the label/scale for the vert axis?


364 posted on 04/09/2020 9:27:31 AM PDT by mad_as_he$$
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To: LilFarmer

Noon updates are coming in:

FL
Total Cases 16,364
Positive Residents 15,883
Hospitalizations 2,149
Deaths 354
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/96dd742462124fa0b38ddedb9b25e429

MN
Cases 1,242
Deaths 50
Hospitalized as of today 145 (total 293), 63 ICU currently
https://www.health.state.mn.us/diseases/coronavirus/situation.html

AZ
3,018 cases with 89 deaths
https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/index.php#novel-coronavirus-home


365 posted on 04/09/2020 9:39:16 AM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: BenLurkin

1 in 10 US workers have lost their jobs.


366 posted on 04/09/2020 9:39:24 AM PDT by bgill (Idiots. CDC site doesn't recommend wearing a mask to protect from COVID-19)
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To: LilFarmer

ND
269 Positive Cases
8721 Negative
8990 Total Tested
101 Recovered
14 Currently Hospitalized
34 Total Hospitalized
5 Deaths
https://www.health.nd.gov/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/north-dakota-coronavirus-cases


367 posted on 04/09/2020 9:40:40 AM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: BenLurkin

The problem with that is the 20-30yr olds don’t own or run the businesses.

The managers, owners, supervisors, etc are in the age group most at risk for hospitalization and complications (not including death), the 40-60yr old demographic.

20-30yr olds can’t do it by themselves.


368 posted on 04/09/2020 9:42:15 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: LilFarmer

MS
2,260 cases with 76 fatalities
https://msdh.ms.gov/msdhsite/_static/14,0,420.html#caseTable

ME
Confirmed Cases1 Recovered Hospitalized Deaths
560 202 105 16
https://www.maine.gov/dhhs/mecdc/infectious-disease/epi/airborne/coronavirus.shtml

NC
3,651 cases
65 deaths
398 hospitialized
https://www.ncdhhs.gov/divisions/public-health/covid19/covid-19-nc-case-count

WV
485 cases, 4 fatal
https://dhhr.wv.gov/COVID-19/Pages/default.aspx

VA
4,042 cases
685 hospitalizations
109 deaths
http://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/

COVID-19 Statistics in Maryland
Number of Confirmed Cases: 6,185
Number of negative test results: 35,344
Number of Deaths: 138
Hospitalizations: 1,348 ever hospitalized
Released From Isolation: 376
https://coronavirus.maryland.gov/


369 posted on 04/09/2020 9:45:42 AM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: blueplum

Chalking the DV uptick due to alcohol.


370 posted on 04/09/2020 9:47:04 AM PDT by bgill (Idiots. CDC site doesn't recommend wearing a mask to protect from COVID-19)
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To: Mariner

It’s the 9th...has anyone seen any ‘stimulus’ money yet?


371 posted on 04/09/2020 9:48:25 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...siameserescue.org)
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To: LilFarmer
DC #40 Today, 10:37 AM DC COVID-19 Data for April 8, 2020 Total Tested Overall: 8724 Total Positives: 1523 Total Lives Lost: 32 Total Recovered 393 https://coronavirus.dc.gov/page/coronavirus-data IN Total Positive Cases 6,351 Positive tests reflect results from ISDH and results submitted by private laboratories Total Deaths 245 Total Tested 32,133 https://coronavirus.in.gov/2393.htm SD Number of Cases 447 Ever Hospitalized* 27 Deaths** 6 Recovered 161 https://doh.sd.gov/news/Coronavirus.aspx PA COVID-19 Data for Pennsylvania* ​Negative 87,374 Positive 18,228 ​Deaths 338 https://www.health.pa.gov/topics/disease/coronavirus/Pages/Cases.aspx
372 posted on 04/09/2020 9:49:56 AM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: LilFarmer

DC
#40
Today, 10:37 AM
DC COVID-19 Data for April 8, 2020
Total Tested Overall: 8724
Total Positives: 1523
Total Lives Lost: 32
Total Recovered 393
https://coronavirus.dc.gov/page/coronavirus-data

IN
Total Positive Cases 6,351 Positive tests reflect results from ISDH and results submitted by private laboratories
Total Deaths 245
Total Tested 32,133
https://coronavirus.in.gov/2393.htm

SD
Number of Cases 447
Ever Hospitalized* 27
Deaths** 6
Recovered 161
https://doh.sd.gov/news/Coronavirus.aspx

PA
COVID-19 Data for Pennsylvania*
Negative 87,374
Positive 18,228
Deaths 338
https://www.health.pa.gov/topics/disease/coronavirus/Pages/Cases.aspx


373 posted on 04/09/2020 9:50:36 AM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: Aggie Mama

My thinking is that it would make you more susceptible. My blood already has oxygen issues.

However, a commentor brought up Ferrara Italy that has a high degree of people with thalessemia. That area has been studied as it relates to other diseases and thalessemia

The comment claimed that Ferrara does not have the same fatal results as other areas in Northern Italy. I did a quick search and found one site claiming no deaths but not really sure if that is correct.


374 posted on 04/09/2020 9:51:05 AM PDT by RummyChick ( Yeah, it's Daily Mail. So what.)
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To: All

new daily thread here:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3833419/posts?page=1


375 posted on 04/09/2020 9:51:16 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: LilFarmer

ITALY
Coronavirus in Italy, 143,626 positive cases and 18,279 deaths

In Italy, since the beginning of the Coronavirus epidemic, at least 143,626 people have contracted the Sars-CoV-2 virus (+4,204 more than yesterday for a 3% growth). Of these, 18,279 (+610, + 3.4%) died and 28,470 (+1,979, + 7.5%) were discharged. Currently the positive subjects of which there is certainty are 96,877 (+1615, + 1.7%. The count rises to 143,626 - as mentioned above - if in the calculation there are also the dead and the cured, ie counting all the people who have been found positive for the virus since the outbreak). The data were provided by the Civil Protection.

The hospitalized patients with symptoms are 28,399; 3,605 (-88, -2.4%: a steadily decreasing figure for five days) are in intensive care, while 64,873 are in fiduciary home isolation.

Here you will find a «reading guide» of the bulletin, with the explanation of the various items; here the experts explain how long it will take to understand if the restrictions work, here instead what are the predictions regarding the peak. This is the map of contagion in Italy. Here the newsletters of the past few days.

The data Region by Region

The data provided below, and divided by Region, is that of the total cases (number of people found positive since the beginning of the epidemic: includes dead and recovered). In the photo above, the one of the currently positive subjects is visible. The change indicates the number of new cases registered in the last 24 hours.
Lombardy 54,802 (+1388, + 2.6%)
Emilia-Romagna 18,677 (+443, + 2.4%)
Veneto 12,933 (+253, + 4.2%)
Piedmont 14,522 (639, + 4.6%)
Brands 4,955 (+96, +2)
Liguria 5,020 (+114, + 2.3%)
Campania 3,344 (+76, + 2.3%)
Tuscany 6,552 (+173, + 2.7%)
Sicily 2,232 (+73, + 3.4%)
Lazio 4,429 (+163, + 3.8%)
Friuli-Venezia Giulia 2,299 (+81, + 3.7%)
Abruzzo 1,931 (+72, + 3.9%)
Puglia 2716 (+82, + 3.1%)
Umbria 1,298 (+9, + 0.7%)
Bolzano 1,903 (+68, + 3.7%)
Calabria 874 (+15, + 1.7%)
Sardinia 1026 (+51, + 5.2%)
Aosta Valley 868 (+18, + 2.1%)
Trento 2,708 (+106, + 4.1%)
Molise 234 (+8, + 3.5%)
Basilicata 303 (+6, + 2%)
https://www.corriere.it/salute/malattie_infettive/20_aprile_09/coronavirus-italia-143626-casi-positivi-18279-morti-bollettino-9-aprile-1442e2aa-7a74-11ea-880f-c93e42aa5d4e.shtml


376 posted on 04/09/2020 9:51:38 AM PDT by LilFarmer ("Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate")
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To: All

New daily thread here:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3833419/posts?page=1


377 posted on 04/09/2020 9:53:13 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Jane Long

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/11/151110115711.htm

Zhengli-Li Shi, Ralph S Baric. A SARS-like cluster of circulating bat coronaviruses shows potential for human emergence.


378 posted on 04/09/2020 9:54:13 AM PDT by RummyChick ( Yeah, it's Daily Mail. So what.)
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To: LilFarmer

Yes....exactly.

DeBlob and CuCuCuomo, along with NYC health director were out there pushing that this was a nohting burger.

Then, their city went into meltdown.

Now, they’re blaming Trump.

Typical leftists.

Turn EVERYTHING they touch/manage to cr@p, then blame others.


379 posted on 04/09/2020 9:56:00 AM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: calenel
Oops,

Case Fatality Rate Ratio (CFR) by Country using worldometers data.

Not that I would have known the differences a few weeks ago.

Send me a formula using the data available, or derived from data available from worldometers.info, and I'll plug it in. By derived, perhaps my ND/TD ratio, which provides for a crude exponential growth rate might work for an 'r' value. I'll also put it in an HTML table instead of uploading an image file.

No epidemiologist here - I think I've mentioned that a couple of times already - and while this is 101 to someone knowledgeable of such, to the rest of us, it's just weird looking sh!t.

And, is the increased accuracy really worth the effort, given the data we have to work with isn't that precise in the first place? No offense, as this is learning process for most - though learning is FUNdamental. :)

380 posted on 04/09/2020 9:56:29 AM PDT by amorphous
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