Posted on 04/04/2020 9:18:59 PM PDT by pa_dweller
We have pad [sic], and continue to pay, a huge economic price for it, but new data from an unexpected source gives compelling evidence that social distancing is working against COVID-19, as well as a surprising providing a possible dividend.
Just tell us the data.
Surprising dividend? Let me guess....LESS FLU, also.
Among the reasons I am rapidly developing a loathing for YouTube is that their monetization scheme encourages horrible winding diatribes once confined to 3am infomercials.
Sure thing. Only 18 months to go! I mean, as long as any single person can be saved, right? If you don’t think so, you hate old people.
Anybody watch it long enough to give a brief synopsis?
Don’t you wonder about the shootings in Chicago? Seems to me they would be down to about zero. I would almost bet that no one gets to die from anything else this week.
Alright, I watched it.
It’s about this website:
https://healthweather.us
Data from 100K plus US web connected Kinsa smart thermometers
tracking fever, or the lack thereof, across the US.
Interesting.
However, if you are not liked and have even been demonetized, then this causes those channels to resort to streaming to get superchats or donations via PayPal and Patreon. This tends to lead to diarrhea of the mouth on the part of the host and guests.
Official figures released by the Spanish Health Ministry at 11.45am on Saturday 4 April confirm 124,736 known cases of Coronavirus (Covid-19) in Spain, 7,026 more than yesterday.
Friday had seen an increase of 7,472 confirmed cases over Thursday – a rise of 6.7%, which had continued the downward trend of increased infections seen in the past few days in Spain. This downward trend of infections seems to be continuing with the figures announced on Saturday morning.
11,744 people have now died from the pandemic (up by 809 from yesterday – an increase of 7.3%, but the lowest figure of the past week). Yesterday’s figure was an increase of 932 – and the day before 950. It is the eighth day in a row, however, that the increase in the number of Coronavirus deaths for a 24-hour period in Spain has been above 800.
There are 57,612 people who have required hospital treatment in Spain for Coronavirus, of which 6,532 are currently in intensive care. 34,219 people have now made a full recovery, which is 3,706 more than yesterday. Friday’s figure for recoveries had been an increase of 3,770 over Thursday.
From the thermometer data, it appears that the typical increased body temperatures from regular flu are being significantly reduced by social distancing, and that COVID-19 is -- at least -- not making up for that reduction. If so, the body count from regular flu + COVID-19 + social distancing may wind up being lower than that from regular flu alone.
If high temperatures from COVID-19 are being reduced at the same rate as those for regular flu, then this damn plague is turning around. However, I don't think you can get that data from body temperatures alone.
Already sheltered millenials forced to shelter in place. What happens if looking-at-your-phone is ALL you can do.
The upshot is that the number of people having a temperature got atypically high when Covid hit - but since the institution of social distancing, that number has dropped below what historical data would lead you to expect.
- At https://www.healthweather.us/?mode=Atypical you find a map of the US which indicates - discounting the expected influence of the flu - which have more than the historically predictable number of people with fevers in each county (for which they have data).
- Below that map, you find a graph of % of US population which had a fever, vs. time since February 15.
- Whittle also showed a map showing the change by county in the number of people having fever over the past week.
So much so that it seems likely that the public reaction to Covid has saved more lives than Covid itself has carried off. Because so many fewer people than expected have contracted the flu this past month.
The caveat in interpreting this fever data is that it could be that normal flu is reacting more strongly to social distancing than Covid is.Or less, FTM.
Ping to my #13.
The upshot is that...
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Nice. Thanks!
Thanks. I plan to look at this when I get to my desk top.
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